
OTHERS' VIEWS
I hope you will forgive me for quibbling – which oil are we discussing here? It could well be palm oil, which was for centuries the principal driver and lubricant (excuse the pun!!!) in our trade with Europe – starting with Portugal and subsequently with England under the aegis of the Royal Niger Company (founded by Sir George Tabman Goldie), which midwifed the United Africa Company (UAC Plc) and Lever Brothers Limited (Unilever Plc).
It would be worth our while to remind ourselves that it was the Royal Niger Company Limited which sold what we now call Nigeria to the British Empire (Britain under Queen Victoria) in 1900 for £865,000.
For those who are keen students of history, I suggest you avail yourselves of what is on offer on YouTube under the caption:
“How this company sold Nigeria to Britain for £865,000 only”
Following the intervention of the convener of this august occasion, Ms Ayobami Animashaun, I stand corrected. I am required to focus on oil, which is of a totally different genre. The oil in question has its technical definition as:
It is crude oil and petroleum fossil fuels because they are mixtures of hydrocarbons that formed from the remains of animals and plants (diatoms) that lived millions of years ago in a marine environment before dinosaurs existed.
For laymen, the oil we are interrogating is crude oil, which belongs to the category of fossil fuel.
Hence, I am obliged to apologise profusely for answering the wrong question – which of course would be fatal in any examination unless I am able to benefit from the kind of glitch which recently afflicted the conduct of the examination by JAMB (Joint Admission Matriculation Board). We all witnessed on television the profuse and tearful apologies of its long-time registrar, Professor Ishaq Oloyede, who admitted that it was a monumental fiasco – wrong answers to the right questions or, in some cases, no questions at all and no answers.
At this juncture, please permit me to avert a similar disaster by averting my mind to the subject matter: A future without oil.
However, before I do so, kindly permit me to thank Miss Ayobami Animashaun for inviting me to deliver this address to such an august audience – a constellation of royalty, ministers, the diplomatic community, captains of industry and commerce, etc.
I believe that the convener’s vision and motivation are to encourage us to learn from each other. I shall be eighty-two years old on my next birthday, and I suspect that the reason I have been tasked with the joyful duty of answering the question posed is derived from the rage and resentment of the current generation that we failed them and what we are handing over to them is a nation in crisis. Every week is a harbinger of a fresh crisis – financial, economic, political and most profoundly, security. Rather than subscribe to the gloomy picture and doomsday scenario, I would argue that there is another side to the coin. From the sidelines, some of us (myself included) did try to persuade the government to plan for a future without oil and reimagine a tapestry dominated by non-oil superlative financial and economic performance.
Our vigorous exertions, passionate pleadings and repeated appeals were rewarded with inertia, indifference, nonchalance, suspicion, scepticism and sometimes outright contempt. We literally ran into a brick wall which had been sculptured and reinforced by complacency and self-indulgence under the matrix: “Let us make hay while the sun shines. The future will take care of itself.”
Added to this was the conviction that we have educated and indulged the next generation sufficiently. It is now their turn to take care of themselves and take care of us too in the bargain. Alas, the future will not take care of itself. Also, by the look of things, it would be foolhardy to expect the current generation (Gen-Z) to ignore their own formidable challenges and spoil us rotten with an abundance of luxury and carefree leisure in our twilight years.
Before, we address the critical issue of: How did we get here? Please let me speak for myself.
About forty years ago, as the then Chairman of Eko Hotels Limited (Victoria Island) and a partner in the firm of KPMG, Chartered Accountants, I organised what was tagged as “Exhibition And Lecture On Nigeria’s Non-Oil Revenue. A Future Without Oil.”
On the matter of security, which is arguably our nation’s number one problem – kidnapping, banditry, arson, assassinations, insurgency, etc. – in 2011, as the Chairman and Chief Executive of J.K. Randle International, I organised what was tagged as the “SECURITY SUMMIT (SAFETY ON LAND, AIR AND SEA) at the same Eko Hotel, Victoria Island, Lagos.” The then National Security Adviser, late General Patrick Aziza, attended the opening day of the three-day conference. What followed was “NFA” (No Further Action). Tragically, before the year was over, the United Nations office in Abuja was bombed with grave and deadly consequences. Also, daredevil assassins attempted to kill the then Inspector-General of Police Hafiz Abubakar Ringim by following his convoy of cars right into the precincts of the police headquarters – Louis Edet House, Abuja.
As matters stand, we are like a boxer on the ropes. The legendary Muhammed Ali taught us a great lesson – namely, when you are on the ropes, that is precisely the time to conserve energy, adopt an episodic approach and re-strategise against a formidable opponent/dangerous foe.
Hence, we cannot thank the convener enough for giving us the opportunity to pause and savour the signs of hope as we endeavour to chart a fresh path and adopt bold strategies that would provide salvation. It is a huge challenge, and the time is now. We must commit to a future without oil. However, we may choose to reframe matters as :
“A future with or without oil.”
If we are to make an impact, our first task is to resolve the precarious ambiguities in our ecosystem – especially in the prudent management of our financial resources and economic choices in a renewed commitment to the elimination of waste and corruption. Singapore is a great and worthy example of a nation that has no oil at all. Yet it is thriving.
The Scandinavian countries, especially Norway, have oil, but they have vaccinated themselves against the “oil curse”. They prefer to channel their earnings from oil into a Sovereign Wealth Fund for Future Generations. It is their solid insurance against being accused of squandering their riches (derived from oil) by future generations.
Currently, Norway has stashed away.
Others in the league of Sovereign Wealth Funds are as follows:
US $
Sovereign Funds of China 1.3 trillion
Pakistan Sovereign Wealth Fund 8.06 billion
Turkey Wealth Fund 318 billion
Maharlika Wealth Fund 2.26 billion
Sovereign Fund of Brazil 14.2 billion
National Wealth Fund United Kingdom 36.9 billion
Russian National Wealth Fund 39 billion
Nigeria’s Sovereign Wealth Fund is a paltry N4.42 trillion (roughly US$2.95 billion).
The convener has cajoled us into believing that the Gods are smiling on us, but harsh reality suggests that neither the old nor the young can rely on their sense of entitlement as the vaccine against the next variant of COVID-19 or whatever pandemic erupts.
Today’s event, regardless of the overwhelming glamour and glitter, should not only rekindle our hope; it should serve as a catalyst. The last time I checked, our leading intellectuals, the indomitable technocrats and rugged professionals (save for a few), have given up. That is lethal. It is indeed a sure recipe for disaster and ultimate extinguishment/extinction.
We no longer have the luxury of a waiting period or room for vacillation. The challenge before us is the conquest of debilitating fear, festering anger and traumatic frustration bordering on PTSD (Post Traumatic Stress Disorder).
For several decades our nation has been on a roller-coaster ride of unrealistic expectations. Now, we have no seat belts. To quote the late American lawyer Ralph Nader: We are “UNSAFE AT ANY SPEED”.
Perhaps we need to backtrack to how our oil journey commenced with the discovery of oil at Oloibiri (now Bayelsa State) in commercial quantities by Shell D’Arcy in 1956. But the real journey commenced almost twenty years before. Shell drilled many holes that turned out to be dry before striking it rich. Since then Nigeria slowly developed a problem with its oil. At first, the impact of oil was not profoundly manifest. The economy was fundamentally anchored on agriculture – groundnuts and cotton from the Northern Region, palm oil from the Eastern Region, and cocoa from the Western Region (plus rubber from the Midwestern Region). I would even argue that even now, the oil sector has not ever been properly integrated with the Nigerian economy. It just grew and prospered (or declined) at a tangent – instead of being the catalyst for self-evident economic development as has been the case with what was previously desert in the UAE (United Arab Emirates), Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, etc.
1966 Coup:
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“On January 15, 1966, rebellious soldiers led by Kaduna Nzeogwu and 4 others carried out a military putsch, killing 22 people, including the Prime Minister of Nigeria, many senior politicians, senior Army officers and their wives, and sentinels on protective duty. The coup plotters attacked the cities of Kaduna, Ibadan, and Lagos while also blockading the Niger and Benue Rivers within a two-day timespan before being overcome by loyalist forces.
Although the coup was considered a failure, it still resulted in a change from an elected government to a military government, albeit led by a different set of senior officers. It also marked the start of a succession of military coups in Nigeria.”
If we want to change our future without oil, we are entitled to draw a lesson from Don Zimmer who delivered a nugget:
“What you lack in talent can be made up with desire, hustle and giving 110 percent all the time.”
Besides, we have to recognise and acknowledge the new hierarchy of needs and paradigm shift. Nigeria is actually a gas country rather than an epileptic oil-producing country. In oil, our ranking is 10 globally, and in gas, we are ranked number 9.
The Nigerian Liquefied Natural Gas Limited [NLNG] has proved to be a resilient flagship and robust business model.
Our next destination is the confessional box, where we have to admit our long list of missed opportunities and wrong choices galore.
Thankfully, this time around we would be willing to subscribe to rigorous risk assessment and meticulous risk management.
We cannot but recollect that back in 1980, when we were in distress, the United States of America wanted Nigeria to boycott the Moscow Olympic Games. The President of America also wanted to pacify American oil companies which had won the trans-Siberian pipeline contracts. They were barred by presidential order. However, the US president wanted to compensate them by bankrolling four new oil refineries in Nigeria, which they would run for twenty-five years and thereafter hand over to Nigeria. They were going to be BOT’s [Build, Operate, and Transfer]. I believe that the American companies were Chevron, Mobil and two others. In any case, Nigeria preferred not to boycott the Olympics, much to the delight of the Russians. On a personal note, I attended the Olympic Games, and I must confess that the Russians delivered a truly magnificent and memorable Olympic Games. There were other lessons too – which time and space would not permit me to share with you on this auspicious occasion. It is a story for another day.
Also, let me add that the oldest refinery in Nigeria was located in Port Harcourt, and it was jointly owned by Shell and BP.
I recall that back then, when I participated in the audit of the refinery, TAM (Turn Around Maintenance) was not a big deal. It was handled by a mid-level expatriate manager who would typically scribble on a blackboard: “NOTICE TO ALL STAFF: TURN AROUND. MAINTENANCE WILL COMMENCE ON 12TH JUNE AND BE COMPLETED ON JUNE 22.”
Now it has become a blockbuster contract involving millions of dollars at frequent intervals.
Perhaps I should add that about forty-five years ago, the then military government decided to build new refineries in addition to the already existing one in Port Harcourt, which could handle only 60,000 barrels of crude oil per day. A Canadian firm was hired to carry out the feasibility report. The consultants recommended four refineries – one in Lagos (the major market), one in Warri (close to the supply of crude), the third one would be built in Lokoja (central location between North and South), and the fourth one would be a second refinery in Port Harcourt (as an export terminal).
Apparently, when the report was tabled at the Supreme Military Council, the Chief of General Staff objected to all the refineries being located in the South. He insisted that at least one of the refineries should be located in the North. That is how Kaduna Refinery emerged, regardless of the huge distance from the oil-producing area. In any case, it was designed to handle heavy crude oil, which would have to be imported. Besides, the pipelines between Kaduna and the oil-producing areas have been massively vandalised.
My recollection is that the Warri Refinery was built by an Italian company, Snamprogetti, while the Kaduna Refinery was built by a Japanese company, Chiyoda. What was remarkable was that the Japanese took about four years to complete the job and trained about one hundred Nigerian engineers. Twenty years later, when the refinery broke down, I was part of the delegation dispatched to Japan to invite the Japanese to come to our rescue.
However, there was a lesson to be learnt. The Japanese summoned the engineers who had worked on the Kaduna Refinery. Out of the twenty-six engineers, twenty-five were still in the employment of Chiyoda. One of them had died. Alas, the Japanese were shocked to learn that only one or two of the Nigerian engineers they had trained both in Nigeria and Japan were still in the employment of NNPC (Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation).
It is worth remembering that when we export crude oil, we earn maybe U.S.$80 per barrel. However, when it is refined, the value added (petroleum motor spirit, jet fuel and other by-products) would fetch U.S.$1,500. Hence, notionally we lose U.S.$1,420 on every barrel of oil which we are unable to refine.
For the benefit of the younger generation, we should share with them that for several decades the United States of America was a huge buyer of crude from Nigeria. However, when President Shehu Shagari visited the US in 1982, he dropped a bombshell while being welcomed by the American president:
“We shall use our oil as a weapon against America.”
Chief Tayo Akpata was one of those who wrote the speech. He was aghast. The threat was not in the speech he wrote!! What a gaffe. In any case the reaction by America was swift and lethal. The American President, Mr Ronald Reagan, immediately ordered American companies to commence drilling for oil within the United States of America. They no longer wanted to buy crude oil from Nigeria.
It would not be out of place to beam the searchlight on NNPC and its successor NNPCL. We have a problem that is not going away anytime soon. The four refineries which are owned by NNPCL are old. They were built at least forty years ago. The spare parts may not even be available. Apart from the Dangote Refinery, which has the capacity to refine 650,000 barrels per day, other refineries have opted for modular refineries which are modelled on the latest technology with appreciable savings in the cost of operations. It is going to be difficult for NNPCL to compete with Dangote in the market for refined products.
As we endeavour to address the future of Nigeria without oil, we must also factor into the equation a global future without oil with the prospects of a looming expiry date for what we have come to regard as “liquid gold”. As more and more countries insist that the deadline for carbon emissions from cars is 2030 while electric cars (mostly driverless) become the rage, we have no choice but to craft alternative strategies for our survival as a nation.
If we are ready to admit to past failures through negligence and neglect, this is the time to proceed from critical failure factors to positive success factors.
We have vast options and fresh opportunities in:
Agriculture
Artificial Intelligence [AI] and Technology
Minerals
Gas
Tourism and Creative Industry
Infrastructure
Of course, we should include the vast potentials available in our seas and oceans – otherwise known as the “Blue Economy” – which are yet to be cultivated, harnessed and harvested by the newly created Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy under the former Governor of Osun State, His Excellency Alhaji Adegboyega Oyetola.
Also, “The Saturday Sun” newspaper yesterday carried on its front page with bold headlines the following report: “WITH GOVERNMENT SUPPORT, COTTON, TEXTILE INDUSTRY CAN RIVAL OIL IN SOCIAL IMPACT”
– Ms Ololade Majekodunmi
(National Coordinator, Nigeria Cotton Society).
Furthermore, we are entitled to a grave sense of awe and shock over grievous waste and monumental recklessness signposted by last week’s front page headline in “Business A.M.” newspaper:
“NIGERIA REQUIRES N18 TRILLION TO RESTORE SCRAPYARD OF ABANDONED BUILDINGS”
“But ROI (Return On Investment) could boost GDP by US $200 million annually.”
“In a sad reality, Nigeria’s cities and towns are plagued by abandoned construction sites, with different abandoned projects, including houses, schools, churches, offices, malls, and various other buildings collectively worth billions of naira, littering various parts of the country.”
Most of us human beings are yet to open to great events occurring in our world, in the cosmos. Mankind is preoccupied grappling with existential posers, pursuits and responsibilities. This is in an atmosphere politicians befuddle minds and dim our gaze with their unrelenting quest for power, money and influence, and promises to alleviate sufferings in their respective lands. Yet, monumental and indescribable events pass us by. This is because man’s expectations and description of what is great are constricted from impaired intuitive perception. The impairment is such that if the Lord Jesus Christ were to set foot on earth today, perhaps walking on Broad Street, Lagos, a majority would pass Him by unable to recognise Him! After all, despite the prophecies and centuries of preparations, the depth and power of knowledge He mediated, the Jews did not recognize Him. The political and priestly establishments did everything to get rid of Him.
They did not expect a Messiah to be born in a manger in Bethlehem, and to a carpenter, but instead to the house of a scribe, or an emperor! This is even for the sake of argument for the Lord is to come in the clouds! We learn that two angels appeared after He had interacted with His Disciples for 40 days by which time their ethereal eyes, that is their inner eyes, had opened to behold Him in His ethereal body — not the physical body. The interaction occurred after His crucifixion. When He finally departed from them the angels said to them: “Men of Galilee, why do you stand looking into the sky? This Jesus who has been taken up from you into Heaven will come in just the same way as you have watched Him go into Heaven.” The Lord ascended; a cloud had received Him out of their sight.
It needs to be made plain that the Son of God is often taken for the Son of Man. The Son of God is the Lord Jesus Christ while the Son of Man is the Spirit of Truth, the Comforter. The Lord said of Him: “I still have many things to say to you, but ye cannot bear them now. Howbeit when he the Spirit of Truth is come, he will guide you into all truth; for he shall not speak of himself, but whatever he shall hear that shall he speak and he will shew you things to come. He shall glorify me for he shall receive of mine, and shall shew it unto you. All things that the Father hath are mine: therefore, said I, that he shall take of mine, and shall shew it unto you.” (John 16: 12-15). Indeed, the Lord began by saying: “Nevertheless I tell you the truth; it is expedient for you that I go away: for if I go not away the Comforter will not come unto you: but if I depart, I will send him unto you. And when he is come, he will reprove the world of sin, and of righteousness, and of judgment; Of sin, because they believe not on me; Of righteousness, because I go to my Father, and ye see me no more.” (John 16: 8-10).
In all these, the Lord Jesus did not refer to Himself, but to a different Person, all in third person singular number. The Son of Man is Imanuel, whose coming Isaiah prophesied, God with Us, the Eternal Mediator. Angel Gabriel it was who announced the coming of the Lord Christ. But the world has been made to believe one can be substituted for the other. Luke and Matthew thus report: “And then shall they see the Son of Man coming in a cloud with power and great glory” (Luke 21: 5). ‘’And then shall appear the sign of Son of Man in Heaven: and then shall all the tribes of the earth mourn, and they shall see the Son of Man coming in the clouds of heaven with power and great glory (Matthew 24: 30). With the enlightenment spreading on earth today, we now know the difference. It is Imanuel the Son of Man who is to come in these End-Times to bring judgment as the Justice Arm of God Almighty. The two angels were, therefore, correct when they said the Lord Jesus is to come in the clouds.
What I am getting at is that stupendous Events do occur to which man today does not pay heed. May, for example, rolled off the cosmic calendar, its uniqueness hardly sensed or observed. What with the soothing weather, the coming to life of plants noticeable in leafy surroundings and vibrancy of man and animals, renewed energy of men who are open to the Rays of the uniqueness! The Lord Christ said to His Disciples: “And behold, I send the promise of my Father upon you: but tarry ye in the city of Jerusalem, until ye be endued with power from On High” (Luke 24: 49 )—.Dake’s Annotated Reference Bible. We now know that that Event occurs yearly at the end of May. It is when the Almighty renews His Creation through outpouring of power by the Holy Spirit from His Abode, the Grail Castle at the Summit of Creation. April 18 marked the 150th anniversary of a matchless Grace mankind could ever be blessed with. The Day passed unrecognised except by an infinitesimal few in relation to the world’s population!
However, despite the immense help that surrounds us, mankind marches on in the wilderness, closing themselves to the high knowledge and hardly, if at all, aware of the outworkings of Creation – that our world is governed by the Almighty Father through His Will which is expressed in the Laws of Nature also known as the Laws of Creation and Divine Laws. Until we invite ourselves into deep contemplation with a view to finding out the purpose of life on earth, a great many will live ignorant about the Grace of God surrounding us. Who am I? Why am I passing through this vale of matter at this time? Where does my path lead me at the end of my sojourn on earth? It may bear restating as it has been said before in these pages that it is inconceivable that the Most High, He Who generally is acknowledged as perfect, just, omniscient, who is All Love and Justice and Perfection would bring worlds and worlds — visible and invisible – into being without rules, without laws. What we claim to know is even in part. Apostle Paul spoke of the state of incomplete knowledge when he said: “For we know only in part, and we prophesy only in part, but when the complete comes, that which is in part will be done away with.” (1 Corinthians 13: 9 -10).
The world’s population is now more than 7.8billion, yet our universe, Ephesus, is no more than the tip of a fountain pen, indeed for the modern man, the tip of a Biro, immeasurable as it may seem to us; and there are seven universes, each with its own solar systems and galaxies which are in billions each also with its own planets of which the earth is one — all Creation in living activities, working and weaving, weaving and surging, and sparkling, energy fields far away from and to regions incomprehensible to human reasoning, indeed, immeasurably vast.
The world is not an accident; like cars, television and radio sets and aircraft, the world is a work. As a living work, it bears the Will and Aims of its Maker. These aims are achieved through the application of certain mechanisms. Turn the key in the ignition and the car starts. Engage the gear, and fire the accelerator and it moves. Slam the brake and it slows down or stops. There are rules governing the use of cars, of aircraft and ships. If the rules are obeyed, the automobile gives pleasure and peace of mind to the user and promotes his health. Non-observance of the rules as spelt out in the manual brings harm and, in many cases, shortens life. Before constructing a house, soil engineering is done to determine if the soil is solid enough to bear the weight of the building. Structural engineers must determine the nature of reinforcements and balance the load here and there. In other words, the engineers recognise the existence of certain natural forces which they are powerless to annul: they bow to the nature of these forces in order to get along with them. The world, or better still, Creation, is no different construction.
Laws govern the whole of Creation and are uniform in their operations. These laws have been sensed and hinted at here and there in different cultures, but they have not been fully grasped, nor have their origin and their operations. Consequently, ignorance has led men to all kinds of conclusions, and blasphemous accusations against the Creator. It is knowledge and understanding of His Principles that reveal how sublime His ways are and how unrelenting, ceaseless, immutable, perfect, incorruptible and just the mechanisms that govern life are. It is in this the understanding of inequalities; why good people suffer and the wicked people prosper lies. The grasp of these mechanisms, the Laws of Creation, helps us to adjust our ways, our thinking, speeches and deeds to them in our own interest.
A driver who ploughs through the market or a gathering of school children and kills any of them will return, and in his childhood as a school pupil or a market chief get killed by another driver with tendencies similar to his in his previous life. A man who preaches violence and ill-motivated armed struggle other than in defence of unprovoked and unjust attack on his territory will in lawfulness of life be allowed to experience it in fulfilment of his own longing. The threads of his weaving will lead him to circumstances that will afford him the opportunity to satisfy his unflattering yearnings, in a land under unceasing siege. The same Law of Reciprocal Action more widely known as the Law of Sowing and Reaping applies in cases of killings or corruption. A great many with veils on their inner eyes will be drawn to the front of their previous mansions built with proceeds of corruption now in new re-embodiments as beggars, stretching out their bowls seeking help to eat for the day. Those who have stolen or manipulated figures from the public till and who think they have gotten away with their loot are deceiving themselves. All will be made by the self-acting and incorruptible Laws of God, the Divine Laws, to pay back their overdraft from the bank of life, gnashing teeth, biting lips and wringing hands in supplication to passers-by for just pittance for the day!! Some will sit by an unwashed gutter in the rain or in the sun!!! This is not even to mention the torment in the Beyond!!
A highly respected colleague of mine narrated a gripping story in his compelling and celebrated column about a beggar and her son only last Monday. The story begins with the deportation of 10, 000 Nigerian beggars from Ghana. If I may cull portions of the article, it begins as follows: “If you think there are too many beggars on your street, take heart and brace up. A trending video is showing a massive throng of Nigerian children and women being deported from Ghana where they were found doing street begging. They are said to be part of thousands of West Africans on Ghanaian streets. About 10, 000 are reported to be involved. Is there anything too shameful that we can’t and won’t export? But to go to the more salient portions, writes Dr. Olagunju: “In February 2022, the newspaper I edit carried the story of some women and children from the North who migrated to Ibadan to make a living for themselves and their families through begging. Nafisa Shehu and her mother were among the beggars found on the Ojoo Bridge in Ibadan. Nafisa sat among other begging children and from that point calmly told the reporter that her dream was to become a medical doctor. Nafisa’s story was published, it went viral, and a prominent private school in Ibadan contacted the reporter and offered Nafisa a scholarship from primary to medical school.
“If you thought her dream of becoming a medical doctor was becoming real, you missed it. It never happened. A meeting was arranged between the school and Nafisa’s mother, with the reporter present in Moniya, Ibadan. Some meddlesome interlopers who called themselves local Hausa leaders made sure they were present also. It was a negotiation to help Nafisa; proceedings appeared very positive. But the tragedy started from that point: Nafisa and her mother disappeared from the street shortly after the meeting. The only condition the school gave Nafisa was that she would be a full-boarding student. That was a huge problem for her mother who wanted her to beg while in school.
“We still thought we could help. I told the reporter not to give up on that girl. And he did not. After several follow-ups, the reporter was told that Nafisa and her mother had travelled back to Katsina State where they came from. Fourteen-year-old Nafisa was being prepared to be married off. She must be a mother somewhere now, and possibly begging to eat – like her mother.”
How does one explain that, the fate of Nafisa? It is a pity. Each person will be born and raised where he or she deserves and needs for his or her development and inner polish. A person cannot tear free until he is broken from within from experiences and recognition of where he is. If he finds his state distasteful, then the longing for a change of condition begins. However, those imbued with love and compassion should not allow themselves to be drained of these virtues. We must never fail to do good and show empathy. It is not for nothing that we are warned: “Vengeance is mine; I will repay. Eye for an eye and tooth for a tooth. Recompense for recompense.” (Deuteronomy 32:35). The warning is not for us to get into the street and begin to knock out the teeth of our errant neighbours, but to allow the Laws of Creation in which lies Justice to have their way. Through the combined and automatic outworking of the Law of sowing and reaping as well as the Law of the Cycle, fruits of every sowing must return to the sower. And the Lord Christ was to say: “Think not that I have come to abolish the Law and the prophets; I have come not to abolish them but to fulfil them.” (Matthew 5: 17). The pronouncement coming from the Lord says it all. At all times, therefore, we stand amid multiple returns of our sowing — good or bad. We are products of what we had thought, said or done in the past. And what we are doing in the present time will fetch us fateful consequences, with the time of arrival depending on the nature of the seed sown.
Sometimes in March 2018, one of Nigeria’s most respected military generals and a former Chief of Army Staff, Lieutenant General TheophilusYakubuDanjuma, in an outburst following series of armed herdsmen attacks in some parts of Taraba State, called on the citizens to rise and defend themselves. Given his extensive military background and the strategic positions that he held in the past, the widespread view then was that General Danjuma who also served as Minister of Defence from 1999 to 2003 spoke with astute conviction and got many adherents in his call for self-defence, which has continued to gain momentum since then.
Towing the same line, in February 2021, Bashir Magashi, also a retired army general and then Minister of Defence, while responding to bandits’ kidnap of 27 students in a school in Kagara, Niger State, said it is the responsibility of every citizen to be at alert amid the insecurity in Nigeria and the people should show that they are not cowards by defending themselves. Expatiating it further, General Magashi said, “in our younger days, we stand to fight any aggression coming for us. The people should stand and let these bandits know that even the villagers have the competency and capabilities to defend themselves”.
In yet another but more cautious note, the DG DSS MrAdeolaOluwatosinAjayi, in February this year, argued that every community should have a vigilante outfit licenced to use appropriate firearms to act as the first line of defence against invaders, terrorists, bandits, armed herdsmen, kidnappers and other violent criminals. This position modified the earlier calls by Generals Danjuma and Magashi, and coming from the nation’s Number One spy man, it gives some backings to those in support of self-defence, some of whom have lost confidence in the state’s ability to protect them.
But what has given rise to these calls in a country that has an organised police force and one of the most capable militaries in Africa? The answer is in the level of insecurity that pervades the country from around 2009 till now. According to the group Nigeria Mourns, in 2024, 5,353 people including 308 security personnel were killed in violent attacks across Nigeria with 88.5 per cent occurring in Northern Nigeria. Within the same period, a total of 5,171 people were abducted. This casualty figure for 2024 was 22.1 per cent higher than that of 2023 where 4,385 people were killed in violent attacks. Corroborating this, Amnesty International in its latest report (under serious dispute) revealed that a total of 10,217 people were killed in attacks by armed groups in the first 2 years of the current administration, painting a gloomy picture of the state of insecurity in the country.
Of course, not a few people are optimistic that the days ahead look promising in terms of security. The recent resurgence of attacks in Borno and Yobe States by Boko Haram Terrorists group and the Islamic State’s West Africa Province (ISWAP) as well as those of killer herdsmen around Benue and Plateau States are coming at a time when alarm is being raised concerning the activities of a new terror group, Lakurawa in Sokoto and Kebbi States as well as the Mahmuda group in northern part of Kwara State. There are warnings that these attacks are not likely to abate but continue in a more aggressive fashion.
As a nation, have we truly and precisely identified the strategic intention and end state of these threats? If the intentions are multi-dimensional, can we isolate each to enable appropriate response? From all indications, the rapidity and extent of concentration of extremist fighters affiliated with ISIS and Al-Qaeda along the Sahel region of West Africa must be a pointer to a bigger stake. Could this validate the recent avowal by the Commander of the US Africa Command, General Michael Langley that one of the terrorists’ new objectives is to continue their fight until they gain access to West African coastlines? An understanding of the adversaries’ strategic end state is important to convince the advocates of self-defence if their proposition could defeat the threat and bring lasting peace or produce just a temporary protection.
Despite its allure, the calls for self-defence against bandits and criminal gangs could just be a recipe for disaster. Take the United States for example, the liberal laws on access to weapons has contributed to a high incidence of gun violence, mass shootings and increased homicide rates. We have also seen how the proliferation of small arms and light weapons has fuelled decades of conflicts leading to widespread instability and humanitarian crises in Somalia and Yemen. These are clear evidence of the risks associated with having weapons freely in the hands of the people.
Amidst genuine domestic concerns about insecurity and violence, the introduction of more weapons into the communities could exacerbate more violence and lead to potentially disastrous outcomes. As highlighted in an article by the Institute of Security Studies, as of 2024, Nigeria accounts for about 70 per cent of the almost 500 million illegal weapons in circulation across West Africa. It is just rational that Nigeria maintains its current laws and regulations on gun control but with more pragmatic actions on strict enforcement.
Ultimately, addressing the myriads of security challenges requires a more nuanced and whole of society approach starting with an assessment of the gaps in the current security architecture that allows insecurity to fester. From the physical security aspect, government must focus on raising the capability of the military, strengthening the capacity of law enforcement agencies and design strategies to dominate the vast swaths of ungoverned spaces across the country. It must also keep focus on providing good governance and ensure absolute control of its borders.
In terms of military capability, urgent attention is required to address the current manpower shortage and insufficient high-grade weapons and platforms in commensurate strength. Appropriation of fund to address these gaps will most certainly face some criticism in a society where opinions are in the majority that annual budget to defence is a burden on the nation’s development. Unfortunately, such opinions are based on mere comparison of defence budget with those of other sectors, but not on any empirical analysis anchored on threats and capability which principally drives funding of defence.
From global security assessment, the 2024 Global Peace Index ranks Nigeria 147 out of 163 countries and categorized Nigeria as very low in the state of peace spectrum along with other African countries such as Burkina Faso, Central African Republic, Somalia, Mali, DRC, South Sudan and Sudan. Given this pathetic situation, Nigerians must realise that it is better to throw in every resource that is required to quicken the achievement of stability noting that peace and stability provide the foundation for development, and without them no nation can achieve its full potentials.
Faced with the prevailing precarious security challenges, Nigeria must gear up to boost the operational efficiency of its military well above the current abysmal level, noting that conventionally most countries strive to achieve close to 85-90 percent efficiency. It is time to acquaint Mr President with the current reality in terms of the overall operational efficiency of the military, so that government could embark on a deliberate plan for short, medium and long-term procurement that could gradually raise the military’s operational efficiency to a decent level required for mission success.
In doing this, there must be a remarkable deviation from the current piecemeal acquisition of critical operational equipment. It must be noted that the operations to rid the country of insurgents and bandits have lasted so long with undesirable impact on the will of troops to fight. When troops become battle weary, the catalyst needed is the injection of ‘game changers’ that would reinforce the confidence of troops and boost their morale to fight. Mr President, the military is in urgent need of new and modern tanks, APCs, MRAPs, attack helicopters, high grade armed drones, boats and assorted weapons and ammunition in large quantities. Let the nation provide these for the military and watch how situation will change and the calls for self-defence will fizzle out.
If there is any pronounced gap in the nation’s security architecture that has made insecurity to fester, it is the near collapse of policing as a key component of law enforcement. Since 1999, Nigerians have continued to yearn for necessary reforms that would bring the police in tune with current global standard, but that aspiration remains a mirage. At this moment, Nigeria needs the strong will and character of President Tinubu to initiate a focused and sustainable police sector reform that would earn it the respect of many Nigerians. Such reform must address issues of recruitment, force restructure, training, administration, welfare of personnel, infrastructure, kitting and equipment. An efficient police force is crucial for the overall security of the country and promotes social, economic and political development.
Over the years, nearly all of Nigeria’s 1,129 forest reserves have become expanse of ungoverned spaces providing haven for bandits and terrorists. Government seems to have heeded the calls for these forests to be properly dominated, with the recent announcement of the creation of forest guards. According to reports, the forest guards are to be well trained and armed to flush out terrorists and criminal gangs hiding inside the forests for criminal activities. This is obviously a deviation from the traditional roles given to forest guards. In South Africa, Kenya, Ghana, Tanzania etc, forest guards or park rangers as they are called are principally tasked to combat illegal logging and mining, anti-poaching activities, patrolling and surveillance operations and forest fire protection.
Details about the Forest Guards are still sketchy, but the scanty disclosure has raised some questions; what weapons will they bear considering the role it has been given, will they be under state or federal government control, what will be the relationship between the guards and the military, police and other security agencies, how will they relate within the existing forest security arrangement where we have the National Park Service and the Agro-Rangers under the NSCDC, will the role being proposed for the forest guards not bring them into conflict with the military? These and many other questions are what the planners must ponder on as they put the presidential directive into action.
Government must ensure that the forest guards operate professionally in close cooperation and collaboration with other security agencies and must be free from political interference and misuse. They must be given clearly defined roles and responsibilities to prevent confusion and overlaps in the course of their duty. Government must avoid the temptation of turning the forest guards into a quasi-military force, by limiting its combat role to patrolling and surveillance for information and intelligence gathering to aid the military in conduct of operations.
Notwithstanding, the forest guards must be sufficiently armed for self-defence against bandits and other intruders as well as attacks from wild animals. In Kenya, Ghana, Tanzania, DRC and Cameroon, forest guards are equipped with semi-automatic rifles and AK47 in some cases. In South Africa, the park rangers are equipped with R5 rifles which is a more accurate and versatile rifle suited for longer range engagements and more tactical operations. Given the right weapons with a clear mission and institution of effective coordination, the forest guards would be able to fill a gap which would help to strengthen the current security architecture.
•Olawumi, a retired Major General and former NYSC Director General is a member of THISDAY editorial board
It is unusual for a nation to discover its essence in a man. It is rare for humanity in their millions across continents, to be inspired; to fight seemingly unwinnable wars for freedom. Ho Chi Minh, one of the most famous figures of the twentieth century, fitted into both.
Famously known as Uncle Ho, and speaking Mandarin, Cantonese, English, French, Russian and Vietnamese, the fragile-looking Vietnamese who stood at 1.6 meters (5 feet, 5 inches) led his people to defeat two super powers 30 years apart. In both cases, he took up arms only as the last resort. He tried persuasion, resorted to diplomacy and offered compromises. But first, the French, and later, the United States, US, spurned his offers. They could not fathom how such a fragile, smallish man, and his poorly armed followers, could put up any serious fight.
They were to learn bitter lessons: that their power could not conquer the will of a people ready to die for their freedom. The French poured 470,000 troops to fight the poor Vietnamese people. A total of 2.7 million Americans were sent to fight the Vietnamese; in April 1969, a total of 543,000 American soldiers were in active combat in that country. Fifty eight thousand American soldiers never made it back home. They perished in Vietnam.
The French and US troops fought with the intention to survive and return to their loved ones. They did not want to die in some thick forests and be buried in unmarked graves far from their homes. Therefore, they fought conventional battles, and retreated when necessary. On the other hand, the Vietnamese patriots led by Uncle Ho, fought unconventional battles, especially guerilla warfare. They were ready to die anywhere on their ancestral soil. Their choices were limited; while the French and American invaders could retreat and return to their protected homes, the Vietnamese had no such choice; to retreat was to lose their freedom. Ho used to impress on them that there is nothing more precious than independence and liberty.
Before the wars, he had put the powerful enemies of the Vietnamese on notice as to the determination of the Vietnamese and the type of war to be fought. At the onset of the war with France, he told the representative of the French government: “You can kill ten of my men for every one I kill of yours. But even at those odds, you will lose and I will win.”
When he set out in 1911 to seek salvation for his fellow compatriots, Ho stated that it was “with the ultimate desire of making our country fully independent, giving every one of our people complete freedom, and for every one of them to have rice to eat, clothes to wear and, opportunities to study.”
When 34 years later he made the September 2, 1945 Declaration of Independence, he paraphrased the US Declaration of Independence by stating: “All men are born equal: the Creator has given us inviolable rights, life, liberty and happiness”. The Declaration asserted Vietnam’s self-determination and, also rejected attempts by France to restore its colonial rule.
Ho, after spending three decades outside Vietnam, living, studying and working in various countries, including China and the defunct Soviet Union, concluded that the best option for the Vietnamese was a Proletarian Revolution. To realise this, he established the Communist Party of Vietnam in 1931.
Ho did not witness the end of the wars of independence. He passed away on September 2, 1969. Ironically, it was then American President Gerald Ford who in 1975, signalled the end of those wars, the reunification of Vietnam and complete independence when he indirectly announced the American defeat. Ford said: “Today, Americans can regain the sense of pride that existed before Vietnam. But it cannot be achieved by re-fighting a war.” That statement by the US Commander-in-Chief was the signal needed for American troops to flee Vietnam. It was one of the most disorderly and shameful retreats in military history.
The 1975 victory over the US marked the end of Vietnam’s occupation by various powers. It had been occupied for over one thousand years by the Chinese; six decades by the French, including a brief occupation by the Japanese, and three decades by the US. It is noteworthy that for 20 years after it was forced out, the US imposed sanctions against the country.
This May 19, 2025 was the 135th Anniversary of Uncle Ho’s birth. In Abuja, Nigeria, a Round Table was held to honour him. Diplomats, politicians, including representatives of the Ruling All Peoples Congress, APC, led by Mr Ini Akpan, and the opposition, civil servants, journalists and a cross section of society attended.
Bui Quoc Hung, the Vietnamese Ambassador, who posited that Uncle Ho founded modern Vietnam, said his dedication was so total that Ho had no wife, children or social life outside the struggle for liberation.
The Acting High Commissioner of Ghana, Eddison Agbenyegah, told the Round Table that his country’s founding President, Kwame Nkrumah, was headed for Hanoi, Vietnam on a peace mission when during a stopover in China, he was overthrown.
The Nigerian Government said the legacy of Uncle Ho transcended borders and generations, inspiring nations to seek freedom and independence. Ambassador Mohammed Haidara, Deputy Director, Asia and Pacific of the Foreign Ministry who delivered the government’s message, noted that Uncle Ho travelled out of Vietnam for 30 years but never forgot home. He added that Nigerians who are some of the most travelled peoples in the world should learn from Uncle Ho to return and serve the country. He added that Ho had what it took to live a good life abroad but choose to return and serve his people.
Cuban Ambassador Miriam Morales Palmero said Uncle Ho’s revolutionary vision, humility and perseverance made him not just a hero of Vietnam, “but also a moral and political reference for all peoples striving for self-determination and social justice.”
She said legendary Cuban leader, Fidel Castro had so much respect for Ho and commitment to the Vietnamese struggles that he once said: “For Vietnam, we are ready to shed even our own blood.” Cuba, she said, is committed to keeping the ideals of Uncle Ho alive.
Ambassador Sani Bako, the Chair of the Nigeria-Vietnam Economic, Trade and Culture Association recalled Ho’s positive role in the 1955 Afro-Asian Bandung Conference for global peace, economic development and decolonisation. The vision of Ho, he said, inspired various peoples to seek freedom.
Retired civil servant Suleiman Haliru Malumfashi said Uncle Ho belonged to the pantheon of global revolutionary leaders like Vladimir Lenin, Mao Tsetung, Fidel Castro and Nelson Mandela. He said while followership is very important, leadership, as Ho showed, is fundamental for transformation and development.
Yes, I have seen cases of hopelessness changed to testimonies. Just look at the story of that desperate woman in Mark Chapter Five. That is one of the most difficult and hopeless situations in the bible. She was very sick for 12 years. She was losing her blood (life) every second of the day. She spent all she had looking for solution, yet none came. She suffered so much and the condition grew worse. No improvement. No cure. No hope. No help. Even the doctors got tired of her case. And the worst was that even when she had a glimpse of solution, the surging crowd became an obstacle, a barrier to reach the solution. My God! What can be worse than this? Does this sound like your situation? Look at it here, “Jesus went with him, and all the people followed, crowding around him. A woman in the crowd had suffered for twelve years with constant bleeding. She had suffered a great deal from many doctors, and over the years she had spent everything she had to pay them, but she had gotten no better. In fact, she had gotten worse. She had heard about Jesus, so she came up behind him through the crowd and touched his robe. For she thought to herself, ‘If I can just touch his robe, I will be healed.’ Immediately the bleeding stopped, and she could feel in her body that she had been healed of her terrible condition.” Mark 5:24-29
Some of you reading this message are like this woman today. You have been in that situation for a long time now. It looks incurable and terminal – the type that was described as being sick unto death. You helplessly watch as your life, your resources, your joy dim and slip away from your hand. The more you try is the more the problem, the frustration increases. It may not be your health directly, but things around you have become sick – your business, your relationship, your marriage is sick, dying, etc. You go a step forward and three steps backward. And no help, yes nobody cares to help again. People, friends and relations are now tired of helping. You know that there is a limit to what people, even relations can offer at the time of trial. True.
Look at that woman again. Did you hear anything about her friends or relations? Maybe some good ones have tried and got tired, got exhausted and then left her to her fate. They left her to pain, stain and drain. Remember also that her condition was the type that will always attract unpleasant smell and constant demand for resources to stay clean. So everybody ran away. Please, don’t get very angry when people desert you at the middle of your trial. It is just human. But let them go because God is coming to meet you. If they don’t go, if they don’t betray you, you may never know the real manifestation of God’s unfailing power and love. Now, what I love most about this woman is her determination and faith. Yes, the situation was very desperate and hopeless, but she totally refused to give up. She had no more relations, no neighbours and friends to turn to, but was ready to try Jesus. And she had a crowd as a wall of obstacle but was also ready to press against it to snatch her needed solution.
“Because of its hatred for the Ant, Cockroach voted for Insecticide. Immediately Insecticide took power and swung into action, both Cockroach and Ant died, including Housefly that did not vote!” - Adewunmi Adegoju.
I scribbled what you are about to read the day after the new Owa Obokun of Ijeshaland was crowned on Friday, 23 May this year. It centred on the Ibadan-Ife-Ilesa-Akure federal highway. It went thus: “I received with mixed feelings news of the presidential approval by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu that action be taken on the death-trap that the Ibadan-Ife-Ilesa federal highway has become. Mixed feelings - Feelings of joy and also of sadness.
Reports said the president has approved the rehabilitation of the dual carriageway for ease of transportation. Speaking at the coronation of the 41st Owa Obokun of Ijesa land, Oba Adesuyi Clement Haastrup, Ajimoko III, the Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, Adegboyega Oyetola, who represented the President, reaffirmed the Tinubu administration’s commitment to grassroots development while also announcing that ‘the President has ordered the release of an intervention fund for the rehabilitation of the Ilesa-Ife-Ibadan expressway, which is critical to the economic vitality of Osun and neighbouring states.’
“I have written repeatedly on the perilous state of that road. Other writers, such as my brother Lasisi Olagunju, of the Tribune Newspapers and Lekan Shote of The PUNCH, have also written about their nasty experience on that road. It is, therefore, heartwarming that the Federal Government has paid attention to our many cries - and those of others - and is now moving to do something about the road. It is immaterial that it has chosen to tie it to the inauguration of the Owa Obokun of Ijeshaland as a coronation gift to Kabiyesi!
“Long may Kabiyesi reign. I remember sitting him down for an interview after he left being the deputy governor of Osun State. After a period of turbulence and wilderness experience that must have tried the soul of any mortal, Kabiyesi today sits on the throne of his fathers. Long may he reign!
“But we should tell the Presidency that the Ibadan-Ife-Ilesa expressway needs more than rehabilitation! That road, having expired totally and irrevocably, needs total reconstruction. All efforts to rehabilitate it in the past have failed. Sukuk-funds parchments here and there have failed to redeem the road. It must now experience total reconstruction - except we are only interested in throwing hard-earned money down the drains.”
On Monday, however, the sadness and any other reservations I might have had evaporated when I heard, life and direct, from reliable sources made up of very strong media handlers of Mr. President that what the President actually approved - and which is what will be executed - is a complete and full reconstruction of the Ibadan-Ife-Ilesa-Akure dual carriageway. Sometimes, we need to hear from the horse’s mouth, as they say, to know that the government actually responds to feedback from the people.
And also that those of them in Government are not as indifferent to the plight of the common man as some would have us believe! Could anyone have imagined that the First Lady, Mrs. Oluremi Tinubu, upon travelling on that road, reported her experience and demanded that something be done? Could you also have imagined that Gen. Alani Akinrinade, upon being invited to the Presidential Villa, made the reconstruction of the same deplorable road a condition for him to make the trip from his Yakoyo country home to Ibadan where a presidential jet might be waiting for him? These, and many others, are stories that are hardly heard by the people.
This is one more confirmation - I have heard of others in the past - that this President has listening ears. If only this other problem can also grab his attention...
Still on the compulsory voting bill…
The bill that proposes to criminalize non-voting at National elections has been withdrawn by its sponsors. Their advertised reason for doing so was the public outcry against the bill. It is good that they listened to the voice of the people; how I wish they can do similarly in other instances on issues that directly affect the wellbeing and welfare of the people!
But withdrawal of the bill should not be the final say on the matter. As we stated last week, there are many reasons propelling voter apathy, and these must clinically be addressed or else, democracy will be dead in no time and anti-democracy forces, as we have witnessed in countries around us, may one day berth on our own doorsteps.
Today, I bring to us some of the views of my readers on additional reasons for voter apathy and what must be done to address the problem. It is important we all pay attention and take heed. Acting like the Housefly (apathy) as depicted in the opening quote above does not exonerate or safeguard anyone!
“You lost count of one special group who do not vote or partake in any political activity because of their religious beliefs: the Jehovah Witnesses. They believe there can not be a righteous government run by man in this world until the second coming of Jesus Christ. Hence their members do not participate in politics and they don't vote. On the side of INEC, I was disenfranchised during the 2023 elections by BVAS’s failure to recognize my face. I had actually complied with INEC instructions that voters above the age of 50 years who had registered on or before 2014 should update their picture using an android phone or at the INEC office. I did mine on my phone, uploaded it, and obtained a printout upon the successful completion of the update. On election day, BVAS denied me my voting right! Funningly enough, my neighbor whom I encouraged and assisted to do the same thing at the same time, using my phone, was accredited by BVAS to vote with ease at the same polling unit by the same machine. I was totally embarrassed; the electoral officers expressed their surprise as well. I did not lose hope in the electoral body's ability to bring credibility into our electoral system. So, preparatory to the 2024 gubernatorial election in the state, when the electoral body called for voter registration and other related exercises, I decided to replace my PVC, which was done and I was issued a new card. Lo and behold, the BVAS robbed me of my voting right the third time within one year! So, will the compulsory voting law protect me from prosecution if it becomes operational? - Owolabi Daramola.
Your analysis of all relevant points and issues was tip-top. I cannot understand how on earth our honourable men and women in the House of Representatives came to the conclusion that enacting a law to make us vote, whether we like it or not, is the way to go in order to solve the multifaceted political and electoral problems that have bedevilled Nigeria since it became an independent nation in 1960! What a way to missthink! And what a misplaced priority!! Instead of those elites in the so-called hallowed chambers to face reality and endeavour to investigate the root cause(s) of Nigerians’ apathy to voting, they chose to engage in an exercise in futility - a wild goose chase as you rightly said. Before any compulsory voting law, let them address or proffer solutions to all the problems you highlighted and then give us the following assurances: That
1. There will be good governance.
2. They will be accountable to the people who voted them into power.
3. They will not go to the House to serve their own interests.
4. There will be no more impunity and they will ensure that the rule of law reigns supreme.
5. They will not be a rubber-stamp henceforth, but shall always check and balance the Executive, which is the constitutional responsibility of the Legislature.
6. There must be zero tolerance for corruption at all levels of government.
7. They will enact laws that will punish public office holders and politicians found guilty of corruption.
8. They will put pressure on the Executive to build and maintain our roads, schools, hospitals and all infrastructure to world class level.” - Ayorinde Abiola.
“The compulsory voting bill makes me remember the plan of some of our rulers to stop our medical personnel from going for greener pastures abroad; but the proposal did not see the light of day. It also reminds me of the saying that those that the gods would destroy, they first make mad. Some people of faith say that 2025 will be a landmark year. We don't know if it will be another form of COVID-19 or not. We just hope our leaders will allow God's mercy to abound for us all. How many millions of people will they penalize for not voting? We should be getting our priorities right.” - Pastor Seun Sogunro.
“Another group who will not vote are those whose religious inclinations will not let them; an example are the Jehovah Witnesses.” - Professor Biodun Anifowose.
Thanks for your comments. Our legislative houses have work to do. If they don’t and democracy kaputs here, as they say, it is the Legislature that is always completely obliterated.
Former editor of PUNCH newspapers, Chairman of its Editorial Board and Deputy Editor-in-chief, BOLAWOLE was also the Managing Director/Editor-in-chief of The Westerner news magazine. He writes the ON THE LORD'S DAY column in the Sunday Tribune and TREASURES column in New Telegraph newspaper on Wednesdays. He is also a public affairs analyst on radio and television.
Former Vice President of Nigeria, Atiku Abubakar, extends heartfelt congratulations to Nigerian Muslims on the occasion of Eid-al-Adha, emphasizing the importance of embodying the festival’s core values of sacrifice and devotion to God.
In a press statement released by his media office on Thursday, Atiku encouraged Muslims to seek God’s mercies through prayers for the nation during this sacred period.
He stated, “The essence of Eid-al-Adha, rooted in the traditions of Prophet Ibrahim and upheld by Prophet Muhammad, calls us to reflect kindness and peace in our lives.”
The Waziri Adamawa urged Muslims to extend charity to the less privileged, noting, “kindness and generosity are integral to our faith - values we must uphold not only during this celebration but at all times.”
He also called on leaders at all levels to embrace compassion and sacrifice, as exemplified by the festival.
“Leadership demands forbearance and commitment to the greater good. I appeal to those in authority to show compassion and prioritize the welfare of the people, in line with God’s command,” he said.
Atiku concluded by advocating for peace and unity, encouraging Nigerians to pray for harmony in their homes and society during this sacred time.
Signed:
Atiku Media Office
Abuja
Boarding announcements were not an issue when I used to commute in Lagos by danfo, the ubiquitous yellow buses, or molue, the mass-transit lorries, which were improvised for public transportation.
The conductors often had a melodious and entertaining way of calling passengers that was enjoyable to hear. They called out in a drawl, accompanying each announcement with a warning for passengers to board with their change in hand or risk a “forced marriage,” which meant giving a fixed sum, usually a bank note, to two or more passengers to share at disembarkation.
Flying is a luxury – or should be – with no room for bus conductors and their outrageous threats of forced passenger marriages. But vehicle conductors across the country might be surprised to know that, however lowly their jobs, there are several areas where they do far better than their cousins at airports across the country, who, for want of a better description, carry the elegant titles of flight announcers, when quite frankly, they perform the job of conductors.
A conductor’s life
There is no intention to deride or demean, please. Conductors, whether at the motor park, opera, or the airport, provide the vital link that helps us understand and enjoy the moment, as we make a rite of passage.
But that vital function is threatened at many airports nationwide, even among crew announcers onboard several flights. I could have missed a recent flight from Asaba to Abuja because I wasn’t sure what the announcer said: “This is a broaden hannouncement on Flight PA7861 from Hum, Hum, Hum, to Ham, Ham, Ham…all persongers on this flight should phulease proceed to the gate to broad…a phust departure call phulease…”
I didn’t understand. The babble was neither British, American, nor trans-Atlantic. It was not even Ingili-Igbo (a variety of standard British English mixed with Igbo phonemes) as Chief Zebruddaya Okorigwe-Nwogbo alias 4.30 might have called it in the New Masquerade. It was indecipherable. But I noticed some passengers rushing to line up or scampering in different directions. I stayed put, waiting for a second, hopefully clearer announcement. It was the same thing.
Accra bound?
I looked at my colleague with whom I was travelling and asked, “Did you hear what the announcer said?” “I think she said something like it’s a flight to Accra,” he responded. “No way,” I replied. “You mean that flights now depart from the Asaba Airport to Accra? And see the number of passengers lining up.”
Time was ticking. We hurried to the line, which is often the typical response when there’s no airline staff in sight, where a passenger smiled a knowing smile and told us it was a flight to Abuja, not Accra. At that time, something that sounded like the final boarding announcement had been made.
I had experienced a similar thing on my outbound trip from Abuja, where the flight announcer seemed more concerned about how her fake imitation of an Oyinbo accent than the clarity of what she was saying. I got up twice to ask at the desk.
Suupri…suupri…suupri
The second time, the announcer who faked an Oyinbo accent told me in plain, audible language that my flight had not been announced. “Is it impossible to announce as you have just told me, Ma?” I asked. She smiled and adjusted the PAS: “This is a boreding announcement on Flight PA74862 from suupri, suupri, suupri, to ham, ham, ham…all persongers on this flight should phulease proceed to the boreding gate…a phust departure call phulease…”
I gave up.
Sometimes, the noise in the departure lounge can make things worse. At other times, the lack of coordination and/or the poor sound quality of the PAS can also compound the problem. There’s hardly such a thing as a level key. The volume is too high, too low or a garbled screeching static sound. As for the tone of voice, that’s something else altogether.
What was that, pilot?
It happens onboard, too. For aerophobics like me, a pilot’s calming voice before departure, midflight, or shortly before landing has a huge calming effect. Often, however, you’ll have to strain to hear. There’s such a deafening noise in the inflight PAS that it’s difficult to decipher what even the pilot says, whether it will be fair weather, or you should brace up for a bumpy ride. On this last trip to Asaba, it wasn’t very different, but it was the attendant who had me cracking a rib.
From her appearance, she seems a full-blooded Nigerian woman, likely from the Southeast. As we neared landing, she unleashed a torrent of fake accents. She concluded by welcoming passengers to “Asaaabhaaa,” pronounced like a JJC would say Asaba, with enough drawl of the “Icheku” variety (the Nigerian TV drama series based on the foibles of the colonial courtroom) to spice the miserly inflight passengers’ lunchbox. Where did she acquire that accent from?
Oyinbo blues
I might be a latecomer to this flourishing business of phonemical jiggery pokery. Farooq Kperogi flagged it in an article two years ago, entitled “Fake Accents on Nigerian Airplanes and Airports,” in which he narrated how an Oyinbo man approached a passenger to interpret what the flight announcer said. It was his second article on the subject in seven years.
Although recent aviation concerns have focused more on air traffic control staffing shortages, technology and flight delays, it would be interesting to see statistics on how indecipherable announcements may have contributed to passenger misery, including perhaps, missed flights.
It wouldn’t be a big issue if the humour of Oyinbo wannabes were all there was to it. It would, in fact, be a good source of entertainment when flights are delayed, as they frequently are. But passengers who bank on in-flight announcers who use them to practice phonology risk missing their flights.
Lessons from the motor park
In many parts of the world, airports are enhancing the quality of announcements. Tools like PAXGuide, for instance, can monitor every announcement, including who made it and when. Instead of terminal-wide announcements, announcements can be targeted and localised to specific gates, while automation through display boards and technological upgrades can also help to improve the passenger’s experience.
There’s also something that airports, with a bit of humility, can learn from the motor parks. I’m serious about this. The conductors in the motor parks hardly ever pretend to be someone they’re not or borrow a language they’re uncomfortable with. Apart from the points suggested, is it also possible for the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) to authorise using pidgin English (perhaps the most widely spoken language across the country), as the second language for flight announcers at least for domestic routes?
It would take a truly wayward flight announcer to nasalise pidgin English and not sound ridiculous in his or her own ears.
The political tragedy unfolding in Rivers State has reached its lowest point: Governor Siminalayi Fubara, supposedly the chief executive of Nigeria’s oil-rich powerhouse, has been reduced to begging President Bola Tinubu for reinstatement after being suspended from office. This is not just a personal failure—it is an unconscionable surrender of Rivers’ political dignity and a direct assault on constitutional democracy. A governor elected by millions now crawls to Abuja, confirming what many have long suspected: Fubara lacks the courage, strategic vision, and political will to defend either his mandate or the autonomy of Rivers State.
First, let us be clear: Nigeria’s constitution does not grant the president the power to suspend or remove a sitting governor. That authority resides solely with the state legislature through impeachment or with the judiciary in cases of gross misconduct. Tinubu’s purported suspension of Fubara—and Fubara’s subsequent groveling for reinstatement—represents an illegal federal power grab, one that Fubara is now legitimizing through his compliance.
This is not mere political maneuvering; it is a constitutional crisis. If a sitting governor can be removed by presidential fiat, then Nigeria’s federal structure is dead. Past governors facing political crises—from Peter Obi’s battles in Anambra to Rotimi Amaechi’s defiance during the Jonathan era—understood this. They fought through legal and political means, refusing to let Abuja dictate their fate. Fubara, by contrast, has chosen submission over resistance, setting a dangerous precedent that weakens not just Rivers but all Nigerian states.
Fubara’s capitulation reveals a leader fundamentally unfit for the office he seeks to reclaim. Rivers State, as the economic engine of Nigeria’s oil industry, possesses immense political and financial leverage that a courageous leader could have mobilized. The governor’s office comes with constitutional protections and political tools designed precisely to resist such federal overreach. Yet Fubara has demonstrated neither the political acumen to rally legislative allies nor the legal savvy to mount proper constitutional challenges. His immediate recourse to Tinubu exposes a shocking lack of strategic thinking – does he truly believe that a president who suspended him illegally will restore him with any real authority?
The historical context makes Fubara’s weakness even more glaring. Rivers State has produced formidable political figures who understood the weight of their mandate. From the early days of Alfred Diete-Spiff to the confrontational era of Rotimi Amaechi, Rivers governors have traditionally fought to maintain state autonomy against federal encroachment. Even Nyesom Wike, for all his later contradictions, built his political brand on defiant independence from Abuja’s control. That Fubara cannot muster even a fraction of this political courage speaks volumes about his leadership deficit.
Tinubu’s intervention is not an act of statesmanship but a calculated power play. The president recognizes Rivers’ crucial importance in Nigeria’s political and economic architecture. By establishing himself as the arbiter of who governs Rivers, Tinubu effectively neuters the state’s political independence while expanding federal control over Nigeria’s oil wealth. Fubara’s willing participation in this scheme makes him complicit in the erosion of state rights. Even if reinstated, he will govern as a puppet, his every move subject to Abuja’s approval.
The damage extends far beyond Fubara’s political future. Rivers people now face the grim reality that their votes can be nullified by presidential fiat. Nigeria’s federal system suffers another blow as the precedent is set that governors serve at the president’s pleasure rather than the people’s will. Other state executives will face similar pressures, knowing resistance has been weakened. Most tragically, this episode emboldens those who believe Nigeria’s democracy is merely ceremonial, with real power concentrated in Aso Rock rather than state houses.
True leadership would have demanded an immediate legal challenge at the Supreme Court, forcing a constitutional reckoning on the limits of presidential power. It would have required rallying Rivers’ civil society, political class, and business elite in defense of democratic norms. At minimum, it should have involved a public campaign to shame this assault on state sovereignty. Fubara has chosen none of these paths, revealing himself to be precisely the kind of weak executive that enables democratic backsliding.
As this sordid episode unfolds, one truth becomes undeniable: Rivers State deserves better. The people who braved rains and sun to cast their ballots deserve a leader who will defend their mandate, not trade it for personal survival. Nigeria’s democracy deserves guardians who will uphold constitutional principles, not undermine them for temporary advantage. History’s judgment will be harsh on Fubara – not merely for losing power, but for how willingly he sacrificed Rivers’ dignity to beg for its return.
The tragedy is not that Fubara was suspended, but that he lacks the courage to fight for reinstatement on principle. In his desperate scramble to keep his job, he has proven himself unworthy of the office. Rivers State needs leaders, not beggars – and Nigeria’s democracy needs defenders, not collaborators.
Jeff Okoroafor is a social accountability advocate and a political commentator focused on governance, accountability, and social justice in West Africa.
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If an alien is captured in a Hollywood film, the state imprisons it to weaponise its capabilities. Nollywood does not make alien films, but our cinematic representations of contact with non-human forces regularly reflect an individual seeking money. That was how I concluded that if we ever capture an alien in this part of the world, our immediate course of action will be to make it vomit cash. Nothing detains our imagination, absorbs our attention, and conditions our relationship with our humans and non-human beings like money. We fantasise about wealth so much that our popular culture is chock-full of stories of men with magical powers conjuring cash into existence through mystical rituals. The trouble with a society like ours is that the fiction does not merely play out on the magical tube of the television; it also erupts in reality.
The latest sensational case of money ritual homicide is that of an Enugu-based “native doctor”, Obi Obieze, caught with a 13-year-old he would have sacrificed for his schemes. What I find rather frustrating about the conversations that attended the man’s arrest were the claims that ritual murder is a violation of the tenets by which “native doctors” are expected to abide, rather than a wholesale debunking of the idea that anyone has the power to make money through such means. It did not help that Obieze’s status as a “native doctor” also fits into the existing belief that practitioners of what we call “traditional religions” have the spiritual expertise to carry out magic such as money rituals (which is why even the practitioners of our Abrahamic religions secretly consult them).
The belief is so powerful that it sustains institutional bias against indigenous religions. Every informed person in Nigeria is aware that those who have been arrested for various atrocities include Christians and Muslims, but it is those of the indigenous religious traditions who bear most of the brunt. For instance, Anambra Governor Charles Soludo has been waging a war against the native doctors suspected of empowering dissident elements in the state by destroying their shrines. Time and space will not permit me to elaborate to Soludo that in the 20th century, the British colonial government also embarked on similar demolitions in Igboland, only to find that their clampdown on shrines counterproductively invigorated the people’s beliefs in their power.
The more we have antagonised our indigenous religions, the stronger the belief in them as repositories of mystical power has grown. There is a generation of people—including charismatic religious movements, charlatans, and a whole lot of other superstitious folks—hell-bent on sustaining beliefs in the magical power wielded by priests of indigenous religions. Their motives are not entirely driven by historical nostalgia nor by the idea that these practices offer ethical guidance for living, but simply because they cannot live without the notion that no god exists anywhere to make money appear from nowhere. That, for me, is where the problem with our cultural attitudes toward our indigenous religions lies. People are more invested in the magical possibilities that these belief systems can purportedly make happen than in the ethical values their meanings carry.
Some years ago, I was at a religious conference in Nigeria where a group of academics presented their research on why people are leaving Christianity and Islam and opting for indigenous religions. It turns out that almost everyone had converted because they were looking for a God that answers by fire, not because they wanted a religion that nudges them to higher values or morals. It is almost as if a magical transformation is the only reason our people seek God. Even our cultural industry does not help the issues. Hardly does Nollywood reflect indigenous belief systems as a source of values and meanings that can reform our social ethics. No, our Gods in our cinema are almost always a caricature.
To restate what I have repeatedly said in this column, there is no money ritual anywhere that works. No magical (or miracle) expertise anywhere in the world can make cash come out of nothing. What is called a money ritual is mostly a manipulation of credulity. After reading virtually every interview of those arrested for money rituals and the confession statement of the ritualists in documented police reports, I reasonably arrived at the conclusion that those arrested are split into two groups: people who knowingly deceive others, and the sincerely stupid people with a flimsy understanding of the modern monetary system. Those of the former category do not expect anything to happen and merely deceive with gimmickry. The latter, on the other hand, genuinely believes the magic is possible and therefore experiments with human lives. These are the ones who admit to trying out the rituals after learning about them. While no cash appears, they still make some money through sales of human body parts and that increases their motivation to keep trying. None of them has any record of testimonies of prior success, and they are usually men whose poverty is indelibly etched onto their appearance. They all look like their hearts would stop beating if they were ever handed a cash sum of one million in any currency. As stupid as they are, they are also the foot soldiers of a surreptitious economy of organ harvesting who hide their dealings in human body parts under the amorphous umbrella of “money rituals”.
Here is where their shoddy understanding of the modern monetary system betrays them: the cash they want to conjure is an invention of modernity and therefore relatively recent. The spirits that will materialise have supposedly existed before the existence of the legal tender and should be too timeless to be involved in producing something as vulgar as money. In any case, now that the concept of money in the contemporary economy is evolving into more abstract forms due to digital technology, are those spirits also transitioning to a cashless economy, or are they still stuck on paper money?
Our fore-parents, who originated the idioms of “money rituals”, were not speaking in the same literal language as the present-day “native doctors” who seek to replicate the magic. Their understanding of money rituals by our ancestors was borne of their observation of an emerging colonial modern economy (the slave trade, in particular), where—unlike the agrarian ones they knew intimately—offered the possibility of wealth without obvious work. Some of the contemporary “native doctors” who sacrifice a living human in their money rituals are either confused pretenders or psychopaths whose sickness has not yet been named.
Obieze, who was busted after a search team for a 13-year-old found her entombed in a sewage pit within an unfinished building used as a shrine, was obviously manipulating his clients’ psyche ink about it, knowing that a charm was produced for you from the blood of an innocent soul will do two things to any human: either drive them crazy or sear the conscience. If the latter happens, one is emboldened to the point of the daredevilry that separates great men from their ordinary counterparts. The effect of such magic is not so much supernatural as it is psychological. If you can live with yourself after taking a life, it also means you can engage in any unconscionable action for money. Your chances of making it increase, even if only marginally. And that is what the ruse of human sacrifice in money rituals is all about, not physical cash materialising out of thin air.
In his usual bluster, U.S. President Donald Trump at numerous hustings in 2024 promised to get a deal to end the fighting in Ukraine in just one day if elected president. In fact, he boasted that President Vladimir Putin wouldn’t have invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, starting the largest and deadliest war in Europe since World War II if he was the president.
That invasion became a major escalation of the conflict between the two countries which began in February 2014 when Putin not only annexed Crimea, but also ordered Russian paramilitaries’ war in the eastern Donbas region against Ukraine’s military. But Trump was dead wrong. More than four months after his inauguration, his self-avowed goal of securing a peace deal is dead, virtually.
The U.S. President was wrong in his characterisation of the brutal war because he misread Putin from the onset, believing that the Russo-Ukrainian War was an attempt by Putin to stop Ukraine from joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, NATO, an intergovernmental transnational military alliance of 32 member states — 30 European and two North American.
Ukraine had always had relations with NATO dating back to the early 1990s following its declaration of independence on August 24, 1991. She subsequently joined the North Atlantic Cooperation Council same year and the Partnership for Peace programme in 1994. Relations were further strengthened with the signing of the 1997 Charter on a Distinctive Partnership, which established the NATO-Ukraine Commission and further enhanced in 2009 with the Declaration to Complement the Charter, which reaffirmed the decision by NATO Leaders at the 2008 Bucharest Summit that Ukraine will become a member of NATO. In fact, until 2006, the Ukrainian Armed Forces worked with NATO in Iraq.
Granted, most Russian officials, including President Putin, believed it would be too risky to allow Ukraine join NATO, but that was not the reason for the invasion. Putin wilfully invaded Ukraine because he never believed it should be an independent state. The NATO spin was, therefore, a mere subterfuge, a smokescreen.
So, Trump couldn’t have stopped Putin from invading Ukraine in 2022 even if he was president because it was a premeditated action and the conditions Russia is giving for peace – Kyiv gives up big new chunks of territory and accepts limits on the size of its army – bear that truth out.
According to a memorandum published by the Russia-owned Interfax news agency on June 2, Putin said a settlement of the war would require international recognition of Crimea and four other regions of Ukraine – Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson – that Moscow is claiming as its own territory and Ukraine withdrawing its forces from all of them. Russia also restated its demands that Ukraine becomes a neutral country – ruling out membership of NATO, and ceases all military redeployments and limitations on the size of its armed forces, a halt to foreign provision of military aid, satellite communications and intelligence. Moscow is also insisting that Kyiv lifts martial law and holds presidential and parliamentary elections within 100 days, and Ukraine to abandon its demand for war reparations to be paid by Moscow.
Contrastingly, Ukraine is demanding a full 30-day ceasefire during which time peace negotiations can take place. Zelenskyy also said ahead of Monday’s meeting that Kyiv wants the release of all prisoners and the return of 400 Ukrainian children forcibly taken to Russia. The Russian delegation agreed to work on returning only 10, claiming that they were moved from war zones to protect them.
As if to confirm the widely held belief in Kyiv that Putin has no genuine interest in peace, despite Moscow’s participation in the US-brokered talks in Istanbul, Turkey, Dmitry Medvedev, former Russian president and prime minister now serving as the deputy chairman of the country’s Security Council, wrote on Telegram on Tuesday that the talks “are not meant to achieve a compromise peace based on some imaginary and unrealistic conditions invented by others, but rather to secure our swift victory and the complete destruction” of Zelenskyy’s government.
Of course, these demands are non-starters for Ukrainians, who insist that acquiescing to Russia’s conditionalities is tantamount to surrender, a point reemphasized by the Ukrainian ambassador to Nigeria, Mr. Ivan Kholostenko, in an exclusive interview with TheNiche on Wednesday: “The document Russia presented during the second Istanbul meeting did not show any meaningful evolution. Despite promising the United States to bring more constructive proposals, Russia returned with the same outdated ultimatums and maximalist demands that mirror its positions from 2022. There was no flexibility, no realism, and no genuine will to move toward peace. This demonstrates how disconnected the Russian leadership remains from both the needs of the Ukrainian people and the broader international consensus.”
Accepting such terms, Kholostenko said, will “amount to surrender, legitimisation of aggression, and a green light for further expansionism.” Ukraine “has consistently made it clear that peace must be just, durable, and based on international law. Capitulation is not an option, nor would it bring lasting stability to the region or the world.”
So, the negotiations which lasted barely an hour failed; the reason why the international community must be worried. Moscow’s hope of securing swift victory and the complete destruction of Zelenskyy’s government has become forlorn. Three years into a war Putin thought would end in just two weeks, Russia has made no substantial progress. Its hitherto fabled military capabilities has been exposed as grossly overrated and ineffectual when it mattered most.
But therein lies the danger. A frustrated, deflated and highly embarrassed Russia may resort to the use of nuclear arsenal in its desperation, more so as Ukraine continues to display a strategic edge as exemplified in its attack on Russian nuclear-capable long-range bomber planes at airfields in Siberia and the far north of the country on Sunday when it launched 117 drones in an operation codenamed “Spiderweb” deep inside Russia and thousands of miles from the front lines.
Western military analysts described the strikes as audacious. And it was. When the dust settled after the drone attack on airfields stretching from Siberia in the east to Murmansk in the north, 41 Russian warplanes, about one-third of its strategic bomber fleet, were reportedly destroyed causing over $7 billion in damage.
But war is an ill wind that blows nobody any good. The Russo-Ukrainian War is no exception. It has brought about immeasurable loss of human lives, both military personnel and innocent civilians. The destruction of infrastructure and resources is staggering.
A study published on Tuesday by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, said almost 1.4 million troops – nearly one million Russians and close to 400,000 Ukrainians – have been killed or wounded since the war of attrition began. “No Soviet or Russian war since World War II has even come close… in terms of fatality rate,” the study said. Besides, Russia has reportedly lost nearly 11,000 tanks and almost 23,000 armoured infantry vehicles since the war began. Today, the United Nations is predicting that Ukraine’s reconstruction may cost $486 billion — roughly two and a half times her GDP.
Yet, despite these humongous losses – human and material – at the beginning of 2025, the Russian military controlled only about 18 per cent of Ukraine’s territory. All through 2024, it added only 1,500 square miles, which amounts to less than one per cent of Ukraine. Now, military experts aver that Ukraine’s ability to hold out as long as it has and launch offensive operations in Russia, as it did last Sunday, has punctured the global image of Russia’s military might.
Now, a bolstered Zelenskyy is talking tough. On Tuesday, two days after the blistering attacks on Russian airfields, he said Ukraine will neither surrender nor give in to any ultimatums, even as he affirmed that: “But we do not want to fight, we do not want to demonstrate our strength – we demonstrate it because the enemy does not want to stop.”
And he is correct. Neither he nor Ukraine started this “war of blame.” Putin is the aggressor and this aggression started with the illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014. This is Putin’s war and it will stop today if the man who started the war by invading another sovereign country decides to put an end to the madness.
In case he fails to appreciate the precariousness of the situation and the futility in his aggression, his friend, the ultimate deal maker, Donald Trump, should help in nudging him to genuine truce rather than threatening that the U.S. is ready to walk away from its mediation efforts unless the two sides demonstrate progress towards a deal. That is no way to make a deal.
The news last week that the Federal Government is seemingly finalising plans to put the Digital Switchover (DSO) on an accelerator that can immediately take it to about 10 million people, was very elevating and, for me, it marks a good turn for the Tinubu administration.
The story, which has been in gestation but only broke last week, is the fruit of a relationship between the National Broadcasting Commission (NBC) and NigComSat which have both agreed to deploy their available capacity and resources to resolve the DSO impasse.
The NBC which is the nation’s broadcast regulator is the arrowhead of DSO implementation in Nigeria (migration from analogue to digital television broadcasting), while NigComSat is charged with providing satellite capacity for the nation and beyond, and has a satellite, NigComSat – 1R in the geostationary orbit. However, the story of DSO in Nigeria has not been very inspiring, resulting in the nation missing the ITU implementation targets twice. Before this development, the process was in hibernation, giving the impression that Nigeria cannot even implement a simple process. Simple?
For us, everything is nearly like rocket science. But details of information released May 29, 2025, by both organisations are very uplifting and can stir any soul. Titled, NBC and NigComSat Unveil Nigeria’s Satellite-Driven Digital Switchover: “The Big Picture,” it says, “In a bold move to redefine Nigeria’s digital future, the National Broadcasting Commission (NBC) and Nigerian Communications Satellite Ltd (NigComSat) have launched The Big Picture – a revolutionary upgrade to the country’s Digital Switchover (DSO) strategy.”
Highlights of The Big Picture include: Satellite Over Terrestrial – no towers, NigComSat-1R to beam Direct-to-Home signals across Nigeria instantly; Immediate Access – Over 10 million Nigerian households with satellite-ready TVs or DVB-S2 set-top boxes can access 100+ Free-to-Air television channels; Hybrid Smart Boxes, which combine satellite channels with streaming apps; and Content for All – 40 percent of all channels slots are reserved for independent and regional producers.
The proposition fascinates to no end. It means that a nation whose entertainment sector is booming across the world, will have more of her contents on digital TV. It means more job for Nollywood and an auspicious opportunity to saloon it’s abundant talents; it means ordinary folks can have access to digital contents; and it also means more channels for Nigerians to ventilate their spleen on the state of the nation sans freedom of speech.
But every story has a flipside and this is needed for the understanding of the unfolding picture in the broadcast industry. The broadcast channels in the country are run on frequencies allocated to broadcast operators by the NBC. It was so in other parts of the world, although the story has gradually changed as a majority have completed their switchover.
It is often said that frequencies are a scarce resource which are managed from the global platform of the ITU. Since both TV and Telecommunications can use the same frequencies, and frequencies are a scarce resource, mind you, the thinking of the ITU in 2006, was for broadcast channels to move operations to digital platforms that could accommodate as many channels as imagination can guess. The movement will free up their frequencies for telecom operations; this will impact on broadband service deployment and cost of service acquisition.
While about nine countries in Africa, including Mauritius, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda have completed the switchover, the process in Nigeria has been so convoluted and too woollen to pass a transparency test. That was until last week; or is it?
An industry source told this writer that the satellite option is very attractive and should be encouraged. Afterall, Morocco did it by taking about 90 percent of their switchover through satellite while the remaining 10 percent was terrestrial, perhaps because of their terrain. The source suggested that Nigeria can also adopt the hybrid approach of terrestrial deployment in the core cities while using satellite in remote areas, more because of pervasive insecurity than mountainous terrains. The satellite option may escalate the process of harvesting the digital dividends.
But another source which is more in the hardware area in the switchover ecosystem, pointed out that the protocol of the switchover is based on Digital Terrestrial Television (DTT) and not Direct-to-Home (DTH) which has existed in Nigeria since the coming of M-Net, and then Multichoice before being joined by Startimes. DTT relies on towers/masts unlike DTH which is space inclined.
The source observed that the proposition which looks beautiful doesn’t seem to accommodate previous history of the process and the stakeholders involved in it.
Let’s interrupt the above thought. For the DSO to take off in Nigeria, the NBC licensed ITS and Pinnacle as signal carriers for broadcasters, while a number of companies were also licensed to manufacture set-top boxes (STBs) that will convert digital signals for the use of anologue television. The STB prevents analogue TV sets from being junked!
Investors were encouraged to come into the industry. While Pinnacle, for instance, paid over N600m for a carrier license (don’t ask me how much ITS, which is linked to NTA paid, just like NITEL and GSM license – they always don’t pay), the STB manufacturers shelled out N50m each to become pioneer players in the switchover process.
Quite some money have gone into the process. The Nigerian government, in demonstration of good faith, may have put in about N50bn while the other players – Pinnacle, ITS and the STB manufacturers, may also have invested another N20bn in equipment or platform installations and manufacturing, according to industry sources. There are hundreds of thousands of STBs in warehouses across the country. The other day, a voice called this writer from up north to complain that his investment in the distribution of STBs has ruined his life! The past cannot just be interred and papered over with the fantasy of beautiful ideas.
Back to the story, there are complaints from different stakeholders in the ecosystem that they have hardly had any interaction with their regulator or even the other party involved in The Big Picture.
There are always stakeholders in an ecosystem. I will want to observe that the stakeholders in the DSO process are: the government, regulator, industry – broadcasters, signal carriers, STB manufacturers, and the viewers which have been aptly identified in The Big Picture as households, with 10 million projected in the first instance. There is an addition – NigComSat! To be frank, the households are powerless in the process until the big boys have sorted out themselves.
I will want to suggest here that the regulator should play more with the stakeholders because a regulator without stakeholders is like a general without troops or a king without chiefs or people. The stakeholders must be embedded in the dreams of the regulator.
A former regulator (there are so many of them because there was churn in leadership at a time) suggested that to avoid a disconnect and unnecessary acrimonies in the DSO process, the regulator may need to properly engage the STB manufacturers in ccnversation to determine their technology capacity, financial exposure and even the amount of goods they have in their warehouses, in order to find an intervention that can assuage all parties.
“It is important that they are taken into consideration because they have made sizeable investments,” the source counselled.
Charles Ebuebu, Director-General of the NBC says: “We’re not just digitizing TV. We’re redefining access, storytelling and how Nigerians connect.”
That sounds like good music that can titillate any ear. However, here is my final observation. NBC is a regulator and cannot be involved in the day-to-day running of a broadcast platform. NigComSat is a satellite service provider that should be more into transponder leasing, among other services. NigComSat is not a last mile service provider. It’s attempts to do last mile services in the past created a lot of disaffections in ancillary sectors. Just like a guy carrying an elephant on his head and attempting to sell cricket meat!
Who will run The Big Picture platform? The razzle-dazzle idea may deserve more intentionality by the promoters and more scrutiny by relevant stakeholders, because it is quite easy for investment in broadcasting, including entertainment, to go kaput. History does not lie.
In a nation where hardly a single day passes without tragedy, it can be overwhelming for public officials to respond to all the bad news. From a vehicular accident claiming no fewer than 22 athletes returning from a national sports festival to almost 200 fatalities and dozens of others believed to have been swept away by devastating floods, it has been a period of mourning in Nigeria. Even at that, the official silence to the trending video of how CSP Baba Ali Muhammad was brutally murdered by street urchins is very telling on the value we place on the life of those we expect to protect us.
Before I proceed, let me state that crime fighting is a risky enterprise all over the world. For instance, according to the website of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), 47 law enforcement officers were murdered in the first eight months of last year. “Firearms were used in 76.6 percent of the felonious deaths occurring in 2024. Among officers killed with firearms, four are confirmed to have been wearing body armour,” the FBI report reveals. “The leading circumstances surrounding the officers’ felonious deaths were related to investigative/enforcement (16), unprovoked attacks (8), and ambushes (entrapment/premeditation) (6).”
However, what is different in the case of Nigeria is the growing rate at which criminals are targeting our law enforcement officers for extermination without fear. Not to mention the way we treat our policemen—alive or dead. That is not the case elsewhere. In March this year, President Donald Trump called for a mandatory death penalty for anyone convicted of killing an American law enforcement officer. After signing an executive order that would make the death penalty mandatory in such cases, Trump called on Congress to ensure it becomes a permanent law. He also honoured the widow of NYPD Officer, Jonathan Diller, who was shot during a traffic stop in March 2023. Meanwhile, I am yet to see a presidential response to the mob killing of the Divisional Police Officer (DPO) for Rano in Kano State.
I once referenced the response by Vivek Tulja, a satellite communication expert, to a question on why criminals, including members of the Mafia, avoid killing policemen unless they are cornered. “If you happen to kill a cop, you are best off using the last bullet in your magazine on yourself,” Tulja concluded. That appears not be the case in Nigeria given how the Rano DPO was executed in a most brutal manner by a mob not even afraid to record their own bestial action.
In recent days, I have had revealing exchanges with Mr Tunji Alapini, a retired Assistant Inspector General of Police, regarding this tragedy. “That an officer of the law left his home for the office and ended up being gruesomely murdered in a ‘sane’ society is beyond imagination,” said Alapini who admitted shedding tears after watching the gory video. “I am not in full picture of the incident that made those criminals believe they have a right to take the life of an officer on legitimate duty, but from the aftermath of the Police Interim Investigation report, the mob massacred the DPO because a suspect allegedly died in the cell at his station.”
While advocating that the culprits (most of whom have been arrested by the police) be made to bear “the full consequences of their action,” Alapini also expressed concern about the lack of outrage from critical stakeholders in our country on the tragic incident. “While the Police cried out about what happened to the unfortunate officer, there was a deafening silence from the Governor of Kano State, traditional rulers, National Assembly members etc. It is almost as if the lives of our police and military personnel don’t matter. And that is both concerning and saddening.”
I share Alapini’s sentiment. As the principal custodian of peace, order and security in a constitutional democracy, no institution is arguably more important than the police. But so abused is this law enforcement authority in Nigeria that both the government and society seem not to care about their personnel. Yet, given the strategic relationship between the well-being of the police and the security of citizens, we neglect this critical institution to our own peril.
I have in the past recounted the October 2011 statement by a police officer’s wife at the Obalende barracks in Lagos which revealed the indignities to which their families had been exposed. It may be worth repeating at a time like this. “We have been suffering in silence. These barracks are like a refugee camp. We have no toilet facilities, no pipe-borne water and no electricity, and we are now being threatened by floods and reptiles,” the woman told the visiting Police Affairs Minister, Caleb Olubolade. “We live a little above animals. We are like sub-human beings here. This is a place of death; the mosquitoes here don’t surrender to insecticides…”
How do we expect the personnel of a Police force whose families live like ‘sub-human beings’ to perform optimally? Yes, I have written several columns on the excesses of the police, but we should also be fair. If the life of a divisional police officer could be taken by a mob in such a gruesome manner and authorities in Nigeria move on as if nothing happened, what justification do we have to hold them accountable when they misbehave?
Alapini suggests that the Rano Police station be named after the deceased CSP. I agree. But I also hope those in authorities can understand that the manner in whichthe life of the Rano DPO was taken is a direct assault on social order and a grave threat to the foundation of any functioning society. And there must be severe consequences, if only to serve as a deterrence to others that when you kill a policeman in Nigeria, you are digging your own grave. It must never happen again!
Health of the President
Last Thursday, former Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Deputy Governor in charge of economic policy, Kingsley Obiora, sent me an interesting message, followed by two lengthy posts. First, the message: “I asked two AI-powered search engines to comment on ‘Power, Politics and Death’ by Olusegun Adeniyi and ‘Original Sin’ by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson and see if there are any similarities. Below are the responses from Elon Musk’s Grok and Sam Altman’s ChatGPT.”
The first forwarded post by Kingsley was the response he received from Grok. “To address the query, I’ll compare the behaviors of key actors in Power, Politics and Death by Olusegun Adeniyi and Original Sin by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson, focusing on their actions, motivations, and the consequences as depicted in the books.” Both works, according to Grok, “delve into political intrigue, leadership challenges, and the handling of crises, offering a lens to examine how key figures navigate power, secrecy, and public perception.”
In both books, Grok continues, “key actors exhibited hubris by overestimating their ability to control outcomes and denying the reality of their leader’s incapacitation. This led to catastrophic political consequences—Nigeria’s constitutional crisis and the U.S. Democrats’ electoral defeat.” But Grok also admits that while there are striking similarities, contexts differ in the two countries: “Nigeria’s political system in Power, Politics and Death was marked by weaker institutions, allowing personalities to dominate over constitutional norms. In contrast, Original Sin operates in the U.S.’s more structured democratic system, where the cover-up faced greater scrutiny due to media and electoral pressures.” On the outcomes, “Yar’Adua’s death resolved the crisis by forcing a transition to Jonathan, whereas Biden’s withdrawal led to Kamala Harris’s candidacy, which still failed to prevent Trump’s victory, highlighting different stakes and timelines.”
After a lengthy disquisition of various aspects of the two books, Grok concluded: “The key actors in both Power, Politics and Death and Original Sin exhibit remarkably similar behaviors: concealing their leader’s health issues, prioritizing loyalty over public interest, manipulating political processes, displaying hubris, and being influenced by family dynamics. These actions reflect a universal tendency among political elites to cling to power, even at the cost of transparency and democratic integrity. In both cases, the consequences were severe—a constitutional crisis in Nigeria and an electoral disaster for U.S. Democrats—underscoring the dangers of such behaviors in leadership.”
The second post was what ChatGPT had to say on both books, which is remarkably similar. “Power, Politics and Death by Olusegun Adeniyi and Original Sin by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson, though centered on different political landscapes—Nigeria and the United States respectively—both delve into the inner workings of presidential administrations during times of crisis. A comparative analysis reveals notable similarities in the behaviors of key actors in these narratives,” ChatGPT wrote.After also comparing different aspects of the books, ChatGPT concluded: “In summary, both books shed light on the complexities of political leadership during health crises, emphasizing how inner circles can influence decisions, manipulate information, and impact national stability. The parallels between the two administrations underscore the universal challenges of governance, transparency, and the human elements that shape political narratives.”
Reading through the posts by Grok and ChatGBT, I marveled at the incredible power of AI and the future of the knowledge industry. But the message from Kingsley also prompted me to get the book, ‘Original Sin (President Biden’s Decline, It’s Coverup, and his disastrous choice to run again’ which I read on the long flight from Boston to San Francisco enroute Dallas last Saturday. The Biden book has, of course, elicited several reactions. Even the White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, waded in. “I think anybody looking again at the videos and photo evidence of Joe Biden with … a little bit of common sense can see that this was a clear coverup,” Leavitt responded to a question on revelations from the book. “And Jill Biden was certainly complicit in that coverup.”
I agree that both books are similar in subject. But they diverge on thrust. The Biden book is about shielding an incumbent presidentseeking a second term from the eyes of a public whose confidence is likely to be shaken by greater knowledge of his physical and mental state. In a way, it is also about protecting the institution of the US presidency from perceptions that could imperil orderly transition. In the case ofYar’Adua, it is about sustaining a power incumbency during a crisis necessitated by ill health. In both books, what comes out clearly is the uncharted territory of how to deal with presidential health confidence in an accountable manner without exposing the principal to public ridicule.
Perhaps because I was a participant observer in the narrative contained in the Yar’Adua book, I have sympathy for Mrs Jill Biden and MessrsMike Donilon, Steve Ricchetti, Bruce Reed and Hunter Biden—members of what was described by the authors as the ‘Politburo’—the Nigerian version of the ‘Cabal’. From my own experience, the assumption that people around a leader with health challenges are there only to preserve their own power and privileges is not necessarily true. Some may simply be helpless after weighing several factors on a problem over which they have no control.
While this is an issue for another day, the ultimate lesson—which is evident in both ‘Original Sin’ and ‘Power, Politics and Death’—is the challenge that comes with the illness of a national leader. For those close to such a leader and the country over which he presides.
The Ghost of June 12
‘Combining the techniques of a diarist, reporter and commentator, Olusegun Adeniyi reports the events as they unfolded under the late General Sani Abacha, he allows the actors of that drama to speak in their own words, he constructs the narrative in a chronological sequence and guides us to the climactic and sudden end of the Abacha misadventure. He provides strong entertainment in recording the statements of those willing agents of dictatorship who handed over the initiative to Abacha, but who ironically today are occupying positions of authority as democrats. The author mentions their names directly and confronts us with the fickleness of the human mind and the dangers of the personal factor in Nigerian politics…the characters in his account are either villains or charlatans, democrats or political mercenaries, men of principles or hired thugs. Without calling anyone names, he allows their deeds to place a judgment of history upon their heads…’
The foregoing, written by Dr Reuben Abati, is from the Foreword to ‘The Last 100 Days of Abacha’, first published in August 2005, but now part of the coming book, ‘The Ghost of June 12’. Meanwhile, I have received several messages on whether there will be a public presentation of the book. There will not be any such formal ceremony. But the book will be available for readers across the country from Monday, June 16. For pre-order, those interested should contact www.rhbooks.com.ng or Call/WhatsApp: +2349092158968; +2348028287089.
• You can follow me on my X (formerly Twitter) handle, @Olusegunverdict and on www.olusegunadeniyi.com