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When the Nigerian Education Loan Fund, better known as NELFUND, was unveiled, it landed like a spark in a dry forest of despair. It brought a glimmer of hope, like a bold attempt to democratise access to higher education in a country where tuition fees are a barricade and scholarships are too few, too politicised, or too elitist. The idea was simple: interest-free student loans, disbursed through an automated and digitally tracked platform with zero human interference. For students who have long watched their dreams deferred by poverty, this was more than a policy; it was a lifeline.  For many first‑generation undergraduates, it promised to end the humiliating routine of begging relatives, hawking phone cards or pausing degrees. The phrase “game-changer” was on everyone’s lips.

But hardened by history, Nigerians know that nothing bright survives long in a system riddled with rot. Almost immediately, allegations swirled that money had already begun to vanish from the scheme. Some universities  allegedly misappropriated student loans by making illegal deductions from NELFUND student loans.Certain  university officials are taxing loans given to students for their selfish gain. NELFUND swiftly dismissed the reports as reckless misinformation. Still, the damage was done. In a country where corruption is both epidemic and endemic, citizens don’t wait for audits or court rulings. They trust their gut. And their gut tells them that anything involving public money is already compromised. Nigerians know too well that even the most visionary programmes can be bled dry by the country’s stubborn corruption crisis. 

This instinct isn’t paranoia; it’s pattern recognition. Nigeria’s corruption problem is not just a matter of lack of transparency or stolen funds. It’s a deeply embedded culture of impunity where influential individuals manipulate public institutions like personal ATMs and emerge unscathed. From misallocated security votes to inflated procurement contracts, Nigerian public life is littered with episodes in which influential actors, politicians, regulators, and even some law enforcement agents, mishandle or misappropriate funds with little fear of sanction. Often, officials caught in massive scandals are celebrated months later as elder statesmen or traditional title holders. Investigations go cold. Probes fizzle. Court cases drag on for years without resolution. It’s not just about the looting; it’s the sense that nothing will ever happen to the looters. This pattern breeds a sense that looting the public purse is not a crime but a career path.

But the very scale that makes NELFUND transformative also makes it attractive prey. Experience shows that dedicated accounts can be hacked, payment queues quietly rerouted, and datasets tampered with in return for kickbacks. When such manipulation occurs in education finance, the damage is generational: courses are abandoned, research labs fall silent, and an already skills-starved economy stumbles further. In effect, stealing student loan funds is stealing the country’s future.

The corruption culture has now come under sharp focus again, this time through the jaw-dropping revelations from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL). Since 2021, nearly $3 billion has been earmarked for “quick-fix” refurbishments of the country’s three state-owned refineries in Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna. The promises were grand. Press conferences were held. Cameras rolled. But within weeks of their so-called resumption, the refineries ground to a halt. Warri shut down entirely within a month; Port Harcourt barely sputtered at less than 40% capacity. Kaduna never really started.

Then came the real thunderclap: the EFCC launched sweeping investigations into the use of the funds. Three managing directors were arrested, and ₦80 billion was allegedly found sitting in the personal accounts of one of them, whether it is true or not, this raises a red flag, especially against the background of trillions of Naira spent on rehabilitation of non-functional refineries. Thirteen senior executives, including former Group CEO Mele Kyari, were named in official documents. The probe’s scope is vast, touching every level of NNPCL’s leadership during the disbursement period. Energy experts were not surprised. They had long warned that the televised recommissioning ceremonies were theatre, not substance. One described it as “a charade.” And now, that assessment appears tragically accurate.

The episode has become a national morality play: billions vanish, steel tanks fall silent, workers fume, and consumers pay more—and, until those arrests, few insiders expected real consequences. Against that backdrop, it is obvious why a digital student‑loan platform, no matter how cleverly coded, can feel one scandal away from derailment.

The parallels between this refinery disaster and the looming threats around NELFUND are unmistakable. Both involve essential national priorities, energy and education, and require vast public investment. Both were launched with great fanfare. And both operate in a governance ecosystem that rewards mismanagement and punishes transparency. The refinery funds went up in smoke, quite literally. If the structural weaknesses aren’t addressed, NELFUND could follow the same path, and we must prevent that from happening.

The implications of corruption and impunity are glaring. Loan diversion, illegal taxing, or misallocation limits enrolment, widens inequality, triggers brain drains, and hobbles innovation. Refinery non-performance sustains import dependency, drains foreign exchange, and keeps fuel prices volatile; budget overruns divert funds from health, roads, and digital infrastructure. Each scandal deepens cynicism; citizens disengage from civic processes, fuelling voter apathy and social unrest. Legitimate businesses face distorted markets, and connected rivals bend rules without penalty.

Every administration promises a clamp down. State anti-graft agencies trumpet arrests and asset forfeitures, yet the average citizen seldom sees a powerful individual serve meaningful jail time or make full restitution. Small wonder opinion surveys in 2024 repeatedly show that Nigerians believe corruption is worsening. The chorus of disappointment grows louder each time a high-profile investigation fizzles or a suspect circles back into public office.

President Bola Tinubu has acknowledged the crisis, using his May Day address to decry corruption as a force that enriches the few at the expense of the many. He vowed to dismantle the “structures of greed.” The rhetoric was strong, the delivery confident — but it lacked detail. There is no clear plan, new legislation, or timelines—just more words in a country drowning in them. For a public that’s seen too many commissions, too many promises, and too few results, the speech offered more comfort than clarity.

This is the core of the Nigerian paradox: a nation bursting with brilliance, talent, and ambition, stymied by a political class addicted to extraction. Students are not looking for pity. They want a fair shot , the right to learn, grow, and compete globally. The NELFUND initiative could be the bridge between inequality and opportunity, between hopelessness and aspiration. But for that to happen, it must be protected from the same forces that crippled the refineries and tainted so many national programmes before it.

There are ways forward. Swift justice is one. No more endless adjournments or slap-on-the-wrist sentences. Special courts for corruption, with strict 180-day limits, could start to change the game. So could real-time transparency, dashboards that show every Naira disbursed through NELFUND, publicly accessible to all. Digital systems should be strengthened, with blockchain-backed audits making tampering nearly impossible. Whistle-blowers must be protected and rewarded, not punished. Above all, funding releases must be tied to actual, measurable outcomes, student enrolments, graduation rates, and employment stats. No more blank cheques.

The Minister of Education, Dr Tunji Alausa, deserves commendation for his proactive response to the alarm raised about unauthorised deductions by some university officials on funds related to NELFUND loan disbursement. By initiating an independent investigation with support from the Athena Centre, the Minister has demonstrated strong leadership and a clear commitment to addressing corruption as a significant threat to widening educational opportunities. The Athena Centre for Policy and Leadership is partnering with the Federal Ministry of Education to improve transparency and accountability in Nigeria’s student loan scheme (NELFUND). This partnership includes launching a compliance-tracking initiative, an Annual University Transparency Index, and technical support for universities to maintain open-portal systems for loan disbursement and monitoring. The signalling is proper and needs to be supported. We ask for a transparent investigation, and findings should be made public. 

It’s easy to become numb. Scroll past the headlines and shake your head. But apathy is the oxygen of impunity. If the NELFUND student loan scheme fails, if it is captured, corrupted, or abandoned , it won’t just be a policy failure. It will be a national betrayal. It will signal that even the most promising reforms are no match for Nigeria’s machinery of plunder. And yet, the possibility remains. With enough pressure, vigilance, and political will, NELFUND could be a game-changer and a turning point. A moment when Nigeria chose a different path. A moment when the future stopped being stolen, and finally started being built.

Nigeria’s greatest assets are neither crude oil nor rare metals but its people, especially the millions of youths whose aspirations depend on credible institutions and fair opportunities. Programmes like NELFUND can unlock that human capital, but only in a governance environment where corruption is costly and impunity impossible. The refinery scandal provides a cautionary tale; NELFUND offers a chance for redemption. If the country can prosecute wrongdoers swiftly, embed transparency technologically and refuse to tolerate “business as usual,” it will signal that public money is once again public, not private. The student loan initiative may yet fulfil its promise—lighting a path out of systemic dysfunction toward shared prosperity and democratic renewal.

Suspected Boko Haram terrorists on Saturday attacked the 27 Task Force Brigade, Buni Yadi, Gujba LGA of Yobe State, killing at least four soldiers and destroying many operational equipment.

The attack happened less than 24 hours after the North East Governors Forum met in the state capital, Damaturu, and adopted a multidimensional approach to tackle insurgency in the region.

Buni Yadi is located about 65km from Yobe State capital and is the country home of the state governor, Mai Mala Buni.

A security source, who escaped the attack, told our correspondent that the assailants stormed their location around 2am on Saturday through the western direction.

He said the terrorists sacked the troops from the brigade and burnt down all the equipment that were deployed there.

“They ransacked the armory, looted what they could and burnt it down;  they set ablaze the artillery, five MRAPs, anti-aircraft carriers, and over 20 Hilux vans,” he said.

Earlier on Saturday, the Nigerian Army headquarters confirmed the attack via its verified Facebook page but didn’t give further details on the destruction recorded.

“Troops of Operation HADIN KAI are currently in a fierce battle against ISWAP attack at Buni Gari, Yobe State. Details later,” it stated.

However, another soldier, who escaped the early morning attack said the terrorists stormed the areas in large numbers through the western direction, hauling explosives and shooting sporadically.

“We were taken off guard by the heavy explosions and gunfire, but we stood our ground but were later overpowered. A lot of our fighting equipment was destroyed during the encounter.

“Yes, we lost four of our men, just as they also recorded casualties during the fierce battle that last for hours….,“ he said.

He lamented that the soldiers were gruesomely killed by the terrorists “They were beheaded.”

Six military formations attacked so far

With this attack, at least six military formations have been targeted by the terrorists in Goneri, Wajirko, Sabongari, Izge and Wulgo, where soldiers were killed and military equipment looted or destroyed.

According to newspaper reports, attacks which happened between January and April 2025, had claimed the lives of an army commander, a captain and 22 soldiers.

A local security expert told our correspondent that five of the military locations overran by the insurgents were located at the Tumbuktu triangle within Sambisa forest.

“Sadly, they succeeded in overrunning all these bases that were strategically located to block their illegal activities within the Sambisa Forest and Mandara Hills,” he said.

Locals flee Buni Yadi

Local source who fled to the local council headquarters, Buni Yadi, said many residents have fled their homes to areas they consider safe.

“The military had shut down vehicular movement on the busy road, which serves as a link between Yobe and Biu and other towns in southern Borno,” he said.

Two weeks ago, Boko Haram insurgents attacked a military location in the Chalie area, Buni Yadi, where three soldiers were reportedly killed during the attack.

Over the past months, communities in Borno have suffered relentless assaults with insurgents targeting villages and military formations, particularly in Sabon Gari, Wajirko and Wulgo were they dislodged troops and stole arms and ammunition, among others.

Zulum calls for deployment of more troops, equipment

Governor Zulum also called on the federal government and the military to take the battle to the terrorists in Lake Chad and Mandara Hills in Sambisa Forest.

He also advocated for increased troop deployment to areas such as the Timbuktu Triangle and for continuous and sustained military operations to prevent the reoccupation of previously reclaimed territories.

“There should be forces that will keep the ground, otherwise they will come back”, he said.

“What brought about the recent situation is we felt everything is OK, but they are regrouping now and I believe the Nigerian military will not allow them to regroup.”

The governor requested the deployment of more military hardware including Mine-Resistant Ambush Protected Vehicles (MRAPs), Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), and additional personnel to improve surveillance and fortify vulnerable zones.

While acknowledging the current operational burden on the military across the country, Zulum called for the deployment of more trained manpower and logistics to the North East.

He highlighted the success of non-kinetic measures, revealing that over 300,000 repentant insurgents and their families had surrendered over the past three years.

Timeline of attacks on military formations

* On January 4, 2025,  Boko Haram attacked a military formation in Sabon Gari, Damboa LGA of Borno State where six soldiers were killed and 36 terrorists neutralised but the military repelled the attack.

* On January 26, an army commander and 19 soldiers were killed by Boko Haram/ISWAP at a military base in Malamfatori, the headquarters of Abadan LGA of Borno.

* On March 24, Boko Haram raided two military formations in Borno – Wajirko army formation in Damboa LGA and Wulgo village of Gamboru Ngala LGA in Borno – where many soldiers and Boko Haram attackers were killed.

* Two soldiers were also feared dead and others injured after the convoy of the newly deployed Brigade Commander ‘Operation Hadin Kai’ in Damboa LGA stepped on Improvised Explosive Devices/landmines planted by suspected terrorists along Maiduguri- Damboa-Biu road.

* On April 6, 2025, a captain,  soldier and scores of Boko Haram terrorists were killed in Izge village, Gwoza LGA of Borno.

* According to reports, the terrorists strike with Rocket Propelled Grenades (RPGs) targeting the Izge platoon formation of troops of ‘Operation Hadin Kai’ which led to a fierce battle and exchange of gunfire for hours, before resilient residents of the community with support from vigilantes and local hunters complemented efforts of the military to repel the attack. Izge is located in the heart of Sambisa forests, and is about 20km drive Southwest of Gwoza town.

* In another attack on April 17, 2025, two soldiers and some civilians were  killed in Yamtake village after Boko Haram invasion of a military base.

* The night invasion also led to the displacement of several people who were IDPs for many years before they were resettled in their ancestral homes by Borno State government.

* On April 18,2025, terrorists invaded Gwoza LGA of Borno. The infiltration, according to residents, started at about 11pm as troops of 26 Task Force Brigade engaged the attackers with no casualty close to the base.

* On April 26, 10 hunters on rescue mission were killed in gun battle in Kopire village, Hong LGA of Adamawa. Kopire shares a border with Hawul LGA of Borno.

* On April 29, two soldiers lost their lives along Maiduguri-Damboa road.

* On January 20, Boko Haram invaded Kawuri village of Konduga LGA of Borno, where three patrol vehicles of the Civilian Joint Task Force were destroyed and many villagers sustained injuries.

* On January 8, 2025, two policemen were killed by terrorists in Gajiram, council headquarters of Nganzai in Northern Borno.

Zulum, Shehu, lawmakers frown at attacks

Worried by the situation, Borno State governor, Babagana Umara Zulum, Shehu of Borno, Senator Ali Ndume and other federal and state lawmakers urged the federal government to take action.

Both Zulum and the Shehu, said when they spoke during an expanded security meeting at Government House in Maiduguri, that Abadam, Marte, Guzamala LGAs were under the control of Boko Haram.

They also raised concerns that Borno State and the North East share borders with three neighbouring countries, Chad, Cameroon and the Republic of Niger, emphasising on the security concerns in the Sahel region, especially the infiltration of foreign terrorists.

[DailyTrust]

Gunmen suspected to be herdsmen on Sunday night hijacked a commercial vehicle along the Otukpo-Adoka road in Benue State, killing the driver and abducting all passengers on board.

The incident occurred around 11 p.m. as the vehicle was en route to Otukpo from Abuja.

Eyewitnesses told DAILY POST that the attackers opened fire as soon as they sighted the vehicle, causing the driver to lose control and veer off the road into nearby bushes after being hit by a bullet.

The assailants subsequently abducted all the passengers before abandoning the vehicle at the scene.

The body of the slain driver, identified as a native of Adoka, has been recovered and taken to his hometown.

Meanwhile, military personnel have arrived at the scene and launched a manhunt for the attackers.

[DailyPost]

  • Expert cautions against delayed fiscal execution, dependence on oil price

Despite headwinds, Budget 2025 will be implemented to achieve its objectives, Federal Government sources said yesterday.

A drastic drop in oil price and delayed take-off, among other factors, are threatening the N54.99 trillion Appropriation Act.

An official said there was no cause for worry because the government can easily adjust to the international oil price fluctuations.

Besides, the official said the lifespan of the capital component of last year’s budget was pro-actively extended till next month by the National Assembly to take care of such shocks.

A source said: “Critical steps are already in motion to ensure that the budget is not derailed. The National Assembly took proactive measures by extending the lifespan of the capital component of the 2024 budget until June. 

“This extension was aimed at ensuring continuity in funding for projects that are already underway. The idea was to focus on ongoing projects. So, there is no cause for alarm about 2025 Budget implementation.”

The Nation further learnt that implementation of budgets begins with the procurement process, which the source explained, could take four to five months before the award of contracts.

He said: “This timeline accounts for the perceived slow pace of the 2025 Budget rollout. Implementation is a process that begins with procurement. Usually, that takes averagely four to five months before the actual award of contract.”

On whether the government was paying attention to the capital expenditure side of the budget, the government insider pointed out that “the recurrent component of the 2025 Budget is in effect. This has kept essential government operations running smoothly.

“The recurrent component of the budget is being implemented. Otherwise, government operations would have been grounded to a halt. So, it’s incorrect to say that the 2025 Budget is not being implemented.”

There are concerns about oil price volatility. In the Budget 2025 Appropriation Act, oil price is pegged at $75 per barrel but as at yesterday, it was sold at $61.5 per barrel.

An official said there was no cause for alarm.

He dismissed such fluctuations as a familiar challenge.

According to the source, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu, had explained that the budget remains an estimate that can be adjusted as conditions require.

“Oil price volatility is not a new phenomenon. The Minister of Budget and Economic Planning has responded several times to this issue. Budget is essentially an estimate that could be adjusted as the situation demands,” he explained.

Acknowledging that oil remains the dominant source of revenue, the official indicated that the government is taking aggressive steps to diversify and boost revenue collection.

A major focus, he revealed, is on increasing crude oil production, a responsibility now firmly placed on the shoulders of the newly appointed board and management of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).

“Oil might be the major source of revenue, but there are other sources. The government’s response would be to ramp up production. This is one of the targets given to the new management of the NNPCL,” he stated.

He said that the President Bola Tinubu administration had from the outset prioritised increased production and lower production costs as twin goals for the petroleum sector.

 

The source explained: “The underlying objectives of the Bola Tinubu administration are to increase production and reduce the cost of production. The new board and management of the NNPCL have been saddled with this responsibility with timelines.

“Apart from oil, attention is now being shifted to non-oil sector as alternative sources of revenue. The government is actively working through the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) and various government-owned enterprises to step up revenue collection.

“Revenue collection is being ramped up to ensure the budget is funded appropriately. The FIRS and Customs Service, as well as government-owned enterprises, have been charged to up their game. There is nothing to panic about.”

 The tax reform due to come into place after passage by the Senate this month, in concurrence with the passage of the tax bills by the House of Representatives, will also widen the tax net and bring in more revenue without additional tax burden on the people.

This will enhance better funding for Budget 2025.

Managing Director,  Ambosit Capital Managers, Dr. Wahab Balogun, called for urgent fiscal reforms and accelerated implementation measures to avert economic stagnation.

He explained that for Nigeria to achieve inclusive growth, fiscal discipline must return to the center of public finance. “We cannot afford another year of delayed implementation and dependence on oil price ,” he warned.

Reacting to the government’s efforts to shore up revenue through the FIRS, NCS and  and various Government-Owned Enterprises (GOEs),  Balogun said the current oil price of $61.45 per barrel, which is significantly lower than the $75 benchmark in the 2025 budget, presents a serious fiscal challenge.

According to him, the government must now look beyond oil. He stressed the need to broaden the non-oil revenue base and enhance compliance across the tax system. He urged the FIRS to intensify digital tax administration and enforce the Finance Act provisions on tax remittance and withholding obligations.

He said: “The government must accelerate the implementation of the tax harmonization roadmap recommended by the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee.”

He also noted that the Nigeria Customs Service must become more efficient in blocking leakages, curbing smuggling, and ensuring full implementation of border revenue policies.

He added: “Customs modernization is no longer optional; it’s a necessity. Streamlining duty waivers and enforcing compliance at all entry points will significantly boost collections.”

On the role of GOEs, Balogun argued that many of these enterprises underperform due to weak corporate governance. He stressed that the government must commercialize and hold GOEs accountable, pointing out that only a handful remit any meaningful surplus. “This is a missed opportunity in an economy trying to close a growing fiscal gap,” he said.

He further advised the government to aggressively pursue public-private partnerships (PPPs), asset monetization, and cost-cutting reforms. According to him, through agencies like the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC) and the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE), the administration can unlock significant value by concessioning dormant assets and scaling back non-essential expenditure.

On the delayed implementation of the 2025 budget, Balogun expressed concern that the extension of the capital component of the 2024 budget until June 2025 could undermine fiscal stability and policy coherence. While acknowledging that the extension is legally permitted, he argued that it distorts the budget cycle and hampers the timely execution of new projects.

“We’re already in May and no funds have been released for 2025 capital projects. This creates uncertainty for investors, contractors, and even states relying on federation account flows,” he noted.

Balogun called for the immediate release of 2025 recurrent funds and urged the Budget Office to publish the implementation framework without further delay. He also recommended a performance audit of the 2024 capital budget to identify dormant or slow-moving projects, which can then be reallocated to critical areas once the June deadline lapses.

He insisted on the need to harmonize budget approval, procurement, and project execution timelines to reduce the incidence of rollovers, while also urging the National Assembly to strengthen its oversight role to ensure that MDAs fully utilize their allocations within the budget year.

[TheNation]

The Niger Delta Development Commission has warned the public regarding the activities of fraudsters offering non-existent postgraduate scholarships to unsuspecting victims.

The Director of Corporate Affairs at the NDDC, Mrs Seledi Thompson-Wakama, issued the warning in a statement released in Port Harcourt on Sunday.

She disclosed that the scammers had been soliciting money from members of the public under the pretext of securing scholarship placements.

“The attention of the NDDC has been drawn to fraudulent emails and messages sent to applicants of the commission’s Postgraduate Foreign Scholarship Programme,” she said.

Thompson-Wakama revealed that the fraudulent emails, purportedly sent from This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and claiming to be from the NDDC’s ‘Board Registry,’ invite recipients to a fictitious document verification and authentication exercise.

According to her, the purported exercise is scheduled to take place from May 19 to May 21 at Bishop Oluwole Street, Victoria Island, Lagos.

“Members of the public are hereby advised that the NDDC has no affiliation with this fraudulent selection process,” she stressed.

She further clarified that all official communication concerning the commission’s scholarship programme is conducted exclusively through the official NDDC portal: www.scholarship.nddc.gov.ng.

“Applicants are strongly advised to disregard any unsolicited messages requesting money, invitation, sensitive information, or offering scholarship placements outside of the official NDDC procedures,” she added.

Thompson-Wakama urged anyone who receives such fraudulent emails to report them immediately to the appropriate law enforcement authorities for prompt investigation and action.

She encouraged Nigerians interested in the NDDC’s programmes to utilise only the official NDDC communication channels.

“We also advise former beneficiaries of the commission’s programmes and prospective applicants to verify all information through the NDDC’s official website: www.nddc.gov.ng,” she concluded.

NAN

With no official campaigning or list of candidates and the election process shrouded in secrecy, speculation about who will succeed Pope Francis after the conclave beginning this week remains just that — speculation.

But here are 15 cardinals who are among the potential favourites to succeed Pope Francis — so-called “papabili” — divided by region.

EUROPE

Pietro Parolin (Italy), 70, Francis’s number two at the Vatican

Parolin was secretary of state — the Vatican’s effective number two — for almost Francis’s entire pontificate, and its most visible exponent on the world stage. 

Known for his calm and subtle sense of humour, the polyglot also has a fine grasp of the intricacies of the Roman Curia, the Holy See’s central government, and was part of a group of cardinal advisers to Francis.

He is currently considered the frontrunner to become the next pope.

He played a key role in a landmark — and controversial — 2018 Vatican agreement with China on naming bishops.

Pierbattista Pizzaballa (Italy), 60, Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem

Pizzaballa is the top Catholic in the Middle East with an archdiocese encompassing Israel, the Palestinian territories, Jordan and Cyprus.

He was made a cardinal in September 2023, shortly before the war broke out between Israel and Hamas.

The Franciscan has appealed for peace from both sides, and at Christmas in 2024 led mass in both Gaza and Jerusalem.

Matteo Maria Zuppi (Italy), 69, Archbishop of Bologna

A member of the Roman community of Sant’Egidio, Zuppi has for more than three decades acted as a discreet diplomat for the Vatican including serving as Pope Francis’s special peace envoy for Ukraine.

Known for riding his bicycle around Bologna, Zuppi is a popular figure for his decades of work on behalf of the needy. He also advocates for welcoming migrants and gay Catholics into the Church.

He has been president of the Italian Episcopal Conference (CEI) since 2022.

Claudio Gugerotti (Italy), 69

An academic and multi-lingual diplomat from the Italian city of Verona, Gugerotti is an expert on the Eastern Churches.

He has served as nuncio — or ambassador of the Holy See — in several countries, including from 2002 in Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan, later in Belarus, and then from 2015 to 2020 in Ukraine.

The author of several books, Gugerotti largely avoids commenting on controversial issues. He was named Prefect of the Dicastery for the Eastern Churches in 2022, and was made a cardinal in 2023.

Jean-Marc Aveline (France), 66, Archbishop of Marseille

Born in Algeria, Aveline has spent most of his life in the French port city of Marseille.

Like his close friend Pope Francis, he has been a voice for welcoming migrants and promoting interreligious dialogue.

Appreciated for his discretion, intellectual abilities and people skills, Aveline has carved out a reputation as a cardinal to watch since his elevation in 2022.

Anders Arborelius (Sweden), 75, Bishop of Stockholm

Appointed in 2017 as Sweden’s first cardinal, Arborelius is a convert to Catholicism in the overwhelmingly Protestant Scandinavian country, home to one of the world’s most secularised societies.

He is the first Swedish Catholic bishop since the Protestant Reformation and a staunch defender of Church doctrine, notably opposed to allowing women to be deacons or blessing same-sex couples.

Like Pope Francis, Arborelius advocates welcoming migrants to Europe, including Christians, Catholics and potential converts.

Mario Grech (Malta), 68, Bishop emeritus of Gozo

Born into a small village on the tiny Mediterranean archipelago of Malta, Grech is a peace broker and potential compromise candidate for the papacy.

He was secretary general of the Synod of Bishops, a body that gathers information from local churches on crucial issues for the Church — such as the place of women or remarried divorcees – and passes it onto the pope.

He had to perform a delicate balancing act, following Pope Francis’s lead on creating an open, attentive Church while acknowledging the concerns of conservatives.

Peter Erdo (Hungary), 72, Metropolitan Archbishop of Esztergom-Budapest

An intellectual and respected expert in canon law, Erdo speaks seven languages, has published more than 25 books and is recognised for his openness to other religions.

But he has faced criticism for his ties with the government of nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orban, whose harsh views on migration clashed with those of the late Argentine pope.

Known for his enthusiasm for evangelism, Erdo — who grew up under Communism — is a conservative on such issues as gay marriage and divorcees who remarry.

Jean-Claude Hollerich, 66, Archbishop of Luxembourg

A Jesuit like Pope Francis, Hollerich spent more than 20 years in Japan, and is a specialist in European-Asian cultural relations as well as German literature.

Firm on dogma, the theologian is still open to the need for the Church to adapt to societal changes, much like the Argentine pope he was close to and for whom he served as an adviser on the Council of Cardinals.

Hollerich has advocated for the environment and has pushed for laypeople, especially young people, to have more involvement in the Church.

ASIA

Luis Antonio Tagle (Philippines), 67, Metropolitan Archbishop emeritus of Manila

Tagle, Asia’s frontrunner for the papacy, is a charismatic moderate who has not been afraid to criticise the Church for its shortcomings, including over the sexual abuse of minors.

Fluent in English and active on social media, he is an eloquent speaker with self-deprecating humour and, like Francis, is a leading advocate for the poor, migrants and marginalised people.

Nicknamed “Chito”, he was made a cardinal by Benedict XVI in 2012 and had already been considered a candidate for pope in the 2013 conclave in which Francis was elected.

Charles Maung Bo (Myanmar), 76, Archbishop of Yangon

Myanmar-born Bo became the Buddhist-majority country’s first and only cardinal in 2015, appointed by Pope Francis.

Bo has called for dialogue and reconciliation in conflict-ridden Myanmar, and after the military coup of 2021 appealed to opposition protesters to remain non-violent.

He has defended the mainly Muslim Rohingya, calling them victims of “ethnic cleansing”, and spoken out against human trafficking uprooting the lives of many young Burmese.

He was head of the Federation of Asians Bishops’ Conferences (FABC) between 2019 and 2024.

AFRICA

Peter Turkson (Ghana), 76, Archbishop emeritus of Cape Coast

One of the Church’s most influential cardinals from Africa, Turkson has for years been mentioned as a possible first black pope.

Made a cardinal by Pope John Paul II in 2003, the multi-lingual Turkson has been a papal envoy and mediator, including in South Sudan.

He also served between 2016 and 2021 as head of a top Vatican department, the Dicastery for Promoting Integral Human Development, which deals with human rights and migration among other issues.

Born into a humble family of 10 children, Turkson has criticised anti-gay legislation in Uganda, but defends Catholic sexual morality and has denied that homosexuality is a human rights issue.

Robert Sarah (Guinea), 79, former prefect of the Congregation for Divine Worship and the Discipline of the Sacraments

Had Pope Francis lived a few more months, conservative prelate Robert Sarah — who turns 80 on June 16 — would have been too old to join the conclave or to succeed him.

As it is, though, he has found himself championed by conservative Catholics in the French-speaking world as a candidate to turn the clock back on progressive reforms.

An ardent opponent of what he in 2015 called “Western ideologies on homosexuality and abortion and Islamic fanaticism”, he denounced a 2024 text that paved the way for the blessing of same-sex couples.

Experts believe his views make him too conservative to win a two-thirds majority at the conclave, but even a possible candidacy has boosted his profile.

Fridolin Ambongo Besungu (Democratic Republic of Congo), 65, Archbishop of Kinshasa

Ambongo was the only cardinal from Africa on Pope Francis’s advisory council of cardinals, and is the leader of the association of African bishops, SECAM.

Born in 1960, the year of DRC’s independence from Belgium, he has been a strong voice for peace in his conflict-ridden country — and is outspoken in his conservative views.

He notably signed a letter in January 2024 voicing opposition to the Vatican’s declaration allowing priests to carry out non-liturgical blessings of same-sex unions.

In a 2023 interview, Ambongo — who some believe could be his continent’s first pope — proclaimed that “Africa is the future of the Church, it’s obvious”.

AMERICAS

Robert Francis Prevost (United States), 69, Archbishop-Bishop emeritus of Chiclayo

A native of Chicago, Prevost was in 2023 appointed prefect of the powerful Dicastery for Bishops, which is charged with advising the pope on appointments of new bishops.

He spent years as a missionary in Peru and is the Archbishop-Bishop emeritus of Chiclayo in that South American country.

Made a cardinal by Pope Francis in 2023, he is also the president of the Pontifical Commission for Latin America.

Timothy Dolan (United States), 75, Archbishop of New York

A jovial, ruddy-faced extrovert with Irish-American roots, Dolan is a theological conservative, fiercely opposed to abortion.

The former archbishop of Milwaukee, he oversaw the fallout from a major sexual abuse scandal in the diocese.

In New York, amid shrinking Church membership, Dolan has reached out to embrace the growing Hispanic population, which is predominantly Catholic.

 

Nigeria’s 2027 elections, now just 21 months away, may be regulated by a new electoral law, possibly the Electoral Act 2025, as long as the National Assembly concludes the ongoing amendment process and the President grants assent to the bill this year. Therefore, the next few months will be determinative. Debates on electoral reforms and proposed amendments to key sections of the Election Act 2022 and Constitution will dominate public discourse. As the momentum of the 2027 election gathers steam, politicians are becoming more invested in tweaking the rules of the game to guarantee electoral victory in 2027 rather than ensuring electoral reform proposals address the intractable challenges bedevilling Nigeria’s electoral process. Foremost among these challenges is the declining public trust in the electoral process due to election manipulation. Also, ‘captured’ democratic institutions, like INEC and the judiciary, are encumbered by persistent political interference and lastly, policies and practices that disenfranchise eligible citizens from voting.

INEC’s proposals for electoral reform

INEC has officially highlighted its proposals for electoral reform in the current electoral cycle. These include four major constitutional amendments cutting across 16 sections of the 1999 constitution (As Amended). The proposals include the introduction of early voting and special voting to allow eligible voters on essential services to vote at elections. This includes election officials, security personnel, accredited journalists and election observers, as well as voters under incarceration and Nigeria living in the diaspora. This reform will ensure eligible voters are not disenfranchised as a result of their role in elections or location.

To enhance the independence of the Commission, INEC is proposing the removal of the powers to appoint Resident Electoral Commissioners (RECs) from the President and vest the power in INEC. This amendment would empower INEC to appoint and discipline Heads of State Offices, FCT Offices, and State Directors of Elections. Furthermore, INEC is advocating for the establishment an Electoral Offences Commission and a Political Party Regulatory Agency. To advance political inclusion, INEC recommends the creation of designated constituencies for women and persons with disabilities.

 

In relation to the 2022 Electoral Act, INEC is advocating for amendments to 35 sections. Notable amongst the proposals include removing the ambiguities in the result management process, particularly the ambiguity in the words ‘transfer’ and ‘direct transmission’ of election results used in Sections 60(5) and 64(4 & 5) of the Electoral Act, which in the estimation of the Commission has resulted in conflicting interpretation. Another significant proposal is the introduction of a caveat to limit INEC’s power to review election results solely to cases of declaration of results under duress. Finally, INEC proposes the introduction of electronically downloadable voter cards or any other form of identification acceptable to the Commission for voter accreditation. This would enhance voter participation and reduce barriers to participation, especially where the physical distribution of Permanent Voter Cards (PVCs) has proven challenging.

Citizens’ Demands for Electoral Reform

Following extensive consultations and a review of both domestic and international election observation recommendations, civil society groups released a Citizens’ Memorandum on Electoral Reform (2024). The memorandum outlines 37 recommendations under 15 strategic objectives across 15 priority reform areas.

 

A key citizen demand is strengthening INEC’s independence and professionalism. To achieve this, the power vested in the President to appoint the Chairman, National Commissioners, and RECs should be removed and a multi-stakeholder appointment mechanism adopted. This will ensure appointment to INEC are merit-based appointments and devoid of political interference. The constitutional criteria of “non-partisanship and unquestionable character” should be expanded to include professional qualifications, health status, age, and gender. The introduction of mandatory timelines for appointments into INEC, such as requiring vacancies to be filled within 30 days, is recommended. It will prevent unwarranted delays in constituting the Commission as witnessed in the current instance where the second National Commissioner position for the South East vacated by Barr. Festus Okoye, two years ago, remains unfilled.

Another significant demand is the resolution of pre- and post-election disputes before the swearing-in of elected officials. This amendment will enhance the legitimacy and stability of the electoral process. Achieving this will require revising election timelines as well as abridging the timeframe for hearing and determining pre-election matters and election petitions. The citizen memo also advocates for mandatory electronic transmission of results and legal timelines for testing electoral technologies deployed by INEC. These steps are crucial to improving transparency of any part of the electoral powered by technology. To enhance voter turnout, the memorandum proposes a review of the requirements for voter identification to permit the use of other legally acceptable means of identification for voter verification in addition to Permanent Voters’ Cards (PVCs). Lastly, early voting is proposed to accommodate election officials and voters delivering essential services on election day such as security personnel, journalists, and accredited observers. This reform would ensure these critical actors are not disenfranchised due to their responsibilities on election day.

Implications for the 2027 elections

While President’s Tinubu electoral reform agenda remains unclear, the National Assembly, through its joint committee on electoral reform, has made significant progress in the review of electoral laws. Four critical priorities emerge from INEC’s proposals and citizens demands:

 

First, there is a great need to introduce special mechanisms to uphold citizens’ right to vote by making voting accessible. Proposals like early/special voting will enable historically marginalized eligible voters exercise their franchise. It will be historic for INEC officials, inmates, Nigerians in the diaspora, and others to cast their ballot in 2027 due to early/special voting. Alternative forms of identification and downloadable voter cards could address voter disenfranchisement resulting from the non-issuance of PVCs.

Secondly, the election results management regime needs an overhaul. Certain ambiguities in the current electoral act that occasion misinterpretation and discretionary enforcement need to be resolved to clear procedures for collation and transmission. This should include compulsory electronic transmission to complement the manual collation process. Although the Supreme Court has ruled that the INEC IReV is not part of the collation process, this reform cycle presents an opportunity to integrate electronic transmission into the results collation process. Unfortunately, electronic transmission has not featured as a priority reform issue in the current reform process in the National Assembly.

Thirdly, INEC’s independence is non-negotiable. There is growing consensus that divesting the power to appoint individuals from the President is a step towards recapturing the Commission and restoring public confidence. Lastly, concluding election disputes before swearing-in will create a sense of equity and prevent incumbents from influencing judicial outcomes using state resources and power.

However, INEC’s proposal that its power to review election results under Section 65 Electoral Act 2022 should be limited to instances of declaration by duress is problematic. The current law provides two conditions for the exercise of this power: when election results are declared voluntarily and when election results are declared contrary to the provisions of the law, regulations and guidelines, and manual for the election. INEC’s proposal to eliminate the latter will further weaken the results management process, considering recent elections where elections were stolen through clear violations of the Electoral Act and INEC guidelines. Rather than limit the conditions, the current provision should be retained and strengthened to provide clarity on the procedure for activating the power to review election results.

 

As Nigeria enters a critical period in the electoral reform cycle, history beckons the national assembly and the President to act as statesmen and women by prioritizing public interests above personal or partisan political gain. The country’s electoral process is bleeding and bereft of public trust. While electoral amendments are a pathway to rebuilding trust and safeguarding the credibility of the 2027 elections, attitudinal change among political elites is the reform most needed to ensure every vote counts in February 2027.

Itodo is an election, democracy, and public policy enthusiast. 

Chinedu Obigwe, a chieftain of the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), says Chukwuma Soludo, governor of Anambra state, is not funding Nicholas Ukachukwu.

Nkachukwu is the standard-bearer of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Anambra.

He polled 1,455 votes to defeat his closest challenger, Valentine Ozigbo, who came second with 67 votes in the gubernatorial primary election which was held on April 5.

Ozigbo has since challenged the outcome of the primary election, alleging that it was fraught with irregularities.

 

Last week, Ozigbo claimed Soludo is funding Ukachukwu to destabilise the APC.

In a statement issued on Sunday, Obigwe, who is the national coordinator of Media Warriors Forum of APGA, described Ozigbo’s comment as “laughable”.

He claimed that the APC has no strong presence in the Anambra and could be likened to being nonexistent in the state.

 

“We laughed uncontrollably when we watched Valentine Ozigbo’s latest Channels TV interview. In the interview, he falsely accused Governor Soludo of funding Ukachukwu to weaken APC,” the statement reads.

“The truth is that there is nothing to weaken in Anambra APC because the party does not exist in our state.

“So a party that is not in existence in Anambra cannot disturb Governor Soludo’s sleep to warrant him sponsoring Ukachukwu that has nothing to offer to weaken the non-existent party.

“Ozigbo should be bold enough to say this and stop living a fake and pretentious lifestyle.

 

“Governor Soludo has nothing to do with the APC candidate and cannot be funding him. The both of them are not on the same level and can never be.”

The Anambra governorship election is scheduled to take place on November 6, 2025.

[TheCable]

When vultures surround you, stay awake so that you do not die stupid death. Whether you are in business or you are in politics or you are anything of value, stay alive and stay alert. People shave people’s heads in their absence. In 1938, Britain was rumoured to have toyed with the idea of donating Nigeria to Germany as one of its several offerings of appeasement to Hitler. I read of the “strong rumour” in Chief Obafemi Awolowo’s first book, ‘Path to Nigerian Freedom’, published in 1947 – page 38. 

Hitler, two years earlier (September 11, 1936), insisted on “Germany’s right to colonies.” Nine months before Hitler’s insistence, his minister of propaganda, Goebbels, served a notice that “the time will come when we must demand colonies from the world.” In June 1938, Mary E. Townsend published her ‘The German Colonies and the Third Reich.’ She cited two successive editions of the London Times of October 1936 which reported that Hitler had “gained concessions in Africa.” 

The German cup, as it turned out, passed from Nigeria. The rumoured offer to Hitler was eventually not consummated but the mere thought of it tells how ‘valued’ our country and its people were in the heart of those who possessed it. But it is needless to run from fate. You put destiny in a sheath, it destroys the sheath; you put it in a scabbard, it ruins the scabbard. If Nigeria missed being possessed by Germany’s Hitler in 1938, the country’s subsequent history of abduction and rape up to this moment is proof that our fathers were right with their theory of inevitability of fate. A snake swallowing its tail, and swallowing it hard is Nigeria. It is a pool of water-snakes feasting on hapless fishes. 

On Friday this week, it will be 38 years since Chief Awolowo died. Two months before he died on 9 May, 1987, Awo spoke rather cryptically of his “continuing to serve even after death.” Almost 40 years after his transition, his views of Nigeria, his analyses of the systemic problems of the country and his solutions to them have remained the main issues of discussion. 

Awolowo’s ‘Path to Nigerian Freedom’ has proved a worthy carrier of its title. But the path it shows has remained not taken. The late Pius Adesanmi once, at an Awolowo Foundation event, questioned the choice we make as a country. He spoke on what he called “Igbo ree; Ona ree (the bush is here; the path is here).” The choice was – and is – for us to make. We’ve consistently chosen the bush. 

I read the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF)’s boast of last week that the North had the muscle and the number to choose the next president for the other parts of the country. It reminded us that: “The North has 19 out of the 36 states. We also have the FCT as a veritable component. We have a majority in the Senate, the House of Representatives, the National Economic Council as well as the Council of State. The North occupies close to 75 percent of Nigeria’s land area and about 60 percent of the population. An area that is this big and this strong can never be subdued by any opponent…For the moment, it will suffice to say that Northern Nigeria is watching and auditing the actions of the elected and appointed officials, especially at the federal level.” 

Northern leaders always flaunt their population and land mass to intimidate the South. Assets when not harnessed to profitability become liabilities. We say here that vulture may be a large bird, but what it feeds on is rotten flesh. The elephant in its ponderous majesty is as clumsy as they come. Àwòdì tí ń gbé adìẹ lọ́sàn-án ò sanra tó igún. I wonder why it did not occur to the ACF that kites that snatch chicks in broad daylight do not have vulture’s large frame. It is not by size. 

Everything the ACF said was a threat directed at President Bola Tinubu on his second term ambition. Of course, the Tinubu pigeon got the full import of the incantations from the Northern raptor. He rushed to Katsina on Friday – two days after the warning shot was fired. He was there for two days, he even slept there. Tinubu should clap for himself. Did Buhari sleep one night anywhere in Southern Nigeria in his eight years? The visit was Tinubu’s appeasement offering to Hitler to avoid a ‘world war’. Let us hope the aggrieved are pacified now.

Unlike what our teachers taught us, sovereignty is no longer the supreme will of the state; its locus is with any set of human beings “sufficiently strong to compel obedience” to their whims. The North self-assuredly thinks it is the Nigerian sovereign. It said so through the ACF and the president got the message. 

The North thought Goodluck Jonathan was its problem; it got its traditional enemies in Benue and Plateau and the West to join it in removing Jonathan. The North thought having a northern president would solve its existential problems. It brought in Muhammadu Buhari. Under Buhari, the North’s problems multiplied in geometric proportions. It thought a Muslim Muslim ticket was what it needed to be safe and feed well. It brought in a ‘Muslim’ government in May 2023. Less than two years into the tenure of that government of faith, the North is grunting and grumbling very loudly; it shouts marginalization. A million change of government won’t help the north. It must help itself. 

 
 

The ACF also expressed concern over insecurity in the North. It said the security challenges in the North were worsening by the day. It then called on the federal government to act swiftly “before it becomes too late.” I will be happy and dance if I find out that it is not already too late. 

By now, it should be clear to the wise that the problem of the North is not, strictly, Bola Tinubu and his ways. The problem wasn’t Jonathan; neither was it Buhari. The problem of the North is the North – its bad ways. Why would a region not have problems of mass poverty when it spurns mass education of its mass children, youths who own tomorrow? Mass procreation plus mass illiteracy must equal mass misery. It is simple arithmetic. Why will there not be blistering insecurity where mass poverty reigns? If you turn your back to where the world faces, you won’t see what the world sees. How will a president relate with a people that take offence when asked to position their eyes towards the future? The best rules the rest in that country called Saudi Arabia. The elite there have used education to elevate their country and their faith. China’s huge population is a huge economic blessing to it. But, the key to northern Nigeria is in the hands of a band of clerics and dark elites who exploit their people’s unquestioning faith in their region and religion, warts and all. 

I read a beautiful piece on Saturday from a gentleman from the North, Idris Muhammed Abdullahi. He wanted a deliverer for northern Nigeria. Like the ACF and its leaders, Abdullahi didn’t write for Nigeria; his interest was the North. He lamented the decay and disappointment that rules his region. He cited the establishment of the Northwest Development Commission (NWDC). He said it was supposed to mark a turning point in the development of the region. “What then happened?” he asked and added that: “One man handpicked all its executives. The commission has now become a personal ATM, hemorrhaging funds meant for schools, irrigation, rural roads, and youth empowerment. It has transformed from a symbol of hope into yet another playground for elite looting.”

What the gentleman wrote of the North is true of everywhere in the country. And it is historical. Nigeria is an elite PoS – or the soup pot of the powerful. How each of our people reacts to it has also historically made the difference. Wrong, when accommodated, festers. Chief Awolowo said it in a more elegant and profound way 46 years ago. He told ‘Africa’ magazine in April 1979 that “since independence, our governments have been a matter of a few holding the cow for the strongest and most cunning to milk. Under the circumstances, everybody runs over everybody to make good at the expense of others.” 

The most popular page in Awo’s ‘Path to Nigerian Freedom’ is page 47. That is where you find the famous quote: “Nigeria is not a nation. It is a mere geographical expression.” Seventy-seven years after that book was published, to be called Nigerian has remained “merely a distinctive appellation” distinguishing “those who live within the boundaries of Nigeria from those who do not.” Each constituent part of the country has held tight to its gene. When we talk or act, it is for where each of us comes from. Read the ACF statement again. It speaks about ‘us’ and ‘them’ and boasts of assets without discussing the liabilities.

The groups in the South think the North a pampered, pompous parasite. Think of why Max Siollun, author of ‘What Britain Did to Nigeria’, described Nigeria as “just a page in a colonial accounting ledger” and why the British officially took the 1914 amalgamation to be a marriage between a poor, hapless husband and a helpless “southern lady of means.”

Check the tone of the ACF complaints; the challenges of governance have been reduced to a North versus South battle. Now, I ask: For how long shall we remain so “tightly fragmented” and have our growth stunted? 

In the 1947 book above, Chief Awolowo observed that the various nations that make up Nigeria cannot progress and prosper together unless they are properly organized in a federation. “The languages differ…Their cultural backgrounds and social outlooks differ widely; and their indigenous political institutions have little in common. Their present stages of development vary.” It is in that book that you read how, 77 years ago, the ethnic groups in the South readily embraced Western civilisation while “the extremely conservative” Hausas and Fulanis took “very reluctantly to Western civilization.” As it was in 1947, so it is in 2025. If thrown up a hundred years from now, the northern hand fan will land side down.

A copius quote from Chief Awolowo here: “All these incompatibilities among the various peoples in the country militate against unification. For one thing, they are bound to slow down progress in certain sections, and on the other hand they tend to engender unfriendly feelings among the diverse elements thus forced together.” Chief Awolowo warned that “incompatibilities such as we have enumerated are barriers which cannot be overcome by glossing over them, They are real, not imaginary obstacles. Those who place these groups under the same constitution ignore them at their peril – more so, as it appears that these incompatibilities tend to grow in size as those concerned become more educated and civilized.” 

If you can find time to read the book, check what the author wrote while citing the Welsh and the Scottish peoples’ experiences and agitation for self-rule. Check his words on other positive examples and the reason some of us say we are postponing the evil day if we think elite looting facilitated by a unitarised Nigeria will ever bring peace and plenty. Listen to Chief Awolowo: “For upwards of seven hundred years, the Irish people struggled to, and eventually did break away from England in spite of the fact that the latter did everything possible to give the former equal status within the British Constitution.” When you read him, you discover that, indeed, two of the three other examples he cited, Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia, have already unravelled as he predicted; the third, the Dutch-speaking Flemings of Belgium, despite several constitutional interventions, still demand degrees of autonomy. Some of them, in fact, have not stopped chanting “Let My People Go.”

So, what is the solution? 

The solution is knowing that there is no regeneration in spring water flowing towards the desert. Tell the North, tell the South. “Whatever would direct itself after the setting sun, an ashen death lies in wait for it” (Ayi Kwei Armah). Chief Awolowo pointed at the empirical facts of history which he said “are enough to guide us.” He posited that it had been shown beyond all doubts “that the best constitution for… diverse peoples is a federal constitution.” He pointed at the Constitution of Switzerland, which he said “is acclaimed to be the best and the most democratic in the world since it gives complete autonomy to every racial group within the framework.” 

In a truly federal Nigeria, there won’t be allegations of Muhammadu Buhari regime marginalising the South; neither will there be a Bola Tinubu government suffering the stigma of being a Yoruba government. A weak centre will be too unattractive to attract do-or-die politics; neither will it serve as a fetter holding down any part that wants to run. It will serve any one content with crawling to continue to crawl – as we compulsorily do today. 

But can we take a redemptive bend? The wise would say we are too far gone to retrace our steps. “No spring changes the desert. The desert remains” – that, again, is from Armah. Creating a workable system – a system that works – is what we have refused to come up with. We know what it is and how it will serve us, but we just won’t go for it. For us, the bush is the way.

By the time you are reading this, we would have had a good belly laugh, a few or more persons would have also been arrested, must have had their hair cut by overzealous security personnel. It is Nigeria, the deed done, we would have moved on to the next matter.

Minna, the capital of Niger State, faces genuine security challenges—thuggery, cultism, and drug-related crimes—that demand urgent action. However, Governor Umar Mohammed Bago’s Executive Order on Thuggery Activities (22/04/2025) responds to these issues with measures that flagrantly violate legal norms, human rights, and constitutional principles. While the intent to restore order is understandable, the order’s provisions exemplify executive overreach, collective punishment, and a dangerous disregard for due process. 

Let me quickly state that I am not a lawyer…and I am not sure that I need to be one to share my fact—based opinions.

The executive order’s most egregious clauses contravene Nigeria’s 1999 Constitution and international human rights standards: Extrajudicial Killings and Collective Punishment (Clause 1): Declaring that individuals found with weapons (even sticks) should be “treated as armed robbers” and killed, with families charged for bullets, violates Section 33 of the Constitution, which guarantees the right to life. It also imposes collective punishment, outlawed under international law. Such measures normalize state-sanctioned violence and erode public trust. 

I don’t want to talk about the Criminalizing Appearance (Clause 2) is a profound testament to how our thoughts are wired. Arresting citizens for dreadlocks—a cultural and religious symbol for many—infringes on personal liberty (Section 34) and freedom of expression (Section 39). Targeting hairstyles is discriminatory and fuels marginalization, akin to past oppressive policies like Nigeria’s 1984 “War Against Indiscipline.” Which is why it did not succeed and it is not about to succeed now.

How about Property Rights and Due Process (Clause 6): Demolishing homes without court orders violates Section 44’s protection against compulsory property acquisition. Similarly, confiscating vehicles (Clause 10) bypasses judicial oversight, rendering the state both accuser and judge.  

I can tell that on Curfews and Overreach (Clauses 3, 9): While curfews can be legitimate, blanket bans on Okada/Keke Napep without consultation disproportionately harm low-income workers. Centralizing “Operation Flush” under the governor politicizes security agencies, risking abuse.  

And on the Erosion of Judicial Independence (Clause 7): Establishing “special courts” under the Chief Judge’s supervision risks undermining judicial impartiality, as expedited trials may compromise fair hearings (Section 36).  

These clauses reflect a troubling trend: governance by decree, not law.  

The order’s rationale—combating crime through fear—is both ineffective and unethical. History shows that heavy-handed tactics, like our not too far in the past SARS unit approach, exacerbates violence and alienation. By equating sticks with firearms, the order dehumanizes youths, many of whom are victims of systemic neglect. Demolishing homes and arresting community leaders (Clauses 5–6) scapegoats the poor while ignoring elite enablers of crime. Worse, it diverts attention from the government’s failure to address root causes: unemployment, poor education, and institutional corruption.  

The absurdity of these measures recalls a tale of a lawyer who sold a well to a teacher, only to later insist the water wasn’t included. When the teacher threatened to charge rent for the water, the lawyer retreated, exposing the folly of such exploitative logic. Governor Bago’s order mirrors this hypocrisy: it weaponizes legal technicalities to strip citizens of rights, much like the lawyer’s hollow claim over the well’s water. But just as the teacher turned the tables, the people of Minna can—and must—challenge this overreach. The order’s contradictions reveal its fragility; collective resistance can force accountability, as the teacher’s wit did the lawyer’s greed.

Sustainable solutions require addressing socio-economic drivers of crime and restoring trust. Now my dear governor and brother…to my grouse. I have a dread and I am not a criminal—

I believe you could have resorted to Community Policing: Train officers to work with local leaders, youth groups, and NGOs to identify risks collaboratively. A better approach and initiative that can reduce crime through dialogue and intelligence-sharing.  

How much has your government invested in vocational programs, public education, and job creation? For example, how many schemes are currently running to curb cultism by offering alternatives to crime.  

Truth be told, I keep stating that strengthening existing courts to handle cases swiftly while ensuring fairness is better than Mobile courts and improved legal aid services can improve access to justice without sacrificing rights.  

At the heart of these increased crime rates is the drug menace, I dare say, replacing punitive drug policies with health-focused approaches. Partnerships with NGOs can provide counseling and reintegration support.

At the heart of all the backlash also is the fact that there is an inherent flaw in the Political Communication methodology. Governor Bago’s authoritarian rhetoric deepens divides. Better political communication would: Engage Citizens: Hold town halls to co-create policies with affected communities. Promote Transparency: Publish crime data and budget allocations for security initiatives. Avoid Stigmatization: Replace inflammatory language (e.g., “thugs”) with terms that recognize systemic failures.  

The Minna executive order substitutes tyranny for justice. True security cannot be built on violated rights and collective punishment. By embracing dialogue, equity, and accountability, Niger State can tackle its challenges without sacrificing the rule of law. As Bob Marley, the “Natty Dread” himself, once sang: “Until the philosophy which holds one race superior and another inferior is finally discredited, everywhere is war.” Let Minna’s war on crime not become a war on its people—May Nigeria win!

--

Prince Charles Dickson PhD

Team Lead

The Tattaaunawa Roundtable Initiative (TRICentre)

 

 

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