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[OPINION] Nigerian political parties without leaders - Dele Sobowale
“A group without a leader is a mob” – Anonymous, VANGUARD BOOK OF QUOTATIONS, VBQ, p 82. “All political parties die at last of swallowing their own lies” – Dr John Arbuthnot, 1667-1735, VBQ p 191.
Ask anybody who is the leader of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, or the Labour Party; and you would receive different answers. These are the two leading opposition parties. Yet, they are effectively leaderless. Everybody in the world knows who the leader of the Conservative Party in Britain. She is our own Nigerian-born Kemi Badenoch. We might not like what she says; but, worldwide, she is more highly esteemed that any politician in Nigeria today; mainly, because she will never decamp to the ruling party for personal gain. The abnormality can never happen in the UK or India or Canada. There are some Made-In-Nigeria political atrocities which, being endemic, have guaranteed that good governance, which is indispensable to development, will continue to elude us.
Just in case the reader goes away with the impression that the ruling party had been exonerated, permit me to ask: who is the leader of the All Progressives Congress, APC? I know the President – Bola Tinubu. Ordinarily, he should be regarded as the leader. But, some of the most disgruntled political elements, especially in the North, are APC members. So badly is the party divided, the Chairman, Ganduje, has been afraid to call a meeting of the National Executive Committee. That is bad enough. The most alarming aspect of the APC problem lies in the lack of total support for Tinubu and even open hostility, by people holding APC party cards.
Important Bills
“There is nothing worse than for a leader to look behind him and find nobody is following” – US President Lyndon Johnson. Tinubu is not without followers; far from it. However, there are several types of followers. What happened to Jonathan should teach him a lesson – going forward. Most Nigerian politicians are political mercenaries; they go where food is ready and leave when there is threat to the food supply. Right now, northern political leaders are confronted with an APC in which their financial interests are seriously threatened. In less than two years of Tinubu government, the adverse changes in their individual and collective circumstances have resulted in a groundswell of demand for the return of the presidency to the North – at all costs.
More than ever, they are prepared to forgive even those who governed very badly. El-Rufai, the immediate past Governor of Kaduna State, offers a good example of current mind of the North. Extremely clever, he knows that blaming the rulers excites the populace more easily than appeals for hope when a country experiences economic hardship. It is all well and good to point to the benefits in the long run if tough measures are taken now. But, the stomach is a rascal. People don’t eat in the long run; they must have food today. And, if that is not possible; somebody must pay for it. The strongest campaigners against the Tinubu government are APC members. Before going into the details of how they intend to sabotage the leadership of the APC, it is necessary to point out that they have already scored a major victory.
Tax Bills Gutted
“Building half a bridge is the most worthless investment a government can make” – An international bridge-builder with over 300 bridges to his credit. Granted, Tinubu and the framers of the Tax Reform Bills committed a blunder by not consulting widely enough and building a winning coalition before presenting the bill to the National Assembly, NASS. Still, the fact that the first groups to openly reject them were those dominated by APC spoke volumes about how much control the President had over his own party.
The Nigeria Governors Forum, at first, not only turned them down; the most vocal opponent of the bills was Professor Zulum of Borno State. Vice President Shetimma, who is from that state, must have been deeply embarrassed. That gesture demonstrated beyond reasonable doubt that the party could not guarantee the support of its own Governors. Similarly, at the NASS, the fiercest war against the bills was waged by APC Senators led by Ndume. That provided the northern elite the opportunity to rally the people around them. Incidentally, anybody following the affair closely would have noticed that most members of the Arewa Consultative Forum, ACF, the Northern Elders Forum, NEF, as well as various youth organisations, who were up in arms, had not even read the bills before taking positions.
Once the bills were pronounced anti-North by the early responders, the majority simply fell in line. It was the classic case of giving a dog a bad name in order to hang it. The very few northern FG supporters kept their distance; they remained in Abuja out of fear of reprisals by lynch mobs. The Daily Trust, the most reliable political weather vane, to which I subscribe, published everyday stinging rebukes of the bills as a plot by Lagos State to colonise the North. It was as bad as that. Tension was lowered when amendments were made to the bills which partly mollified the Governors. Despite that, trust had been eroded. Northerners, who provided the winning margin, now feel like the man who escaped being beheaded by a beneficiary but lost his cap. The broad attitude now is: never again. Millions of those who voted in 2023 have turned their backs on the apparent leader of their party. The obvious question is: why have they not departed? The short answer is: money and time.
The Enemies Within
“Better a declared enemy than a doubtful ally” – Napoleon Bonaparte, 1769-1821.
Tinubu should thank God for Atiku and Obi. They are declared political opponents, but, might not be harmful on account of the mobs which have seized control of the PDP and Labour Party. The fellows who should be giving him sleepless nights are APC members; who are no longer loyal to him, but, who recognise that he is still in control of the kitchen. They intend to stay; continue to collect their shares of the national cake and stab him in the back at the right time. El-Rufai is naïve and too emotional for his own good. Yet, he is better than the pretenders who are working quietly to sabotage the APC and Tinubu.
Some of them are in Aso Rock. Obviously, even the APC is in muted disarray. Unlike the other poor parties, money has made it possible to sound-proof the edifice called APC; neighbours don’t hear the noise – which is very much there. Thus, if you ask APC members privately who is your leader, you might be shocked to receive the sort of reply one “party stalwart” gave me in Lagos last week: “We no longer have a leader. That old man should go home. See the mess he has created in Lagos State.” Tinubu might not realise it; but, he needs rock solid support from the South-West, especially, Lagos. He also must work on the rest of the South. Most people in the North have already made up their minds; this government is not for them. There is danger ahead.
Men, Money and Madness
“Power and money, do, of course, drive people crazy. So, why shouldn’t people also gain power and wealth through being crazy?” – Saul Bellow, 1915-2005, VBQ p 195. America, once called God’s Own Country, but not any longer, has two crazy men running the government. They have power and money and don’t care what anybody says. Americans used to pretend that nobody is above the law. But, they shamelessly elected the most lawless person ever to run for President.
Just two weeks ago, Donald Trump defied a court order; and nobody in Congress said a word. If Tinubu had done that, an American media would have called him all sorts of names and our National Assembly, NASS, bush men. That is understandable. Tinubu is not crazy; and people in our NASS are not under a spell. They have faults; but, not those needing to be remedied by bringing straight jackets. Mark my words, Americans will wake up before the end of Trump’s term to discover that even a giant alone can be extremely vulnerable.
Regina vs Chika drama takes over the internet
From the 2Baba divorce saga, we are now into stories and speculations about what is happening in beautiful actress, Regina Daniel’s life. It began with oh! Regina has just deactivated her Instagram account and next, she stepped out without her ring. That got social media users sensing trouble in her marriage as the 6th wife. Now, this is where I must say that I don’t fancy the life of celebrities at all. No privacy!
So far, so much has been blown open and written about the actress within a short time. One of her colleagues, Chika Ike was placed at the centre of the entire drama. She was accused of trying to make her way into pa Ned’s life as the 7th wife. They said Regina isn’t okay with that. Because of that, many people are criticising her for deactivating her Instagram account based on mere rumour. Trust me, Bloggers have been on a rampage since the rumour started. This could honestly be the reason she deactivated that account; fear of backlash. Nigerians can be mean sometimes. One of the bloggers posted a statement allegedly made by Chika on the matter. “Ned isn’t the father of my child. I’m not about to be anyone’s 7th wife! Polygamy isn’t for me. I’ve been pregnant for months now and no one had a clue until I announced it. Keep digging and coming up with your false news. I don’t care. My privacy is my peace and no one can unsettle me.” Then, why share glamorous maternity pictures online if you wanted it private?
Well, there’s also a statement said to be from the Director of Communications, office of Sen. Ned Nwoko, making the rounds on social media, dismissing the rumour about Chika’s involvement in the family.
If you ask me, what’s the fuse all about if the man in charge wishes to get a seventh wife? Was there an undertaking that he will stop at number six?
Whether the gossip about possible ‘trouble in paradise’ is true or not, let’s just dive into some comments on social media. Netizens seem to know too much.
@bellaTheBomba wrote, “Chika Ike gave birth for Ned Nwoko and Regina has deactivated her Instagram.” This netizen seems to know a lot. Hmmnnn!
West @flygodT replied, “I’m just surprised she actually has feelings for him.”
Ifeayichukwu @ Myka_veli commented, “I don’t understand women at all. Regina Daniels and Chika Ike had the opportunity to choose the most eligible bachelors in Nigeria owing to their status as celebrities plus they’re good looking. Why choose an old man with 5 wives over young bobos?”
Olucih @Phatbabeluu wrote, “Regina Daniels would have made good money on her own without attaching herself to that grandpa. She had great prospects.”
Brooda John @ Nigeriangod wrote, “Chika Is the real senior wife cos she has been there long before Ned married other wives. She didn’t want to marry him then cos she said she had to return to school for her master and establish other business. So, Ned sent her to Harvard University.” Really?
Morris Monye commented, “As far back as 2012, if you visited Ned Nwoko at his country home near Onicha-Ugbo, you would see Chika Ike around. She has always been his woman.”
[Vanguard]
North needs alliance with south-south to save Nigeria, says el-Rufai
Nasir el-Rufai, former governor of Kaduna, says the north must forge an alliance with the south-south to “save” Nigeria.
Speaking on Friday during a condolence visit to the family of Edwin Clark, the late elder statesman and Niger Delta advocate, who died on February 17, el-Rufai said the north and south-south had a strong historical political partnership.
“In the 60s, 70s and 80s, the traditional political partners of the north was the south-south. Let us not forget that. Let us go back to that. Let us save this country because it really requires saving. We need a rescue operation,” el-Rufai said.
Ahead of the 2027 general election, there have been talks of coalitions and alliances with politicians across opposition parties holding “strategic meetings”.
El-Rufai, who was led to the condolence visit by Atiku Abubakar, said the former vice-president deserves credit for spearheading economic reforms during the Olusegun Obasanjo administration.
Abubakar was vice-president to former president Olusegun Obasanjo government from 1999 to 2007.
The former governor has been meeting members of opposition parties in recent weeks.
In January, el-Rufai met with Hamza Al-Mustapha, ex-aide to late Sani Abacha; Shehu Gabam, national chairman of the Social Democratic Party (PDP); and other politicians in the nation’s capital.
Segun Showunmi, a former spokesperson of the Atiku Abubakar campaign organisation, said the meeting was to strategise ahead of the 2027 elections.
There have been speculations that el-Rufai has been working to pitch his political tent elsewhere.
Last month, el-Rufai said the distance between him and the All Progressives Congress (APC) is “widening”.
[TheCable]
Obasanjo opted to leave Army when asked to succeed Murtala ―IBB
•Narrates how he disarmed Dimka during 1976 coup
FORMER Military President, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida, has disclosed that former President Olusegun Obasanjo opted to leave the Army after he was asked to succeed former Head of State, Murtala Muhammed, following the failure of the 1976 coup that claimed Murtala’s life.
IBB made this disclosure in his autobiography, A Journey in Service while giving accounts of the events that followed the attempt to forcefully take over the Murtala’s military administration by a group of mutineers led by Lieutenant-Colonel Bukar Dimka.
Following Murtala’s death, IBB, in chapter 5 of his book entitled “The Murtala Muhammed Years,” narrated that the Supreme Military Council met the following day to discuss the succession plan but the council was divided over the choice of Obasanjo and Theophilus Danjuma, both of whom, at the time, were Lieutenant-Generals and most senior military officer.
IBB disclosed that though the pendulum of the SMC swung in Danjuma’s direction, he rejected the offer and suggested that Obasanjo, who was Murtala’s deputy and a ‘senior’ Lieutenant-General, should succeed Murtala.
According to him, Obasanjo, instead, opted to retire from the Army to pave the way for Danjuma’s ascension as Head of State, but such move led to a stalemate as Danjuma rejected the suggestion, insisting that Obasanjo should succeed the late Head of State.
IBB narrated on page 99 of his book: “The next day, the SMC met in Lagos to pick a successor to General Muhammed. We knew it would be either General Obasanjo or General Danjuma since, as Lieutenant-Generals, they were the most senior. As I recall, the pendulum swung in favour of General Danjuma at the start of the deliberations. Everyone present, including Obasanjo, thought Danjuma should take over.
“But somehow, Danjuma cast his lot with Obasanjo, insisting that as Muhammed’s deputy and a ‘senior’ Lieutenant-General, Obasanjo should succeed Murtala Muhammed. Obasanjo refused and offered, if I recall accurately, to retire from the Army to enable Danjuma to emerge as Head of State. There appeared to be a momentary stalemate. But that soon faded away. Faced with the insistence of Danjuma, everyone caved in, and Obasanjo accepted the challenge to succeed Murtala.
“With the question of the Head of State settled, the choice of substantive Deputy to Obasanjo and Chief of Staff (Supreme Headquarters) had to be resolved. I don’t recall that it was tabled before the SMC. But I suspect that General Danjuma, as Chief of Army Staff and ‘de facto’ deputy to Obasanjo during those early days, decided, presumably after consultations, to name Lt-Col. Shehu Musa Yar’Adua as Chief of Staff, Supreme Headquarters. And in an exercise that would have rattled a few within the military, especially those senior to him, Yar’Adua was promptly promoted to Brigadier and, subsequently, Major-General.”
The elder stateman also narrated how he disarmed late Dimka and other mutineers who had taken over the Radio House, adding that in the ensuing gunfight, Dimka escaped but his aide-de-camp, 2nd Lt Garba, was killed among other casualties.
“Meanwhile, I returned to General Danjuma to give him a report of my encounter with Dimka. Danjuma was furious. He ordered me back to the Radio House with a reiteration of his earlier instructions to ‘flush Dimka out of place immediately.
“I returned to Radio House with Chris Ugokwe, better equipped and prepared. By now, we had been joined by, among others, Mike Otuwa, James Ojokojo, John Shagaya and Jack Iketubosin.
“But first, I had to reach out to my friend and classmate, Sani Sami, who commanded the Brigade of Guards, to handle a difficult assignment. The Brigade of Guards’ barracks provided easy access to the Radio House. But again, I had to be careful since I wasn’t sure whether the Brigade was still loyal to the government.
“Sani Sami and I consulted and agreed that there should be minimum destruction. And that we would do what we were taught as cadets in situations involving a civilian population to ensure that civilians got out of the way and didn’t get injured.
“Once that was done, we moved in, cordoned off the area and engaged the mutineers in a gun battle. There were casualties in the ensuing armed confrontation, including Dimka’s ADC, 2nd Lt Garba. Also, one of the other vital plotters, Major Ibrahim Rabo, was arrested by Major Yomi Williams as he tried to escape and was promptly taken to the Bonny camp for interrogation. But, somehow, Dimka, quite inexplicably to this day, managed to escape from the scene unharmed,” IBB recalled.
He added that “Later that evening, the Federal government announced that the coup attempt had been quashed and declared seven days of national mourning in Murtala’s honour. The next day, February 14, General Muhammed was buried in Kano at a ceremony witnessed by thousands of mourners and members of the SMC, including Major-General Bisalla, who would later be implicated in the coup attempt.
“The national outpouring of grief and support following the assassination of Murtala was unprecedented. In his short six months in office, Murtala Muhammed had become a folk hero, endearing himself to many. Angry, grief-stricken students of the Universities of Ibadan, Benin and Lagos held violent street demonstrations in protest against his killers.
“Organised Labour movements, civil society organisations and even market women issued statements of solidarity for the Murtala Muhammed administration. Afterwards, the GOC of the 1 Division in Kaduna, Major-General Alani Akinrinade, issued a strong statement of support from Lagos for Murtala, and virtually all other military installations in the country followed suit by disassociating themselves from the coup.”
[Nigerian Tribune]
[OPINION] Don’t Urinate On Their Graves! - Wole Olaoye
All animals are not equal. If you doubt it, attempt to replicate General Ibrahim Babangida’s actions and inactions over the years – and see where you’ll end up.
First shoot your way into power. Confront civil society with both an iron fist and a toothy smile. Be a military Janus – on one side Santa Claus, on the other Belgium’s Leopold II. Then, seeing the prodigious talent and charisma Providence has bestowed on you, lock yourself up in a social laboratory and, like the scientist Frankenstein, create a new serpentine democracy which crawls a little to the right and a little to the left, eventually threatening to swallow you.
The June 12 monster! In what book is it written that a date could swallow an emperor? Run! As a cat with so many lives, you call it a day and retire into comfort. Didn’t God Himself rest on the seventh day?
Your coterie of eulogists and beneficiaries add salt to the society’s injury: They canonise you. “Saint Ibrahim invented the new Nigeria! It’s just unfortunate that negative forces did not allow him to conclude the good work he had started”. In the pantheon of Nigeria’s carpetbaggers who watered the tree of autocracy with the blood of fellow citizens, they say, “Saint Ibrahim is better than the other goggle-wearing gnome. We can confirm that Ibrahim doesn’t eat infants.”
In your hibernation, you continue to enjoy the status of a major shareholder in Naija Turn-By-Turn Plc. Your castle is a Mecca to which every political pilgrim journeys. And then, 32 years after the crime of June 12, you re-emerge to take responsibility for everything that happened under your watch. Except that it still wasn’t your fault but the machination of that goggled one!
Forgivable?
So, you knew all these years that MKO Abiola was the winner of the June 12, 1993 presidential election and you waited for 32 years, after social strife, a near civil war, death of thousands of fellow citizens, destruction of careers, social polarisation and – tellingly – the death of the goggled one you fingered?
Now who is going to defend Afajápemó (he who owns dogs that hunt down rabbits for him)?
I believe in forgiveness. But a penitent person at confession shouldn’t be dribbling the priest. If a sinner says, “It was my hand, not me, that slapped the complainant”, who shall we hold responsible? Can forgiveness be possible or efficacious unless the compunction is heartfelt?
And in this case, what is the equivalent of restitution? Resurrection of the president-elect whose mandate was embezzled by a few gangsters? Saying sorry to the Abiola family and the relatives of Gen. Yar’Adua, Chief Alfred Rewane, Alhaja Suliat Adedeji, Bagauda Kaltho and thousands of others sent to their untimely graves between 1993 and 1998? Repairing, through some social alchemy, the bridges of ethnic amity destroyed by the whole saga? Recall of military officers who lost their commission because they chose to stand by the truth?
I confess that I do not have the answers. Perhaps, this poet does:
Grab a plate and throw it on the floor.
Okay, done!!
Did it break?
Yes it did.
Now say sorry to it.
Sorry!
Did it go back to how it was before?
Sometimes, sorry can’t fix everything.
Some broken lives cannot be the same again.
Broken Lives
And, thanks to the unnamed compatriot who Nigerianised the verse after Babangida launched his much-awaited book, “A Journey In Service” (thanks for sharing, Prof. Akin Onigbinde).
The lives you tore with your blatant lies, wrong accusations, negative criticisms and Gossips of hatred for no just reason might not be the same again.
Mind how you treat people.
The Life you didn’t Create.
Don’t be the one to destroy it.
…Apologies alone, and then a haulage of over N30 billion to Minna?
For a Library of Infamy?
How fair? How just?
Indeed, all animals are not equal. In normal life, a capo doesn’t return to the crime scene to hug the klieg lights and rake in billions of naira. If you’re not in their exclusive club, don’t delude yourself. Lesson: Some men are above the law. Sad. But true. Onlookers can only throw bricks or flowers.
Human rights lawyer Dele Farotimi, in a lamentation titled, “MKO on my mind” published on his X handle reacted thus:
“To die for a people devoid of memory, is to be killed over and over, again and again. In a place inhabited by the conscious, IBB would not dare to show his face in public. But in the crime scene that doubles as our country, having been succeeded by even more villainous ruiners, Badamasi is installed in the seat of the statesman.”
Peaceful repose to Abiola, his wife Kudirat and all those who were cut down during the June 12 struggle. It is because of their collective sacrifices that the rest of us are still able to face the challenges of nation building together today. But let no one urinate on their graves.
Pa Edwin Clark Exits
It was as if the two most vocal grand old men of Nigerian politics conspired to take their departure flights to eternity within the same week. The death of Pa Edwin Clark shortly after that of his bosom friend and fellow political gladiator, Pa Ayo Adebanjo, sent shock waves round the country. If the Lord had tarried awhile, Clark would have clocked 100 years on May 25, 2027.
Clark devoted his life to the struggle of the people of the Niger Delta and the cause of his Ijaw ethnic nationality. Although he fiercely manned his corner and disparaged all those milking his native land at the expense of the environment, he was at heart a pan-Nigerian nationalist. His political consciousness had been sharpened in the 50s when he joined the Zikist movement and built a persona etched in solid courage.
If Chief Clark had not existed, the dehumanising situation in the Niger Delta would have invented him because his people were in a dire need of his kind of leadership when he showed up combining his skill as a lawyer with his experiences as a civil servant and local activist.
He always believed that he was a child of destiny: “I remember that after primary education, I wanted to go to Government College Ughelli as far back as 1945. When I went for the interview, I was told that I was too old and was advised to go to the Government Teachers Training College, Abraka. When I got there, they said I was too young!”
But the three Clark brothers made a success of their different callings — one as a civil servant, later permanent secretary and Minister of Foreign Affairs. Another became a world famous professor of English while he, a lawyer, went on to serve as a state commissioner and later as a federal minister.
With the demise of Chief Clark, the challenge ahead of the people of the Niger Delta region is how to replace the trusted warhorse with another accomplished activist who would take the struggle of his people as his life’s work. The fact that Clark’s life will always be used as the benchmark of leadership will not make finding his replacement any easier.
[OPINION] The Confounding Odyssey of the 2025 Budget - Waziri Adio
Federal Government’s 2025 budget continued its fascinating journey last week. On 18th February, the National Assembly rescinded the budget that it had passed just five days earlier but was yet to be transmitted for presidential assent. It was a minor adjustment. To correct ‘some errors’, the legislators simply (and swiftly) re-assigned N500 billion from capital expenditure to recurrent expenditure. The other broad categories remain the same, and the size of the budget stays at N54.99 trillion, they said.
The adjustment is historic nonetheless. A rescinded budget has not been part of our lexicon in more than 25 years of this republic. So, this is another milestone recorded by the 2025 budget in its storied journey. A clean copy of the budget has not been sighted, and the approved appropriation bill is yet to be signed by the president. My sense is that we may not have seen the last of the twists and turns of this peculiar budget.
After my last week intervention on the 2025 budget process, someone sent me a copy of the House of Representatives’ supplementary order paper which contains the highlights of the approved budget. The 15-page document provides answers to a few of the questions that I posed last week. But most of the puzzles remain. Maybe the full budget (which typically runs into more than 2000 pages) will provide further illumination. However, the highlights throw up fresh questions of their own.
Let’s start with where some clarity has been provided. I had wondered how the legislators managed to reduce the provision for debt service to N14.32 trillion from N16.33 trillion initially proposed by the executive. As shown in the order paper, the legislators approved N7.19 trillion for domestic debt, N6.75 trillion for foreign debt and N377.30 billion for the sinking fund, whereas the president had proposed N8.20 trillion for domestic debt, N7.69 trillion for foreign debt and N430.27 billion for the sinking fund. A comparison of the two sets of figures shows how the legislators were able to reduce debt service by N2 trillion. But it is still not clear if they did this unilaterally or in consultation with the executive. Also, there is still the need to understand the basis of such a significant reduction, and if this will have immediate or future repercussions or not. Are we pushing some due obligations down the line or was the initial debt service estimate bloated?
I had also asked how the legislators were able to prune statutory transfers to N3.65 trillion from the N4.44 trillion proposed by the president. Statutory transfers are meant to be somewhat protected—some of them are fixed percentages of certain revenue handles. The order paper shows that the legislators increased and reduced some of the proposed sums under statutory transfers and are still able to slash almost N800 billion or about 18% off the original proposal. In a way, this is the surgical approach that the legislators should be taking to appropriation. But cutting the fat is not an occupation they fancy much.
The National Assembly did not increase or reduce its own statutory transfer of N344.85 billion. Or so it appears. But there is a N170 billion under capital supplementation for service wide vote for the National Assembly. So, there is about a 50% increase in the budget of the National Assembly without an obvious increase. You have to go several rows down to see where it is neatly nestled. By the way, this service wide vote was not part of the original proposal by the president. A legitimate question is how come legislators now need service wide votes? All expenditures by the National Assembly should be handled from its statutory transfer, except for some key capital projects that fall within the remit of the Federal Capital Development Authority (FCDA).
It is noteworthy that the legislators kept untouched the statutory transfers to the Basic Health Care Provision Fund (N298 billion), the National Human Rights Commission (N8 billion) and the Public Complaints Commission (N14 billion). That is good. But they reduced the statutory transfers for NASENI from N298 billion to N248 billion and for UBEC from N596 billion to N496 billion. However, they increased the transfers to National Judicial Council from N341 billion to N521 billion and for INEC from N40 billion to N140 billion. I am sure they have good explanations for these adjustments, but it will be good to know the basis of their decisions, including alignment with statutory percentages of certain revenue handles.
The most interesting part, for me, is that they took a scalpel to the statutory transfers for all the zonal development commissions. They did the reduction in this order: Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC) from N776.53 billion to N626.53 billion; North East Development Commission (NEDC) from N290.99 billion to N240.99 billion; North West Development Commission (NWDC) from N585.93 billion to N145.61 billion; the South West Development Commission (SWDC) from N498.40 billion to N140 billion; and the South East Development Commission from N341.27 billion to N140 billion. Equal opportunity reduction, in a sense, though it will be good to know if the reductions are in alignment with expected fall in the attached revenues.
But it gets more interesting. The legislators allocated statutory transfers to two development commissions that were not in the original proposal by the executive. This brings to seven the number of zonal development commissions provided for in the 2025 budget. The North Central Development Commission (NCDC) and the South South Development Commission (SSDC) got N140 billion apiece.
Please note that the NCDC bill was signed into law by President Bola Tinubu on 4th February 2025. The president presented the budget proposal on 18th December 2024, which rightly had no provision for NCDC. The president sent a letter to the National Assembly on 5th February 2025, where he proposed additional revenue and expenditure of N4.53 trillion. This was a day after he signed the NCDC bill. It is doubtful that he included NCDC in the breakdown. It is possible NCDC was included in that list or it is possible that the legislators exercised their initiative or in consultation with the executive. In any case, this will be another record: a commission receiving budgetary allocation barely a week after the signing of its bill.
But that is not as record-breaking as the case of the SSDC. It is not clear how the SSDC is significantly different from NDDC (apart from that its coverage will be strictly for the South South zone, and not for all oil producing states, as NDDC covers Abia, Imo and Ondo that are from other zones). But that is not the point. As at today, SSDC is not a legal entity. The SSDC bill has not been signed into law. I think I understand the political consideration at play: development commissions have become the latest ploy for sharing the rapidly shrinking nation cake. So, everyone wants their slice of the cake before we get to the last crumb.
But it is quite odd that the National Assembly will make appropriation for an entity that does not exist in law yet. Is this anticipatory appropriation and is it allowed and what is the danger inherent in taking this kind of liberty? A neater approach would have been for the executive to be encouraged to bring a supplementary budget after the SSDC bill is signed into law. We are normalising many abnormalities, from the executive undertaking major projects without appropriation and with no questions asked by those with the powers of the purse to the legislators themselves making appropriation for an entity whose existence is not yet legally consummated. The persistent mockery being made of the budget process is simply astounding.
Another odd entry revealed in the order paper is the provision of N400 billion for light rail projects in four states: N150 billion to Kano State; N100 billion to Kaduna State; N100 billion to Ogun State; and N50 billion to Lagos State. Light rails are within cities and are thus state projects. There are strategically important federal rail lines crying for modernisation and expansion. Those should be the priority and the focus of the Federal Government. Yes, an argument can be made for the need for FG to support the development of critical infrastructure in key states, and this can include urban rail projects. But this should start with a clear and well-articulated policy framework that provides the rationale, the format, the eligibility criteria and the process for such an intervention.
Such a major policy decision should not just show up in the budget. For now, the allocation for light rail appears like a political settlement scheme or a belated attempt at regional balancing. They were not in the initial budget proposal by the president. Most likely, the Federal Government decided to support light rail in four states after the hoopla generated by the N146.14 billion included in the proposed budget of the Ministry of Transport as the counterpart funding by MOFI to the Lagos Greenline Metro Rail project.
But even the attempt at balancing falls flat. There is no prior document that articulates why the Federal Government can provide such a support, the criteria for selecting qualifying states, how states can apply to be considered, and if this will go round all the states or just a number of states per zone. On account of the haphazard approach, the discussion, even in the parliament, has moved from the propriety of a federal ministry providing funding to a state project to the slippery slope of deliberate neglect/marginalisation of certain zones by the Federal Government. This is unfortunate and could have been avoided if this had been more thoughtfully considered.
There are few other things peeking out. Even after the legislators rescinded the 2025 budget on Tuesday, capital expenditure still has the highest allocation. The N23.44 trillion allocated to capital is 42.63% of the budget. This is not just the highest amount but the highest percentage of the budget allocated to capital expenditure since 1999. Ordinarily, this should be celebrated, but certain things do not add up. There appears to be a deliberate attempt to big up the capital component of the budget. There are many items under capital supplementation that it will take a real stretch to capture as capital, except you are using the loose definition of working capital.
Some of these items include allocations to student loan scheme, consumer credit fund, refund to TETFUND, transfer to HYPPADEC (another development commission), national poverty reduction with growth strategy etc. It is noteworthy that capital supplementation (a recent and growing category in our budgets) got a 131% boost. The president proposed a total of N3.18 trillion as capital supplementation when he laid the budget before the parliamentarians on 18th December 2024 and the legislators approved N6.37 trillion for the same category on 13th February 2025. There are many items under capital that should invite greater scrutiny but which the legislators left untouched, including allocations to a hospital for NIA (N238.05 billion), for a building for FIRS (N50 billion) and for the take-off grant of a school of governance at NIPSS (N887.75 million).
Then, there is the issue of budget deficit. The math here is simply not ‘math-ing,’ as the younger ones say. The president mentioned a deficit of N13.08 trillion in his budget speech. The proposed budget on the website of the Budget Office of the Federation puts the budget deficit and the aggregate financing items at N13.39 trillion. The order paper containing the highlights of the approved budget maintains the deficit and the aggregate financing items at N13.39 trillion. But the National Assembly publicly announced a budget deficit of N13.08 trillion.
Apart from two different amounts featuring for the same items in different documents/pronouncements, I suspect the deficit is understated. And here, I am not talking of the eventual deficit in case ambitious revenue projection underperforms. The total revenue that can be publicly identified amounts to N40.88 trillion (the N36.35 trillion in the proposed budget—which included revenue of GOEs— and the N4.53 trillion additional revenue, which I am yet to see in the highlights in the order paper). If the total expenditure is N54.99 trillion and the total revenue is N40.88 trillion, then the deficit should be N14.11 trillion. So, there is a N1.03 trillion hanging somewhere. It is possible the full budget will clear the air, or this may be another error to be corrected or rescinded.
But the really intriguing part is that the National Assembly stated categorically (even when it doesn’t have to) that the N13.08 trillion deficit represents 1.52% of GDP. This contradicts the position in President Tinubu’s speech when he presented the budget proposal. “A total of N13.08 trillion, or 3.89% of GDP, will make up the budget deficit,” the president said on 18th December 2025. It is important to underscore that the president and the parliament are keeping to the same amount as the budget deficit for 2025: N13.08 trillion. So, it is still a mystery how the National Assembly arrived at a deficit-to-GDP of 1.52% but the president put the same at 3.89% of GDP.
As I stated last week, N13.08 trillion can only be 1.52% of GDP if Nigeria’s GDP has grown to N860 trillion. This will be a major leap, even with rebasing. The last full-year GDP figure published by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is for 2023, and Nigeria’s nominal GDP was N234 trillion. In its October 2024 World Economic Outlook Database, IMF estimates Nigeria’s nominal GDP as N302 trillion in 2024 and as N351 trillion for 2025. If we use IMF’s estimate for 2025, our deficit-to-GDP will be 3.73%. So, it will be good to know where and how the National Assembly derived deficit-to-GDP at 1.52%, which it trumpeted as being within acceptable limit (a major claim, as the Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2007 stipulates 3% as the cap for Deficit-to-GDP).
If the legislators have been briefed by NBS on the rebased GDP, it is important to question the propriety and the haste by legislators to use data not yet publicly released by the national statistical agency. If the problem is that they mixed up their numbers, we have cause to worry about what else they are mixing up. But it seems to me they know what they are doing: there are games within a game going on here. Such indiscretions and political games chip away the credibility of official data. And that is such a terrible thing.
[OPINION] Babangida’s Long Exhale - Chidi Amuta
Even after three decades of his untidy retreat to his Minna hometown, Babangida never forget the ‘public’ debts he owed to Nigerians. He owed Nigerian history an expose on his turbulent leadership . He owed the Nigerian populace an insight into his personal enigma and enduring charisma. He also owed us a personal perspective on the worrisome things that happened under his watch. Above all things, Babangida owed a personal recompense and reconciliation with Nigeria on the political headache of the June 12 1983 elections.
Through the public outing of his long awaited memoir-A Journey in Service-Babangida has settled nearly all his outstanding liabilities to his fellow citizens. In addition to previously unknown details of ‘what happened’ , he has finally come to a personal resolution of and reconciliation with the outcome of the contentious June 12 election. Abiola won. His election was annulled by Abacha’s hidden hands of limitless power ambition. Nigeria survived. Above all, he (IBB) has survived into ripening old age to look back and tell the story himself. Professional trouble makers and history manglers have been deprived of an opportunity to end the Babangida story in malignant tales.
Three decades is long enough time for a man to exhale after leading a sweltering marathon in Nigeria’s turbulent power waters. It is time enough for actors and spectators to have calmed down and taken a respite . Anger would have turned into resignation. Vengeful partisans would have handed the entire matter over to God in a nation where the divine has the final say in all matters political .
The man of power himself should have reflected on the roads he couldn’t travel and the paths that he and even the angels dreaded to try.
Babangida led us through troubling times and a treacherous landscape of existential problems. The times were hard and the options daunting in every direction. Our treasury was nearly empty as almost all leaders had turned dealers and fled with our common treasure. Our economic dance had no name. Nor could we look money lenders in the face and say: ‘please help a prodigal nation.’
We resolved by public acclaim after nationwide debates to retreat inwards in search of homegrown solutions. Harrowing reform was the name of the only option left. IBB showed us a new path, a hard road never before traveled. A free market economy of citizens chained under martial rule! Capitalism without capital and without freedom , rebuilding an economy under a retreating state and a frightened citizenry,
Babangida has spent three decades and more as one of us. He has watched history roll along. He may have lived through his errors and watched others ride the waves of his triumphs. His ultimate nemesis, Buhari , has come and gone, renaming his major pitfall- June 12- into a historical milestone of political advantage. The nation has learnt new names, new dance steps under new leaders. Wobbly as it is, Nigeria has survived as a democracy.
Despite the passage of time, however, something about Babangida has remained constant. His personal allure, the instant electricity of his name, the countless myths about the kind, gentle and smiling general at once capable of incredible compassion and unequaled humanity but readily credited with unthinkable atrocities. The Machiavellian Prince that left the throne but still elicits love but also compels chilling fear.
Above all, Babangida’s personal attraction and a certain public acknowledgment of his political genius has remained in tact. Politicians seeking national acknowledgment seek him. Those wanting to command access to power levers look for him. Those seeking recognition as political notables pay him homage. Those in want of the magic of political wisdom have made pilgrimage to his Minna home.
His Minna retirement home has remained something of a favourite destination for political pilgrims. Younger political gladiators in search of relevance, older political animals seeking to test their own relevance, regional leaders seeking a national acclaim and audience have gone to seek his blessing. He has remained something of a political oracle and universal counselor.
IBB’S tenure and time with us have remained alive for these years. People did not give up hoping for the story of those days from the man himself. The reasons behind the persistence of demands for a Babangida memoir are many.
The questions that have lingered are mostly about matters unusual that happened in the Babangida days : abnormal ways of dying; difficult ways of surviving and living; coups and runouts of coups and counter coups; impossible rules of governance. And yet, the man at the center of it all was constant, smiling, infinitely humane but stern as the professional warrior he was trained to be.
Rulership under him etched new rules and explored unfamiliar paths. It became a dance, a drama of hard choices: a man in full military gear that insisted strangely on being called ‘president’ without resigning his military commission; the msn who in the storm of the Cold War insisted that Nigeria should go: ‘a little to the right and a little to the left’, a man who enabled elected governors to rule under a martial president; a military ruler who allowed an elected legislature to thrive under ultimate garrison decrees. A master of multiple speak and the wisdom of Delphic ancestry: ‘ we do not know those who will succeed us but we know those who will NOT succeed us’!
The public outing of Babangida’s memoirs – A Journey in Service- is deserving of the national splash we have seen. Everything about IBB is news, sensation and headline. This is for good reason. In the growing pantheon of our former leaders, Babangida elicits the greatest anxiety and much deserved excitement . No memoir of a former leader has been and is likely to be so long awaited.
Why the anxious wait? The man’s actions in power deserve no less. He was an original author of the impossible. An army general who seized power, suspended the constitution but insists on being called President and genuinely in love with presidential democracy. A practicing Moslem who insisted that the ideal Nigerian family size should be a couple with four children. A dictator who ruled by decrees but committed himself to a rigorous democratic reform process. To rule by decree and allow elected local governments, state governors and an elected National Assembly.
The Babangida memoir is therefore a comprehensive answer to many lingering national questions but rendered as a string of varied personal stories of an individual life turned into national history
There are multiple stories in this master tale. The primary personal narrative is about his early life. It is story of a young lad who was orphaned at 14 and for whom school was a surrogate home. It is the story of proceeding to high school in Bida where he became classmates with people with whom his later life and career became intertwined. Gado Nasko, Sani Bello, Sani Sami, Mamman Vatsa, Mohammed Magoro , Garba Duba and others. It is the story of a boy who was good in sports and also had obvious natural leadership qualities. He was greeted by the envy of some peers and the obedience of many mates. These lives became more intertwined as most of these young boys later opted for careers in the military. They were inspired by among others young Capt Yakubu Gowon. They went ahead to head different areas of Nigeria’s military establishment.
The other story is that of his career path in the military, his involvement in the series of military coups that altered the history and course of the nation. His instinct for coups was so ingrained that many observers have said that his ultimate exit from power in 1983 was perhaps a self-inflicted coup .
The major tragic chapter of the IBB story is his combat experience in the civil war. His battlefield injury in
Uzuakoli and subsequent recovery ended in A decision to get married. Easily the most touching aspect of his war story is the breach with colleagues who fought on the Biafran side.
There are sub stories in this narrative that raise the temperature of the story to near tragic catastrophic dimensions. His bare handed encounter to disarm Col. Dimka after the assassination of Murtala Muhammed. There was also his narrow escape and survival following the Orkar coup. These aspects of the IBB story come close to fictional suspense crime stories.
The major story of public interest is Babangida and the drama of power incumbency. In this crucial part, the many unanswered questions come into view. he touching accounts of the death of Dele Giwa, the trial and execution of Mamman Vatsa, the dreadful night of the Orkar coup and the unfortunate crash of the military C-130 aircraft all come together as instances of the bad things that could happen in a season of power.
Babangida renders his account with the consummate ease of a master story teller. The difficult accounts of state action and the unattractive business of policy are made to be readable. He animates the landscape of the story with anecdotes and recollections of the human angle of difficult national decisions. In this memoir, there is hardly any name calling, hardly any contentious arguments. The audience is drawn into serious national issues by the allure of a very human story.
In the end, A Journey in Service becomes a shared experience between a national audience and the author as a heroic figure in a national experience of epic proportions.
[OPINION] June 12, IBB and the Missing Persons - Simon Kolawole
As soon as I laid my hands on Gen Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida’s autobiography, ‘A Journey in Service’, there were only two things I was eager to read: the June 12 annulment story and the murder of Dele Giwa, one of the finest journalists out of Nigeria. There were many landmarks that defined the IBB era — he was military president from 1985 to 1993, during which a lot of good, bad and ugly things happened in the economy and polity — but the June 12 annulment and Giwa’s murder were life-defining topics he had never spoken frankly and extensively about, so you can appreciate my curiosity. Within minutes, I had flipped to the relevant pages and devoured them.
Long before Babangida’s version of history, I had a fairly formed narrative on June 12. Some pieces were based on what I read in newspapers and magazines after the presidential election was annulled in 1993 — a mishap that led to a devastating political crisis lasting for five years, worsened under the jackboots of Gen Sani Abacha and his henchmen. Strikes, fuel shortages, riots and economic paralysis stifled the nation. The bloodshed was chilling. As a living witness, I do not wish that we experience anything like that again. It was utterly horrible. It aggravated ethnic and regional tensions, pushed us to the precipice and injured our nation-building trajectory. Nigeria practically came to a standstill.
My initial theory around June 12 was that IBB did not want to leave power. Having overthrown Gen Muhammadu Buhari in August 1985, he had styled himself as “president”, departing from the title of “head of state” that previous military rulers used. The suspicion then was that he wanted to transmute to a civilian president, so he knew what he was doing. As he continued to juggle the transition programme, banning and unbanning politicians and creating political parties that were like government agencies, the suspicion grew stronger that he was working to an answer. When he annulled the presidential primaries in 1992, everything pointed in one direction: “hidden agenda”.
The annulment of an otherwise peaceful and credible June 12 election in 1993 was the final confirmation, for me, that Babangida had a sinister plan up his sleeve. Events preceding the election appeared to have been orchestrated to keep him in power. There were the religious riots and tensions up north. The sentencing of Gen Zamani Lekwot and 15 other Christians from Kaduna state to death for their alleged roles in the Zangon Kataf religious crisis of March 1992 was interpreted as an engineering of political instability to create the perfect excuse to hang on to power. Nigerians also faced a crippling fuel crisis, so I believed we were being deliberately frustrated and weakened.
Ironically, I was not a fan of Bashorun MKO Abiola. As someone who was brought up by a grandmother who had been a staunch supporter of Chief Obafemi Awolowo from the 1950s, I was conditioned to see Abiola as a traitor for not being in the same party with the sage in the second republic. Also, I was a lover of Fela’s music, so I had internalised his “International Thief Thief (ITT)” song against Abiola. To worsen matters, Abiola picked a fellow Muslim as his running mate. For me, a Muslim/Muslim ticket was a no-no. I was not into religionism; rather, I always favour balancing in a diverse society. By default, I started supporting Alhaji Bashir Tofa, who had a Christian running mate.
But my mindset was demolished days to the election when I got into a debate with a Muslim friend who asked me how, on God’s green earth, I would prefer Tofa to Abiola in terms of capacity and competence after watching the presidential debate, particularly with the unearthing of an old article by Tofa calling Christians “infidels”. I looked stupid and petty. I regained my senses, perished my misgivings about the Muslim/Muslim ticket, and began to root for Abiola. Alas, I could not vote because I was registered in Lagos while I was undergoing my youth service in Ogbomoso, Oyo state. On election day, I was in Ilorin, Kwara state, chilling with my cousins. We were all rooting for Abiola.
When the election was annulled, another theory started making the round that the north did not want a southerner as president, and this further exacerbated ethnic tensions. For a long time, I believed the theory — propagated mostly by Yoruba leaders — until I sat down to look at the results again, state by state. I realised Abiola won in nine of the 16 northern states at the time. Mind you, Abiola won in core northern states such as Kano (Tofa’s home base), Jigawa, Borno, Yobe and Kaduna, and got significant chunks in Kebbi, Katsina, Niger and Bauchi. So, how could any reasonable person conclude that the north did not want a southerner? I thereafter terminated that line of reasoning.
When I listened to some principal actors years later, I slightly modified my position by concluding that the military did not want to let go of power — even if Babangida himself was, by chance, sincere about the transition. But I kept asking: why did he not retire Abacha when he was stepping aside in 1993? Was it not part of an overall scheme to compensate Abacha for foiling the Orkar coup of 1990 and saving him? Abacha’s stature in the military had grown exponentially after he helped foil the Orkar coup and thereafter gave a national broadcast. IBB owed him one. Leaving him behind was to allow him to topple the interim government and do his own turn as head of state, I reasoned.
Many of the actors have since given their accounts, most of which still left me asking more questions. I earnestly yearned for IBB, the chief actor himself, to tell his own version. Thankfully, he has finally published his autobiography — three decades after the nation-crippling crisis. He admitted that Chief Arthur Nzeribe, convener of the Association to Better Nigeria (ABN) which secured the court order to stop the election, was well known to him. However, he said he did not support the group which was campaigning for an extension of military rule by four years. He said he was surprised when the injunction was issued despite a decree ousting the jurisdiction of the courts in election matters.
That injunction was issued by Justice Bassey Ikpeme of the federal high court, Abuja, two days to the election. You see, our judiciary has always been a problem. It did not start today. But another high court in Lagos ruled that the election should go on. The intriguing fact here is that Ikpeme, who was a new judge, had previously worked in the law chambers of Mr Clement Akpamgbo, Babangida’s attorney-general and minister of justice. IBB said he was surprised when Akpamgbo insisted at an emergency security council meeting that Ikpeme’s order should be obeyed. Abacha, Lt-Gen Joshua Dogonyaro and some service chiefs also supported Akpamgbo’s position, according to Babangida.
Prof Humphrey Nwosu, then chairman of the National Electoral Commission (NEC), insisted he had enough powers to go ahead with the election, Babangida said. He was supported by Lt-Gen Salihu Ibrahim, then chief of army staff. Babangida said he gave Nwosu the go-ahead to conduct the election, which he has finally admitted was free and fair. But he said he was in Katsina on a condolence visit to the Yar’Aduas on June 23 when he heard, like other Nigerians, that the election had been annulled. He said he was told that another judge, Justice Dahiru Saleh, had issued an injunction annulling the election. But Babangida completely in the dark? Sorry, I don’t believe that.
“A report filtered to me that the June 12 elections had been annulled,” Babangida wrote. “Even more bizarre was the extent of the annulment because it terminated all court proceedings regarding the June 12 elections, repealed all the decrees governing the Transition and even suspended NEC! Equally weird was the shabby way the statement was couched and made. Admiral Aikhomu’s press secretary, Nduka Irabor, had read out a terse, poorly worded statement from a scrap of paper, which bore neither the presidential seal nor the official letterhead of the government, annulling the June 12 presidential elections.” But Babangida officially announced the annulment on TV the next day.
In his autobiography, Babangida blamed the annulment on fifth columnists, saying the forces were led by Abacha. He wrote: “I would later find out that the ‘forces’ led by General Sani Abacha annulled the elections. There and then, I knew I was caught between ‘a devil and the deep blue sea’!!” So why did he not retire Abacha when he decided to step aside in August 1993? IBB gave the impression that he was helpless as the military had been polarised and Abacha had an army of loyalists. He even hinted that Abacha’s faction was planning to overthrow and kill him. I recall IBB saying in 1993 that “I am not only in office, I am also in power”. It sounded strange and desperate to me then — and now.
Still, I will not dismiss the entirety of Babangida’s story. I recall that after Abacha became head of state, he retired the “IBB Boys”: Dogonyaro, Brig-Gens David Mark, Anthony Ukpo, John Shagaya, Halilu Akilu and Tunde Ogbeha, among others. There was an obvious friction. Dr Nowa Omoigui, the respected military historian who died in 2021, wrote extensively on the mutual caginess between IBB and Abacha after the Orkar coup. It is, however, instructive that IBB reportedly started referring to Abacha as “Khalifa” (“successor”) after the foiled coup. IBB later removed and retired Lt-Gen Domkat Bali as chairman, joint chiefs of staff, and replaced him with Abacha, who doubled as army chief.
Curiously, Babangida did not blame any living person in his entire annulment story. Some of those who took part in the annulment are still alive. There are too many missing persons in the picture. IBB only named dead military officers such as Abacha and Dogonyaro — who cannot defend themselves. Admiral Augustus Aikhomu, Babangida’s former second-in-command, is also not alive to tell us the story behind THAT statement issued by his media aide. Akpamgbo died in 2006. We can’t ask him why he supported the out-of-order injunction issued by his former employee. Meanwhile, why didn’t IBB fire Akpamgbo, a “bloody civilian”, for supporting the implementation of the illegal court orders?
Overall, I am unable to accept IBB’s fascinating but tenuous narrative that he was powerless. With this book, I have another theory: if indeed it was Abacha that engineered the annulment, IBB was clearly not opposed to it. Towards the end of his regime, Babangida might have become weakened among sections of the military hierarchy, but he knew he owed Abacha one and would not stand in the way of his ally’s ambition. In the final analysis, we remain entitled to our scepticism about IBB’s story — just as it is hard to accept his claim that Giwa was killed by fifth columnists to discredit his regime. No. It looked very much like an assassination typically and clinically executed by the state.
AND FOUR OTHER THINGS…
ADIEU CLARK, ADEBANJO
What are the odds that two accomplished elder statesmen of similar persuasion would die at an identical age one day after the other? That is weird. Chief Ayo Adebanjo, 96, and Chief Edwin Clark, 97, both died last week having lived highly fulfilled lives. Both fought vigorously for their beliefs — which were mostly regional — and robustly spoke their minds fearlessly for decades. Ironically, Adebanjo, unlike Clark, was a politician who never held any public office. Clark was a commissioner and senator. Years ago, Adebanjo and I used to talk regularly but our views on national issues hardly aligned. Nonetheless, I had nothing but utmost respect for him and his comrade, Clark. Legends.
WILD, WILD LAGOS
Talking about politicians not wanting democracy to work, I am appalled by the unending drama in the Lagos house of assembly. Rt Hon Mudashiru Obasa was removed as speaker on January 13, 2025 and replaced with Rt Hon Mojisola Meranda, but he has refused to accept that the party is over. He has declared his removal (after almost 10 years in office) as illegal. One thing he has not done so far is to point to the section of the law that makes his removal unlawful. He can approach a court of law to assert his rights. The heating up of the polity is totally unnecessary and I hope the combatants will soon come to their senses. Obasa will not be the first speaker to be removed in Africa. Irritating.
ROYAL MESS
When we were kids, we used to sing songs about not crowning a thief as king and not appointing liars as chiefs. We all seem to agree today that our values have depreciated. Increasingly in Yoruba land, you are more likely to be made a king if you are a fraudster or a hardened criminal. Oba Joseph Oloyede, a monarch in Osun state, had not been seen for nearly a year until it was reported that the FBI had arrested him for alleged conspiracy, wire fraud, and money laundering. That aside, whoever wrote these lines in Sahara Reporters deserves an award and a pay rise: “Joseph Oloyede, the Apetu of Ipetumodu, who was reported missing in March 2024, has been found in FBI custody.” Amazing.
NO COMMENT
Senator Natasha Akpoti-Uduaghan (PDP) caused a stir last week when she vehemently rejected the new seating position allocated to her in the red chamber. She lashed out at Senate President Godswill Akpabio, defying the gavel — contrary to parliamentary practices. Akpabio was once in that position, ironically, and reacted the same way. In a radio interview, Akpoti-Uduaghan said she was fighting because of the klieg lights: “Changing my seat was just a chance of silencing or alienating me from being seen. Sitting position is important. The nearer you sit positions you near the camera and gives you an added advantage to be called upon to contribute to debates,” she said. Wonderful.
3 reasons why Chainlink price may bounce back in 2025
Chainlink price has crashed this year, continuing a trend that started in December when it peaked at a multi-year high of $30.78.
Chainlink LINK-6.14%Chainlink dived to $17.4 on Saturday, down by 43% from its highest level in December. Its crash mirrors the happenings among altcoins as most of them have retreated in the past few months.
Still, there are three key reasons why the LINK price may bounce back later this year.
First, there are signs that many Chainlink holders are not selling their coins. One piece of evidence is that balances on exchanges have continued falling this year. CoinGlass data shows that these balances have dropped to 138.8 million LINK coins, the lowest level since September last year. They plunged from 160 million in December.

Falling centralized exchange balances is a sign that investors are optimistic about the coin, with most of them holding them steady in their self-custody wallets. In most periods, CEX balances jump when investors are moving them from their wallets to sell them.
The confidence among Chainlink holders is likely because many of them expect that the Securities and Exchange Commission will approve a spot LINK ETF later this year. Such a fund would lead to more inflows and boost its price.
Chainlink price may also rebound because of its positioning in the crypto industry, where it is the biggest oracle network. It has a total value secured or TVS figure of $35 billion, making it much higher than other oracles like Chronicle, Pyth, and RedStone.
Chainlink is also a big player in the Real World Asset tokenization industry through its cross-chain interoperability protocol. CCIP is a key component in the industry that provides solutions to build, scale, connect, and send assets across various blockchains.
Chainlink price analysis

Third, Chainlink price may bounce back because of its strong technicals. The weekly chart shows that LINK has remained slightly above the 100-week Exponential Moving Averages even after crashing by 43% from its highest point in November.
LINK has also formed a giant megaphone chart pattern, which is characterized by two diverging trendlines. In most periods, this pattern leads to a strong bullish breakout.
In LINK’s case, the initial target of a rebound will be the November high of $30 followed by the 61.8% retracement point of $35. A drop below the lower side of the megaphone will invalidate the bullish LINK outlook.
Weekly crypto recap: $1.4B Bybit hack, Solana memecoin drama, and Microstrategy's plan to raise $2B
It’s the week of Feb. 17, Bitcoin plunged and we might be experiencing another crypto contagion.
The biggest news of the week is that the crypto market is reeling after Bybit suffered the largest hack in industry history, with over $1.4 billion in Ethereum (ETH) and staked Ethereum (stETH) drained from the exchange.
The attack has triggered a wave of liquidations, particularly in Ethereum futures markets, as panic sets in.
On Feb. 14, the president of Argentina, Javier Milei, promoted the launch of a new Solana memecoin called LIBRA, which pumped and dumped. The story is still developing, but so far there have been multiple allegations of market manipulation and insider trading.
I'll be posting updates to The Street and Roundtable next week, so make sure you follow me there to get the latest.
Now for some good news! President Donald Trump shared an XRP-related article from Coindesk on his social media platform, Truth Social, which is spurring bullish sentiment. The article discussed the CEO of Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse, and his optimism about U.S. deals and hiring after Trump's election win.
Also, Brazil’s securities regulator approved the world’s first spot XRP ETF, which is managed by Hashdex, a global crypto asset management firm with over $1 billion in assets under management.
Brazil may have beaten the U.S. with a spot XRP ETF launch, but the U.S. SEC has acknowledged filings from multiple asset managers, including Bitwise, for their spot XRP ETF applications. The acknowledgements have initiated a 21-day public comment period before final decisions are made. According to Bloomberg analysts, there is a 65% chance of approval in the U.S.
For Bitcoin, Asset management firm Bitwise has pledged to donate $150,000 from its Bitcoin ETF (BITB) profits to support Bitcoin open-source developers. This initiative is part of an ongoing commitment, with 10% of BITB’s gross profits allocated annually to Bitcoin development.
Meanwhile, Strategy also known as MicroStrategy announced a plan to raise $2 billion through 0% convertible senior notes to purchase more Bitcoin.
This move is part of their "21/21 Plan", aiming to raise $42 billion over three years for Bitcoin acquisitions. The company now holds 478,740 BTC, and despite reporting a $670.8 million net loss in Q4 2024, its stock has surged 372% over the past year.
As of Feb. 18, the Bitcoin memecoin DOG, is now tradable on Solana, thanks to a two-way bridge launched by MineLabs. This bridge allows seamless movement of the token between Bitcoin and Solana, enabling fast trades with fees under a penny inside a Meteora liquidity pool.
Next, Grayscale has introduced the Pyth Trust, offering exposure to PYTH, a Solana-based governance token. Pyth is a decentralized oracle network that provides real-time financial data to blockchains and is used by 95% of Solana dApps.
ChainGPT integrated with Hedera, bringing AI-powered blockchain tools to the network. This includes an NFT Generator for low-fee, fast minting and a Smart Contract Generator and Auditor, enabling AI-driven contract creation, auditing, and deployment.
Lastly, Mantra Finance has secured a VASP license from Dubai’s VARA, allowing it to operate as an exchange and provide broker-dealer, management, and investment services. The company specializes in DeFi and Real-World Asset (or RWA) tokenization, with an initial focus on institutional investors and future plans for retail access.