Admin

Admin

Do not follow a person who is running away”.– African proverb

Until Governors come forward, the dust would appear to have settled on the drums rolled out to celebrate two years since the current national leadership was elected. Note that the word ‘achievements’ is not in the last sentence. It was not so much that no attempt was made to actually mention achievements deserving celebration.

President Bola Tinubu made a long speech listing major decisions and initiatives that should fundamentally alter the trajectories of the nation’s political economy, some of them already bearing fruit in the midst of unavoidable pain. Traditional media made small fortunes from congratulatory messages heavy with language of seekers of patronage and public officers seeking favours with public funds. Every voice in leadership position shouted praises of the leadership for its courage and vision, which reminded Nigerians that they are living in awe and admiration.

 
 

 What was muted was the voice of the people, although there are Ministers and APC  Governors and party leaders and spokespersons who will swear that they are the true voices of the people. So confident is this category that they may have slept soundly, even happily, after their series of endorsements of the President for another term with two unspent years. If endorsements are going to make PBAT happy, then that is the way to go. The received wisdom appears to be, whatever makes the President happy is best for the President and those in power. It is the same wisdom which suggests that inducing defectors is a sign of popular acceptance by the people.

 It is not exactly correct to say that there were no murmurs of dissent among a large segment of the population. The formal political opposition matched every claim of progress and visionary leadership by the APC with well-crafted denunciation, but who listens to an opposition that is more burdened by internal problems than the challenges of taking on an administration that is content to hear only its own voice? Its tallest member, the PDP, is held captive by two elephants in the room: the embarrassing defiance of Nyesom Wike who sits smugly on its gaping weakness, and the ambitions of Atiku Abubakar and colleagues who secretly see each other as threats greater than Tinubu.

Sections of the media demanded more genuine redress and progress from an administration which insists it is redesigning the future, and only a blind opposition or biased mischief will elevate the negatives over the positives. More subdued voices insist they see only the distant outlines of an administration that inherited a mountain of woes, and had decided to build its own mountains of misery alongside its sorry inheritance.

 The spoilers that rained on the APC parade and muffled its drums were the daily tally of blood and tears of citizens who fell to widespread violence from terrorists, bandits kidnappers and sundry threats to internal security; cost of existence that will offend the word ‘living’; escalating outbreaks of mini civil wars between communities which defy logic or resolution; contemptuous leadership styles which scream the total absence of rule of law, decency, accountability or shame; massive flooding that reminds the nation that nature is angry with the country for being  abused and ignored, and alarming levels of alienation among young Nigerians who expect nothing good from their country, to which they also owe nothing.

 An argument that this narrative is unfair to an administration with much to celebrate could be countered by another which advises a leadership that has covered only half of its journey to show higher levels of modesty and sensitivity to its challenges. Endorsing President Tinubu, APC governors and legislators as candidates owing to good performances with two years to an election sends only one signal: the APC is done with accountability and internal democracy. It panders to a coalescing personality cult around elected officials and governors and, in particular, the President.

Groveling party officials at state levels and massive increases in revenue allocations now available to Governors make them powerful dispensers of assets and other favours, attracting parasitic praise- singers wearing titles as party leaders. If you want to be charitable to President Tinubu, you could say he is being poorly served by his intimate circle and a party leadership that are creating for him an image of an untouchable president around whom every power and ambition rotates. If you are not the charitable kind, you may conclude that the party and the administration perfectly reflect the real character of President Tinubu: unyielding, unforgiving, calculating and comfortable only with total control.

 Neither of these images should be welcome by a president with two or six years to battle all odds to re-design Nigeria. A president at the mercy of handlers, confidants and a party leadership out of touch with realities and inept at the delicate art of managing power will suggest a weakness Tinubu cannot survive with. This will be the Tinubu who would not have frowned at poorly-timed endorsements and a show of power that is intended to kill-off opposition still mutating with two years to go. On the other hand, the image of a ruthless, all-consuming  Maximum President a long way before elections will only stiffen opposition and resistance against a president who will strive to be re-elected at all cost. Writing off whole segments of the country as incurably hostile, or designing strategies outside the political process and the law will be the only way he can be re-elected.

 There is a madness afflicting the ruling party and all others. Its symptoms are political  shortsightedness, faulty reasoning and crass opportunism. Everyone is approaching a marathon with the requirements of a dash. APC will abandon a major requirement needing focus, intelligence and informed management of its mandate to make the elections easier to win. The opposition will ignore the values of building resilient relationships and designing a winning strategy, with panic driving thought and action. One of them could win the 2027 elections, but the price will be paid by the nation in the form of the leadership that will confuse electoral victory with governance.

 …And Then We Lost Two Titans

 In the space of two days, the nation lost two of its best and brightest. Professor Jubril Aminu and Chief Justice Muhammadu Lawal Uwais passed on, making Nigeria poorer in its asset of citizens who excelled in serving it. Their lives should be a study in brilliance, untiring service, exemplary humility, unimpeachable integrity, unparalleled service to the fatherland and  untainted personal dignity till death.

 May God be pleased with them.

 

The Presidency and presidential candidate of the Labour Party, LP, in the 2023 elections, Peter Obi, clashed yesterday over the fuel subsidy removal and foreign exchange policies of President Bola Tinubu’s administration.

While Obi noted that both policies were haphazardly implemented by the government to plunge the country into economic crisis, the President accused Obi of being too desperate for power and lacked understanding of governance.

Although the former Anambra State governor agreed that the removal of fuel subsidy was necessary, he, however, quarrelled with the manner it was executed.

He also asked the Tinubu administration to account for the money saved so far from the removal of the subsidy and also show proof of its expenditure on such infrastructure as education, health and poverty reduction, as it claimed.

Recall that President Tinubu had, on his inauguration on May 29 2023, announced the removal of fuel subsidy and flotation of forex exchange, triggering the economic crisis the country had been facing, especially with regards to inflation and devaluation of the naira.

In an interview on Arise Television, Obi said while the removal of fuel subsidy was necessary, the policy should have been implemented in a “gradual and organised” fashion.

He said: “I have consistently maintained that I would have removed the fuel subsidy. If you go to my manifesto, it is there and the steps I would have taken in an organised manner.

“There is nothing wrong with the removal of the fuel subsidy. What is wrong is the haphazard way it was announced and implemented.”

He acknowledged that the subsidy regime was riddled with “criminality and corruption” and needed to end, but criticised the current administration’s approach, describing it as poorly executed.

Obi questioned the management of the funds saved from the subsidy removal, saying, “since we were told that we removed it because we don’t want to borrow and that the funds will allow for investments in critical infrastructure.

‘’Billions saved. Where is it? Where is it invested in critical areas of development? Everybody knows critical areas of development — education, health, and pulling people out of poverty. Have any of these three improved? No.’’

Obi said a fair pricing template should have been negotiated with stakeholders to cushion the impact on citizens.

He also addressed the decision to float the naira, saying the policy wasn’t inherently wrong but must be backed by economic productivity.

“There is nothing wrong in floating and devaluing your currency. You do this when you have productivity. In all of this, I would have done the same thing in an organised manner,” he said.

Since President Bola Tinubu’s announcement on May 29, 2023, ending the fuel subsidy, the price of petrol has surged from N190 to over N850 per litre. The administration also adopted a currency float policy, allowing market forces to determine the naira’s value.

Obi desperate for power, ignorant about governance — Presidency

But replying Obi yesterday, Special Adviser to the President on Policy Communications, Daniel Bwala, described the Labour Party’s presidential candidate as a ‘shallow’ personality who was not well grounded in issues of economics and governance.

Bwala, in a statement posted via his official X account, stated that he was surprised Obi could agree with the economic policies of President Bola Tinubu, especially on fuel subsidy removal and the unification of foreign exchange, but emphasised that it was obvious the former Anambra governor and other opposition figures were simply after taking over power, all the while.

He wrote: “Is anybody watching Peter Obi on Arise TV? He agreed with our policy of removal of subsidy and unification of the foreign exchange; he claimed he would have done it better than us in an ‘organised manner’

“He was asked what the ‘organised manner ‘ is.’ He played with words, yet to arrive at agreeing with us.
“Anybody with a rational mind knows these guys are just looking to grab power, but they don’t have any alternative agenda.

“He seems to have very shallow knowledge of economics and governance. Remember, this is even an interview anchored by a member of his Obidient movement.

“That’s why you don’t hear ‘I put it to you’ and no barking like a rottweiler; Yet ‘if it didn’t Dey it didn’t Dey.”

Petrol subsidy removal generates $84bn, 40 roads — NOA

In what seemed an account of receipt from fuel subsidy removal, the National Orientation Agency, NOA, weekend, said the federal government has so far generated $84 billion from the removal
The agency said the funds generated have enhanced the funding 40 critical road projects across the country in the past two years.

In its policy explainer, titled ‘’Two Years Later: Key Benefits of Subsidy Removal,’’ NOA, stated: “For decades, particularly since the advent of the current democratic dispensation, a major albatross of the federal government had been the oil subsidy regime.

“Successive administrations’ zeal to tame the menace had proved a fiasco while the economy continued to haemorrhage profusely. However, by 2015, many Nigerians had reached a consensus that it was high time the subsidy was consigned to the dustbin of history, as the subsidy budget in 2022 rose by 700 per cent to N4tn, the highest ever in subsidy history.

“Between 2005 and 2022, successive governments spent $84.39bn on fuel subsidies. These subsidies consumed over 70 per cent of potential federal revenue, pushing the country to the brink of bankruptcy.

But with the bold decision to remove it, Nigeria is now saving billions and investing in real infrastructure.

“Removal of subsidy not only saved the entire economy from imminent collapse, it also rescued several states of the federation from bankruptcy. Upon the take-off of this incumbent administration, Nigeria was spending 97 per cent of its revenues to service debts until its debt profile exceeded N100tn.

“Fuel subsidies consumed more than 70 per cent of the potential Federal Government’s revenue, forcing both the central and state governments to resort to heavy borrowings to finance their budgetary expenditures, but the removal helped the country to save billions.

“States now swim in inflows of funds, paying salaries as at when due despite more than 100 per cent minimum wage increase and drastically reducing their debt portfolios because subsidy removal puts more money into their hands.

“In 2023, the 36 states of the federation and 774 local government areas got a total of N6.16tn as FAAC allocations, implying a 28.6 per cent increase from the N4.792tn they received in 2022, but in 2024, revenues rose astronomically to N15.26tn as a result of subsidy withdrawal, giving the states and 774 LGAs N9.58tn, which was N3.42tn higher than what they received in 2023.

“Thus, as records from the Debt Management Office have shown, in the last 18 months, the total domestic debt profile of the 36 states and FCT had declined from N5.82tn in June 2023 to N3.97tn in December 2024. This implies that subnational administrations had repaid N1.85tn debts within one and a half years.

“As part of the gains of subsidy withdrawal, for the first time in decades, Nigeria’s capital expenditure in the 2025 Appropriation Act is higher than its recurrent annual spending. Successive administrations had always allocated 70 per cent of their annual budgets to recurrent spending, leaving only a paltry 30 per cent for the capital budget.

“However, the incumbent administration provides N23.96tn for capital expenditure in the 2025 budget. This is N10tn higher than N13.64tn for recurrent expenditure. The impacts of investments in road infrastructure have been the ongoing commissioning of 40 road projects in commemoration of two years of President Tinubu’s administration.”

[Vanguatrd]

 

 

Segun Sowunmi, a member of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), says he can work with President Bola Tinubu.

On Sunday evening, Sowunmi, a former spokesperson for Atiku Abubakar, ex-Vice President and former presidential candidate of the PDP, visited Tinubu at his Lagos home.

Speaking on Channels Television’s ‘Politics Today’ about his visit to the president, Sowunmi said he asked Tinubu tough questions on the state of the nation.

“It is not a bad time to have a conversation with the president. I decided to engage him since people talk about his frailty. So, I jumped on that investigation,” he said.

 

“I have always said he’s smarter than his mates.

“His brain is very alert, he is fit. You know when you are asking someone questions and he answers without looking at the book.

“The privilege to engage with the number one citizen in office, even when I’m not in his party and I critique him, makes him superior to the others.

 

“I’ve been in this party forever. The only time we go to them is after they’ve lost and we need to shore them up. Do you know the difference between Bola and them? He doesn’t have one approach to dealing with everybody.”

He also defended Tinubu’s economic policies and expressed discomfort with the opposition’s tendency to demonise all government initiatives “without understanding the complexities involved in designing forward-thinking policies”.

“I just believe that there comes a time in the life of a nation where you must try to be sure whether the direction a leader is going is the right direction or at least whether it is the intended direction and I guarantee you, he is smart — above average,” Sowunmi added.

“There has never been a doubt that I can work with him. If I’m going to work with the president, I am going to leave the PDP.”

Sowunmi also said Abubakar “is running a coalition which everyone knows I’m not part of”.
 
[TheCable]
 

This is a season of political divorces, that strange separation of godsons from their godfathers and the end to political alliances between people of like interests. The events of the last two weeks were quite revealing, from the rift that blew open in the political relationship between Nigeria’s President Bola Tinubu and the governor of Lagos State, Babajide Sanwo-Olu Lagos in Nigeria to collapse in the political romance between US President Donald Trump and billionaire tech entrepreneur Elon Musk in the United States. 

The former is more of a godfather and godson relationship, while the later is/was a marriage of political interests.

Sanwo-Olu’s emergence as the favourite for the governorship of Lagos was spectacular, after Tinubu – the godfather of Lagos politics – fell out with Governor Akinwunmi Ambode in the run-in to the 2019 election. A relatively lesser-known figure at the time, Sanwo-Olu’s strong point which was sold as Ambode’s weakness, was his unwavering loyalty to party directives and the Tinubu political dynasty. Six years down the road, the Tinubu-Sanwo-Olu relationship, which became a model of political loyalty, is now under growing strain. 

The tension first started after the 2023 presidential election in which Lagos delivered a far narrower vote margin than expected, a poor performance in Tinubu’s traditional stronghold that saw Labour Party’s Peter Obi win the state convincingly. The loss, though not blamed directly on Sanwo-Olu, raised concerns within the Tinubu camp about the governor’s effectiveness in maintaining grassroots control and party loyalty.

More revealing was the political turmoil that erupted in Lagos, involving the State House of Assembly Speaker, Mudashiru Obasa. When Obasa was abruptly impeached in early 2025, allegedly with Governor Sanwo-Olu’s tacit approval, Tinubu reportedly intervened to secure the Speaker’s swift reinstatement. Sanwo-Olu’s perceived involvement, or at least his failure to prevent the move, was seen as another red flag in his handling of affairs as they affect the godfather. Instructively, the reinstatement was done with the governor totally blind-sided.

Sanwo-Olu’s increasingly independent governance style which drew him closer to technocrats, private sector figures, and policy experts, many of whom operate outside Tinubu’s traditional political machinery, further widened the gap. To add to the matter, he was reportedly building legacies around his name rather than the godfather. 

 What was once a quiet, behind-the-scenes divergence has in recent weeks increasingly become more apparent to the public, as subtle tensions between the two key figures of Lagos politics began to unfold. While neither the President nor Governor Sanwo-Olu publicly acknowledged a political rift, a series of subtle but telling public displays have fueled growing speculation that tensions are rising between the two. Since then, their public appearances together have noticeably dwindled and when it happens, creates even more curiosity among the people. 

If what happened at the recent inauguration of the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway on May 31, 2025, during which President Tinubu was seen bypassing Governor Sanwo-Olu during a handshake session, is anything to go by, then there is indeed, a deeper crack than was ever imagined. This public snub, captured on video, quickly went viral and was widely interpreted as a sign of deep discord between the two leaders. Further evidence of the rift emerged during President Tinubu’s recent official visits to Lagos – for the ECOWAS 50th anniversary and the commissioning of Lagos deep seaport road – with Governor Sanwo-Olu noticeably absent in both occasions.

Should the President, the father of all, have engaged in such open disagreement with his political godson? Is it a good record that he has consistently quarreled with the men and women, including the 2 people that served as his deputies while he was Lagos governor, who are his well-known political proteges? These are questions begging for answers as Nigerians chew over the troubling matter.

Such political divorces in the recent past did not end in Lagos. In far away United States, billionaire Elon Musk who emerged as a pivotal supporter of Donald Trump and who forged a political alliance that significantly influenced the 2024 campaign’s trajectory in the US, also spectacularly fell out with the President. Musk touted himself as Trump’s friend and ally and became one of Trump’s most substantial financial backers, establishing America PAC that mobilized voters, particularly in swing states and contributed over $250 million to Trump’s campaign. 

His eventual appointment as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), did not surprise many though it was marked by controversial measures, including the elimination of certain federal agencies and programs as he advocated for significant federal budget cuts and deregulation. However, the alliance began to fray in the past 2 weeks when Musk publicly criticized Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” for its potential to increase the national deficit and reduce electric vehicle subsidies, which directly impacted Musk’s business interests negatively.

The rift and eventual political divorce was swift, quickly breeding unprecedented bad blood and bitterness. Trump’s threat to revoke Musk’s government contracts and Musk’s threat to release damaging information about Trump’s past escapades have seen a dramatic shift from alliance to adversary between two influential figures.

The political relationship between Trump and Elon Musk has undergone a dramatic shift, evolving from mutual admiration to growing animosity, as their alliance has suffered from a clash of personal interests, political ambitions, and ideological differences.

While the exact nature of the potential revelations that Musk has threatened to reveal remains unclear, his bitterness is growing over the loss of over $150 billion in value of his businesses within days. Musk is believed to possess communications, private correspondences, knowledge of personal matters and previous associations with individuals in Trump’s orbit that could prove politically damaging. His willingness to air such information would represent a serious escalation in their feud, turning a political disagreement into a personal battle.

The consequences of the Tinubu-Sanwo-Olu disagreement and the collapse of the Trump-Musk relationship highlight the volatile intersection of politics, business, personal ambition, and ego. While it is heartening to hear that the elders in Lagos State intervened last week to resolve the Tinubu-Sanwo-Olu dispute, leading to the President ‘forgiving’ the governor’s ‘sins’, the gulf between Trump and Musk on the other hand, is widening. The clash between the world’s most powerful leader and the earth’s richest man has degenerated to name-calling, childish banters and frightening threats. It could have wide-ranging implications in US politics, with the potential for further conflict as they appear, on the surface, beyond repair. 

Sheddy Ozoene, Editor-In-Chief of People&Politics, is Vice President of the Nigerian Guild of Editors.

Bode George has an abiding faith in PDP. And using the humongous amount of Rivers State funds frittered away on some ungrateful “chop and clean mouth” PDP politicians as index of measurement, the only other person close to Bode George in this regard is Nyesom Wike, his estranged godson, with whom he is currently engaged in brickbats over the soul of their beloved PDP.

Not many of those who once swore by PDP’s name want to identify with it today. Many are in a mad rush to abandon a sinking PDP ship. The South-south geo-political zone once regarded as the bedrock of PDP, we now know, was because the now tattered PDP umbrella provided cover for massive mismanagement of state funds in a zone where leaders claim stealing state funds is not corruption but ‘misapplication of funds’. (Augustus Aikhomu and Goodluck Jonathan).

While PDP stalwarts who once ate with their 10 fingers in the 16 years of the locust are today falling over each other to escape PDP sinking ship, what we hear from the likes of Olusegun Obasanjo, Atiku Abubakar, David Mark, Olagunsoye Oyinlola, etc., the oligarchy that changed PDP from its founding fathers’ dream to a garrison-commanded by self-serving leaders, is a foreboding silence.

Bode George however remains not only passionate about PDP, but its very embodiment as conceived by its founding fathers. When Obasanjo asked him to choose a role he would like to play after being foisted on the Yoruba nation and Nigeria as PDP candidate in 1998 by the military and the interest they serve, Bode George’s choice without hesitation was a PDP apparatchik. And even when offered the position of Sole Administrator of NPA by Abiye Sekibo, after the government had been inaugurated, his response was “My Honourable, thank you for the honour. I have more important job to do in the party than go and be any sole administrator.”

Even now as the oligarchy and other PDP stakeholders pretend not to hear the tolling of the death knell of their party, Bode George’s vociferous voice is the only one ‘jarring our earlobes’. Nigerians can still hear the ringing echo of his voice as he squared up with Arise TV’s Charles Aniagolu last week, insisting:

“PDP is like Iroko tree. Or the Oak tree found in Saudi Arabia”; “PDP is the only party in Nigeria”; “Our party is not like APC owned by individual”; PDP party as packaged by our founding fathers has the capacity to solve Nigeria problems”, etc.

More intriguing is that George is not exhibiting any evidence he is ready to give up on PDP despite his political son’s last week call on him to go and ‘read newspapers’  if he had nothing doing. And that was after challenging him to identify one politician PDP made from Lagos or one PDP elected politician he successfully supported despite his 25 years of misguided war against Tinubu. AD senators Wahab Dosumu, Adeseye Ogunlewe and Musiliu Obanikoro that he and Obasanjo lured into PDP in 2002 was regarded as ‘mandate theft’ while the 2003 governorship mandate theft in Edo, Ondo, Osun, George took credit for, were reversed by the courts.

Long before Wike’s advice, one of his other disrupting political son, Ayo Fayose had, back in 2020, asked him to retire to give room to younger ones. In his words “it’s high time Bode George retires. Let him be a support stand for the younger ones in the party …all those stories of how we formed this party in 1998, eight of us sat in my sitting room to form the party, is no longer important because the young too must be allowed to grow. (African Examiner September 30, 2020).

Indeed, the joke was on George himself when in an attempt to admonish Wike who is insisting “he is Mr PDP’ resorted to his favourite Shakespeare quote “Life is like a walking shadow… It is like a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury and after that you are heard no more”.

Consumed by his love for PDP, Bode George is yet to come to terms that there is indeed ‘time for everything’.

But is Bode George’s passion enough to save PDP? I don’t think so. It will appear it is too late to change the tide. It is also of little relief that not many members of his embattled party share his optimism.

 For the PDP governors who are not ready to take chances, because they are seeking re-election: “if the taste of the wine changes, drinking habit must change” or “if you must fly to Abuja and your private jet is grounded, it will be foolhardy not to join another plane that guarantees a safe flight”. And to PDP former governors like Gabriel Suswan and PDP stalwarts like Segun Sowunmi, Atiku’s former spokesman, PDP is ‘in intensive care’. 

And neither can anyone fault APC, the irresistible bride that “we are in a democracy and democracy allows freedom of association”.

Unfortunately for Bode George, the pervading gloominess gives no assurance of light at the end of the tunnel. By the verdict of students of political party system including John Campbell, former US envoy to Nigeria, PDP, unlike parties that serve as recruitment centres for political office holders and as modernization agents, is in fact not a political party. It is an association of ‘wheelers and dealers he dismissed during a debate on Nigeria in British House of Commons as “an elite cartel at the centre of power in Nigeria that came together essentially as a club of elites for sharing of oil rents and political spoils”.

Much as PDP card-carrying members in borrowed toga of journalists may want to change the narrative, not all Nigerians suffer from collective amnesia. Nigerians remember it was PDP stalwarts that created artificial fuel scarcity at the onset of Obasanjo’s government to stampede him to set up the Petroleum Pricing Product Regulatory Authority (PPPRA) under which PDP leaders and their siblings defrauded Nigeria of about N1.6trillion through fuel subsidy scam. Only last week, the son of retired Brigadier Ahmadu Ali, former PDP chairman and PPPRA chairman, was jailed for 13 years for the same offence.

Nigerians remember Atiku Abubakar supervised the ill-implemented privatisation programme, through which Nigeria’s total investments of about $100billion acquired between 1957 and 1997 were sold to PDP stalwarts and their fronts for a paltry $1.5billion.

We remember the monetization policy was another scam through which PDP stalwarts including ex-Senate President David Mark, ex- House speaker Dimeji Bankole and ex CBN governor Chukwuma Soludo bought their mansions at giveaway prices while other government officials and civil servants converted to personal use properties kept in their temporary care for our children at prices determined by them.

Of course, there was the unbundling of PHCN during which government injected between $8billion and $16billion, taxpayers money only to have the electricity distribution companies sold to stalwarts of PDP some of whom shamelessly donated as much as N5b to President Jonathan’s 2015 re-election bid.

Bode George’s passion for PDP will most likely not erase the memory of how Sambo Dasuki, President Jonathan’s National Security Adviser (NSA) became an ATM without password with leading PDP men and women sharing US$2.1billion loan meant for our fighting soldiers’ hardware and welfare.

We remember very clearly the years of the locusts when for 16 years, PDP stalwarts without self-discipline, ate with their 10 fingers and boasted they would rule for an uninterrupted 60 years.

Without excusing Buhari’s eight years of gross incompetence and Emefiele’s mismanagement of foreign exchange market through forex ‘round tripping’ or even the toll of current President Tinubu’s two years economic policies on Nigerians, we remember Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala told Nigerians that Jonathan government was borrowing money to pay salaries. And more foreboding, both she and Chukwuma Soludo predicted that whoever or whatever party took over in 2015 would have an uphill task trying to reverse the damage of 16 years of economic recklessness.

Unfortunately for George, Atiku Abubakar who presided over the sales of our budding industries and Peter Obi, the ‘container economist,’ who as importer of foreign labour, are jointly responsible for our nation’s current nightmare. Driven by greed for power, both have serially betrayed PDP, their party as they did Nigeria.

The tragedy is that they are today jostling for power not on the basis of a new vision to redress the tragedy they brought on a nation where my total estacode as a young journalist going for holiday in London in 1982 was N500, an amount that cannot buy a loaf of bread today, but on the basis of current temporary hardship, the result of their repeated rape on Nigeria.

 

Condolences to the Uwais Family

I express my condolences to the Uwais Family on the passing of their Patriarch, Honourable Justice Mohammed Lawal Uwais, GCON, the 7th Indigenous Chief Justice of Federal Republic of Nigeria (CJN). May Allah, in His infinite mercy, grant him the highest level of Jannah. Ameen.

Today’s This Day Lawyer publication, is a tribute and testament to CJN Uwais, the longest serving Supreme Court Justice and second longest serving CJN in Nigeria’s history, how he conducted himself and discharged his duties admirably as CJN. 

For me, when such a death occurs, I see it as a time for deep reflection on my own life, as it should be for all of us. I start to ask myself questions such as, what positive impact have I made on anyone’s life or on society generally? Will I have enough, to bag me a verdict of ‘Not Guilty’ in ‘Kootu Òlòrun’ (Heavenly/God’s Court)? The death of his Lordship is a reminder that life, no matter how long, holding a position, for no matter what length of time, is temporary; and death is a debt that we all owe God. And, that, even if Section 6(6)(c) of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended)(the Constitution) which ousts the jurisdiction of the courts with regard to Chapter II of the Constitution, that is, the Fundamental Objectives and Directive Principles of State Policy, so that Government and its Officials escape ‘worldly’ accountability to the people, aside from the fact that none of us will escape accountability to God for our actions, what will people say about us when we die? Will the report be good, like that of CJN Uwais? 

‘Kootu Òlòrun’

I fear for many within the three arms of Government today, that their report and judgement may not be favourable. And, in ‘Kootu Òlòrun’, Justice, which is something that is so precious to the Almighty, will be handed down accordingly! There is no technical justice there! In Akpan v Bob (2010) LPELR-376(SC) per Ibrahim Tanko Muhammad, JSC (later CJN), the Supreme Court held inter alia that “…technical is no justice at all….”; I concur. 

However, it appears that courts do not always follow this precedent. Take for example, the recent Supreme Court decision in the Gwandu Emirate Case – can we say that substantive justice was truly served  in a 20 year old case in which all the proceedings were set aside by the Supreme Court (in a 3:2 decision), because deposed Emir, Alhaji Mustapha Jokolo allegedly didn’t serve a pre-action notice on the Kebbi State Governor/Government (KSG) before legal proceedings were instituted? While I have not had the benefit of reading the full judgement in this case, I read several news items reporting the matter, including one that quoted excerpts of the judgement. 

Pre-Action Notice

In Ntiero v N.P.A. 2008 N.W.L.R. Part 1094 Page 129 at 142 per Ibrahim Tanko Muhammad, JSC (later CJN); per Samuel Akinola Akintan, JSC the Supreme Court held that a Pre-Action Notice “should be in form of a letter usually written by a Plaintiff or his Solicitor to the prospective Defendant giving him notice of intention to institute legal proceedings against him for specified reliefs”. In Abuja Municipal Area Council v C.N. Okoli Transport Co. Ltd (2009) LPELR-3579(CA) the Court of Appeal held that “The rationale behind the jurisprudence of a pre-action notice, is to enable the Defendant know in advance the anticipated action, and a possible amicable settlement of the matter between the parties, without recourse to adjudication by the Court. The purpose of giving notice to a party, is that it is not also taken by surprise, but so that it should have adequate time to prepare to deal with the claim in its defence”. 

One of the reasons for the pre-action notice, is for the Defendant to be made aware of the imminent institution of legal proceedings, particularly to stop abuse and fraud, for instance, where some Plaintiffs have been known to file cases surreptitiously and obtain judgements against Defendants without their knowledge. The importance of such a notice or the need for it, varies from one circumstance to the other, even if it is a condition precedent, and in some cases, there may be no real need for it, as it may be superfluous (like saying reverse back!).  

Considering the fact that it was the KSG that deposed Alhaji Jokolo, and they were ably represented in the matter, no one can say the Defendants weren’t aware of the case. The question should have been, whether non-compliance with the pre-action protocol impacted the KSG negatively and/or whether it’s absence could not have been treated as a procedural irregularity, and not one that was fatal to the proceedings. 

Even if the Kebbi State Chiefs (Appointment and Deposition) Law, required a pre-action notice protocol to be followed where there’s such a dispute, before the institution of legal proceedings, that is, the fulfilment of a condition precedent before litigation, does non-compliance with a pre-action notice protocol necessarily result in the proceedings in a matter being set aside/nullified? The answer is, not always. 

I submit that the issue of non-compliance with serving a pre-action notice, should be settled on a case by case basis, and not in a blanket fashion, particularly because circumstances may differ from case to case, and additionally, there are exceptions to the rule of service of pre-action notices, that is, in the case of fundamental rights enforcement, and when the Defendant waives the right to a pre-action notice and doesn’t include the non-service of same as an issue in the pleadings. See the case of Obasa & Ors v Fadeyi (2020) LPELR-51758(CA) per Mistura Omodere Bolaji-Yusuff, JCA. 

Matters Arising 

Like I mentioned before, since I’m yet to read the Gwandu Emirate case’s judgement, I do not know whether the Kebbi State Government raised the issue of non-compliance to the pre-action notice protocol in their pleadings; but, the truth of the matter is that, the fact that the Defendant defends the suit is enough to imply that he/she is aware of the case and has waived the right to the pre-action notice; because, with or without the pre-action notice, the reasons for its issuance can be fulfilled without it, and it’s essence also fulfilled in its absence, as in the Gwandu Emirate case, that is: 1) knowledge of the case – the Kebbi State Government was aware of the case and participated in it fully; 2) possible amicable settlement – nothing stops parties to an action from adjourning the process of litigation, to allow for settlement. The court usually grants adjournments for report of settlement, and if a settlement is reached in the course of the proceedings, Terms of Settlement are filed, and entered as the judgement of the court in the matter. 

My point? In this particular instance, non-service of a pre-action notice does not appear to be more than a mere procedural irregularity, and is nothing fundamental that goes to the root of the case. The non-service of the pre-action notice in the Gwandu Emirate case doesn’t appear to be something so crucial, that it was adjudged to be fatal. See Abuja Municipal Area Council v C.N. Okoli Transport Co. Ltd (Supra).

Additionally, in Alhaji Jokolo’s case, it appears that there were issues of fundamental rights involved, as it was canvassed that he was not given the right to fair hearing before he was deposed, contrary to Section 36(1) of the Constitution. See Muhammed & Ors v ABU Zaria & Anor (2012) LPELR-22366(CA) on the right to fair hearing. 

In Akahall & Sons Limited v NDIC (2017) LPELR-41984(SC) per Kumai Bayang Aka’ahs, JSC, the Supreme Court in drawing a distinction between substantive irregularity and procedural irregularity cited the case of Mobil Producing (Nig.) Unlimited v LASEPA 2002 18 N.W.L.R. Part 798 per Ayoola, JSC where it held inter alia thus: “Much stress has been placed on the argument that non-compliance with provisions such as Section 29(2) of the Act (Federal Environmental Protection Agency Act) leads to a question of jurisdiction which can be raised at any time, and which if resolved against the Appellant, renders the entire proceedings a nullity. This rather mechanical approach to the issue, which tends to ignore the distinction between jurisdictional incompetence which is evident on the face of the proceedings, and one which is dependent on ascertainment of facts, leads to error……”.

In the locus classicus, Madukolu & Ors v Nkemdilim (1962) LPELR-24023(SC) per Vahe Robert Bairamian, JSC, the Supreme Court listed the conditions that must be satisfied before a court can exercise its jurisdiction, the last being that the case must be initiated by due process of law and upon the fulfilment of any conditions precedent to the exercise of jurisdiction. By failing to serve the pre-action notice on the Kebbi State Governor, the Apex Court majority decision held that Alhaji Jokolo didn’t initiate his suit via the due process of law, and this had robbed the court of jurisdiction. In short, such an important case which offered a golden opportunity to establish judicial precedent on the deposition of traditional rulers was not decided on its merits, but on procedure and technicalities. I must concur with his Lordship, Ayoola, JSC in Mobil Producing (Nig.) Unlimited v LASEPA (Supra), that this approach by the majority judgement appears to be mechanical. And, perhaps, since the non-service of the pre-action notice didn’t appear to affect the meat of the matter, it should have been treated as a procedural irregularity that wasn’t fatal to the case, so that substantive justice could be done. 

I respectfully disagree with the majority decision, as it appears to visit what may have been a mistake on the part of Counsel in not serving the pre-action notice on the Kebbi Governor, on Alhaji Jokolo, thereby denying him of the opportunity of having the actual subject-matter of his case determined by the Apex Court. In Iroegbu & Anor v Okwordu & Anor (1990) LPELR-1539(SC) per Philip Nnaemeka-Agu, JSC, the Supreme Court held inter alia that “It should be regarded as settled by a long line of decided cases, that the courts do not normally punish a litigant for the mistakes of his Counsel”. In Alston S.A. & Anor v Saraki (2000) LPELR-436(SC) per Adolphus Godwin Karibi-Whyte, JSC, the Supreme Court held that “The Courts have always followed the established principle that the fundamental object of adjudication is to decide the rights of the parties, and not to impose sanctions merely for mistakes they make in the conduct of their cases, by deciding otherwise than in accordance with their rights”. I submit that, after 20 years, the majority decision of the Apex Court didn’t decide the Gwandu Emirate case on its merits, and in accordance with the rights of the parties. 

Conclusion 

In the interest of justice, for especially for so long, it is my humble opinion that, particularly in a situation that ordinarily, on the face of the statement of claim, the court of first instance is clothed with the requisite jurisdiction to hear and determine a matter, where the Apex Court is able to treat a mistake that doesn’t affect the substance of a case as a mere procedural irregularity and determine the appeal on its merits, it should. In Andrew v Oshoakpemhe & Ors (2018) LPELR-53228(CA) per Biobele Abraham Georgewill, the Court of Appeal held thus: “These days, the Courts should or ought to concern themselves less with mere technicality and concern themselves more with matters of real substance and substantial issues in contention between the parties, in order to render substantial justice to them. Long gone are the heydays of technicality riding roughshod over substantial justice! The Courts have since charted a new path, aimed at consolidating substantial justice between the parties and would sparingly accord mere technicality, just for its own sake, any pride of place except in very well deserving cases”. I concur. 

In my humble opinion, the Gwandu Emirate Appeal, should have been determined on its merits by the Apex Court, as it would not have been unjust to the KSG to do so. Having been unilaterally deposed as Emir of Gwandu by the KSG, Alhaji Mustapha Jokolo was again denied fair hearing at the Apex Court based on a procedural irregularity – double denial. I believe that this another instance of technical justice being handed down by the majority, over and above substantive justice. Also see the Kebbi State Law, on Statute of Limitations to institute legal proceedings touching on Chieftaincy Matters.

Even though pre-action protocols have been introduced by the various courts in their Civil Procedure Rules as a condition precedent to the institution of legal proceedings, I still believe that the absence of it doesn’t have to be a deal breaker in all cases! Certainly, when a Plaintiff tries to pull a fast one on a Defendant by securing a questionable judgement in his/her absence, the issue of the non-service of a pre-action notice must necessarily be fatal and grounds to nullify such unusual proceedings. 

But, when a Defendant fully participates in the case, why should the non-service of a pre-action notice be fatal, when everything a pre-action notice sets out to achieve, still remains fully achievable without it? The existence of this fact in some cases, automatically downgrades the absence of a pre-action notice from a fatal accident to a scratch on the vehicle. We must use some of these mechanisms fairly, as this is the essence of justice, and not in a blanket manner that could lead to the denial of justice for no legitimate or sound reason.

Picture a scenario in which Africa’s richest man, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, invested $250 million in 2023 to support the presidential campaign of APC candidate Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Let’s assume Dangote, being the shrewd businessman he is, found a legal way to avoid violating campaign finance limits that cap how much individuals can contribute to political campaigns.

Now imagine that this strategic support played a major role in Tinubu’s victory two years ago, helping him secure the presidency and giving the APC a majority in both chambers of the National Assembly. As a token of appreciation, President Tinubu appoints Dangote to lead a newly created government agency focused on cutting waste and improving public sector efficiency.

In this imagined scenario, Dangote’s new role comes with the tough task of ending long-standing subsidies on petrol and foreign exchange—two policies widely seen as obstacles to Nigeria’s economic growth since independence in 1960. Because these subsidies have become deeply embedded in public expectations over the past four decades, rolling them back sparks outrage and resistance.

Now take it a step further: suppose Dangote, despite his brilliance, begins behaving inappropriately—perhaps mocking civil servants who lost their jobs or appearing in Aso Rock with his toddler riding on his shoulders in a moment of eccentric public display. President Tinubu, noticing these missteps, decides to relieve him of his duties respectfully and even presents him with a symbolic key to the villa as a gesture of goodwill.

But soon after the House of Representatives passes four key tax reform bills—awaiting Senate approval—Dangote lashes out, branding the bills a “disgusting abomination.” Concerned that the new laws could undermine the business advantages his firm had been enjoying, he threatens to use his influence to ensure APC lawmakers are voted out in the next elections.

This outburst provokes President Tinubu, who publicly quips that Dangote might be suffering from a mental health issue. What should have remained a private policy disagreement between allies begins to spill into the public sphere, with the potential to spiral into a full-blown political crisis.

Dear readers, this imagined scenario is not about Nigeria, President Tinubu, or Aliko Dangote—the visionary industrialist behind the Dangote Refinery and Petrochemical complex that’s transforming Nigeria from a raw exporter of crude oil into a net exporter of refined petroleum products.

Rather, this story mirrors the real-life political drama currently unfolding in the United States between President Donald J. Trump—back in office as the 47th president—and Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and owner of Tesla, SpaceX, and other powerful tech ventures.

Their feud highlights the perils of blurring the lines between business and politics. It serves as a cautionary tale for democracies around the world about why these two powerful domains—each critical in its own right—must remain independent to preserve institutional integrity and public trust.

Simply put, the situation described above isn’t unfolding in a struggling third-world nation where democratic principles are still being grasped. Rather, it is playing out in the United States—the wealthiest, most powerful nation in the world, and widely regarded as the global standard-bearer for democracy.

For me, there are several critical takeaways from this evolving saga in America.

First, it reinforces the reality that democracy is still an evolving system of governance, even centuries after its roots in ancient Athens under Cleisthenes in 508 BCE.

Who would have imagined that campaign finance laws in the U.S.—particularly the caps on individual contributions to political candidates—could be so cleverly circumvented? Yet Elon Musk appears to have done just that, reportedly channeling around $250 million into Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign without violating existing laws.

Second, the unfolding events affirm the old adage: “What money cannot do, more money can.” Musk himself boasted that without his financial engineering—leveraging “Super PACs” to funnel as much as $1 million per voter in key swing states—Trump and the Republican Party may not have secured victories in the White House and both chambers of Congress. According to Musk, his financial intervention was instrumental in Trump’s success in the November 5, 2024 election. As he warned at the time, “In November, we fire all Republicans who betrayed Americans.”

This demonstrates that, just like in many fledgling democracies of the developing world, money—not ideology or principles—is often the decisive factor in American elections, with votes going to the highest bidder.

Third, the very public clash between Musk—head of Tesla and SpaceX—and President Trump has peeled back the curtain on the inner workings of the U.S. government. It exposes a long-held double standard: while the West criticizes African nations for implementing public subsidies, it often does the same, albeit in more discreet and sophisticated forms. Through institutions like the World Bank and IMF, wealthy nations pressure developing countries to eliminate subsidies, despite quietly propping up their own industries using similar mechanisms.

This hypocrisy has been starkly revealed by the Trump-Musk fallout. The feud has exposed how Musk’s companies have been supported through generous government contracts and subsidies—an arrangement that mirrors the kind of state-enabled capitalism often criticized in the Global South.

Fourth, the idea that oligarchs are a uniquely Russian or African phenomenon has been shown to be misleading. Musk’s companies, Tesla and SpaceX, are now understood to have benefitted significantly from U.S. government support. In Trump’s own words:

“The easiest way to save money in our Budget—Billions and Billions of Dollars—is to terminate Elon’s Governmental Subsidies and Contracts. I was always surprised that Biden didn’t do it!”

This outburst came in response to Musk labeling Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination.”

So, isn’t it both ironic and hypocritical that powerful Western nations instruct poorer countries to avoid government subsidies, while engaging in the same practices behind the scenes? By financially supporting domestic corporations that build wealth through state contracts, the West is not far removed from the same oligarchic systems it routinely condemns.

In conclusion, the Trump-Musk dispute is not merely a clash of egos. It is a revealing episode—one that lays bare the contradictions and vulnerabilities within the democratic and capitalist systems of even the world’s most advanced nation.

The purpose of this intervention is not to dwell on the sensational fallout between Donald Trump and Elon Musk—an alliance turned sour and now dominating headlines across both mainstream and social media, generating intense political controversy. That story has already been heavily dissected and discussed.

Rather, what concerns me is the unfortunate nature of this public spat, which has erupted barely 63 days into what was initially viewed as a promising political partnership between Trump, the President of the United States and figurehead of global democracy, and Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and a symbol of technological innovation.

Unsurprisingly, their clash has created a tense atmosphere, casting a dark cloud over the U.S. political landscape—an ironic turn for a nation that prides itself on being the model of democratic governance.

It is this deeper implication that compels me to approach the matter from a different angle—one that better illuminates the significance of this episode for those of us in less developed democracies. My goal is to help readers, especially Africans, understand that the global system does not always treat us fairly, despite appearances.

To illustrate this point, and drawing from my background in international public policy, I chose to analyze the Trump-Musk saga through an analogy—comparing it to a hypothetical but relatable scenario in Nigeria. After all, Nigeria’s political system borrows heavily from the U.S. model, and President Bola Tinubu’s current reform-driven leadership has begun reshaping the country’s economic landscape within just two years of his administration.

With that backdrop, it’s worth examining how the situation unfolded.

When sales of Musk’s Tesla electric vehicles began to decline both in the U.S. and globally—particularly across European markets—President Trump took on the role of an unofficial brand ambassador. In what appeared to be a quid pro quo gesture to repay Musk for his campaign support, Trump staged a symbolic event: turning the White House lawn into a Tesla showroom. On live television watched by billions worldwide, he personally bought a red Tesla and urged others to follow his example.

This dramatic endorsement was part of Trump’s attempt to shield Musk from the backlash he faced after heading the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)—an agency created to cut government costs. Musk’s involvement in laying off public sector workers had angered many Americans, some of whom responded by boycotting and even vandalizing Tesla cars. This public outrage contributed significantly to Tesla’s financial decline.

On one particularly devastating day, Musk reportedly lost $34 billion in market value, and Tesla’s total losses since Musk became directly involved in politics are estimated at over $150 billion. His decision to blend business with politics—becoming an active player in public governance—appears to have backfired, both for his companies and his personal wealth.

Despite his high-profile role and disruptive efforts, Musk’s agency, DOGE, was only able to reduce U.S. government spending by a mere 1%. Likewise, Trump’s relentless attempts to reverse Tesla and SpaceX’s downward trajectory yielded little success. The damage to Musk’s public image as the face of mass layoffs and agency closures proved too great to overcome.

DOGE, as the name implies, was Trump’s initiative to curb federal spending as part of his broader goal to reduce America’s ballooning budget deficit and national debt—now estimated at over $36 trillion. However, this ambition is not new. Past presidents like Ronald Reagan (40th) and Bill Clinton (42nd) also established similar budget reform initiatives.

In the end, the Trump-Musk clash offers far more than tabloid drama. It serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of blurring the lines between politics and business, and highlights the global double standards that often disadvantage less powerful nations. The same Western systems that lecture developing countries on austerity and public subsidies are themselves deeply intertwined with state-backed corporate interests.

Notably, the efforts by past U.S. administrations to reduce the cost of governance mirror the current situation between Trump and Musk. Under President Ronald Reagan, a similar initiative was launched with the creation of the Grace Commission—officially called the President’s Private Sector Survey on Cost Control. It was led by J. Peter Grace, a prominent CEO of W.R. Grace and Company. The commission aimed to identify ways to make the federal government more efficient and claimed it could save over $424 billion within three years.

Despite the high expectations, the commission’s recommendations were not fully implemented, and critics argue that the actual impact on government efficiency and cost savings was modest at best.

Likewise, during President Bill Clinton’s tenure, his administration introduced a major reform program known as the National Performance Review (NPR), led by Vice President Al Gore. The NPR was a comprehensive effort to restructure the federal government with a focus on improving efficiency, cutting waste, and delivering better services to citizens. Its vision was to build a government that “works better and costs less.” The initiative resulted in 119 key recommendations, including downsizing agencies and eliminating redundant programs. The NPR ultimately claimed to have saved $108 billion and improved government operations while also reducing overhead staffing.

Clearly, Trump and Musk are not the first high-profile figures—one from the political world and the other from business—to attempt reforming the American government’s spending habits. Yet, despite their intentions, their partnership has turned acrimonious. The tension between Trump, intent on “Making America Great Again,” and Musk, determined to inject private-sector efficiency into public service, has spiraled into a toxic feud.

Both men should recognize that even past collaborations between top political and business minds—such as Reagan and Grace, or Clinton and Gore—fell short of achieving the kind of transformational government efficiency they envisioned. Their failure should offer some perspective and encourage both Trump and Musk to de-escalate their conflict and move beyond their mutual frustration over their unmet goals.

Following their fallout, Tesla’s stock has taken a significant hit. As of last Thursday, it’s reported that Tesla has lost up to $150 billion in market value over the last six months. Meanwhile, Musk’s businesses have reportedly benefited from up to $34 billion in U.S. government contracts—support that could be jeopardized if the feud with Trump continues.

This raises an important question now being asked by political observers in the U.S.: Can these two power players—once close allies just six months ago, and now adversaries—repair their relationship?

On what was Musk’s last day in the White House as a government adviser, Trump symbolically handed him the “Keys to the White House.” But any illusion of a cordial parting quickly shattered when Musk publicly condemned Trump’s signature tax and spending plan—the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill”—as a “disgusting abomination.” Musk’s critique struck a nerve, especially since the bill contradicted the aims of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which Musk had headed in a failed attempt to streamline public spending. His aggressive role in implementing job cuts drew widespread criticism, particularly since Musk was unelected and seen as wielding unchecked influence over government workers’ livelihoods.

This political-business breakdown in the U.S. brings to mind a similar episode in Nigeria, which illustrates why mixing business with politics is a risky endeavor. After former Vice President Atiku Abubakar left office (1999–2007), his business interests, particularly in Intels—an oil and gas logistics firm he co-founded—suffered a steep decline. Intels had thrived under favorable government patronage, operating a lucrative private port in Port Harcourt. But after Atiku’s party lost power to the opposition APC in 2015, government contracts dried up.

As the firm’s financial standing deteriorated, Atiku was forced to sell his equity stake in a bid to keep it afloat. Following his divestment, his spokesman issued a statement to the press, confirming the exit 

“Yes, he has divested from Intels and redirected his investments into other sectors of the economy to generate returns and create jobs.”

Reflecting on the ongoing fallout between Donald Trump and Elon Musk, one is reminded of the tragic political journey of Nigerian billionaire-turned-politician, Chief Moshood Kashimawo Abiola (MKO). Although the circumstances differ, there are thematic similarities. Abiola, who amassed his fortune primarily through government telecommunications contracts—much like Musk’s ties to U.S. government contracts in the tech sector—entered the political arena in 1993 by contesting the presidency. Sadly, his political aspirations ended in tragedy, resulting in the loss of both his wealth and ultimately his life.

While Musk hasn’t directly pursued the presidency, his veiled threat to back the Democrats in the upcoming election as retaliation against Republicans for passing Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” has raised eyebrows. It suggests the possibility that Musk may be positioning himself to influence the outcome of the 2028 elections in favor of the Democrats—just as he was instrumental in helping Trump and the Republicans secure victory in 2024. If so, Musk could be transitioning from a politically interested entrepreneur into an active political player.

In the present feud between two former allies—President Trump, who may have a fragile ego, and Musk, known for his confrontational approach—the stakes are high. Trump, a seasoned political fighter, is unlikely to back down easily, while Musk’s endurance in the face of sustained political and financial pressure remains to be seen. Whether he can absorb continuous blows to his businesses, including Tesla and SpaceX, could determine if the two men will reconcile or drift permanently apart.

President Trump, now in his final term, arguably has less to lose. However, he still needs the Senate to pass his flagship legislation, the Big Beautiful Bill. Musk’s opposition to the bill is already casting doubt on its swift approval. Encouragingly, Musk seems to be stepping back from his confrontational stance, as evidenced by his decision to delete a provocative post in which he threatened to begin decommissioning SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft in response to Trump’s comments about canceling government contracts.

Though the U.S. is no Russia, the Trump–Musk standoff evokes parallels with the dramatic falling-out between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Yevgeny Prigozhin, the late mercenary leader of the Wagner Group. Once close allies, their power struggle escalated into an armed confrontation and ended with Prigozhin’s untimely death in a plane explosion.

The conflict also mirrors Putin’s past clashes with influential Russian oligarchs, many of whom were jailed or had their assets seized after falling out with the Kremlin. One such example is Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the former owner of Yukos Oil, who was imprisoned on charges of tax evasion and other offenses. In response, several Russian oligarchs fled the country, investing their wealth in the West—particularly in the U.K., where Roman Abramovich famously bought Chelsea Football Club. He eventually lost the club following Western sanctions on Russia after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Despite these grim parallels, there is still hope for reconciliation between Trump and Musk. Their personal and political futures would both benefit from de-escalating tensions. Continued verbal and written hostilities—no matter how indirect—could prove damaging to both men, especially as mere words can spark consequences that are irreversible in both business and politics.

Drawing from Nigeria’s own political-business landscape, we’ve seen high-profile feuds eventually resolved. A case in point is the past fallout between Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, and Nigeria’s third-richest businessman, Femi Otedola. Though their dispute was acrimonious, the two have since rekindled their friendship and now enjoy a closer relationship than before. That precedent gives reason to believe Trump and Musk—two powerful figures who still need each other—might also find a path to reconciliation.

This optimism is further supported by comments from Musk’s father, Errol Musk, who revealed that Elon suffers from Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD). If the fallout was, in part, driven by psychological distress and frustration over unmet expectations, healing could begin once emotions settle and rational interests take over.

Yet a broader concern remains: If Musk is eventually barred—by legal, institutional, or moral constraints—from using his vast wealth to influence electoral outcomes in the U.S., what prevents him from trying the same approach in other countries, especially in Europe? If he refrains, will other billionaires emulate his strategy, leveraging wealth to influence political outcomes under the maxim that “what money cannot do, more money can”?

Ultimately, the Trump–Musk saga offers a valuable lesson for democracies everywhere. It underscores the dangers of blurring the lines between business and politics and raises critical questions about the future of political financing, influence, and accountability in democratic systems.

 

Magnus Onyibe, an entrepreneur, public policy analyst, author, democracy advocate, and development strategist.

The Spirit of Africa, DR MIKE ADENUGA JR., yesterday paid a visit to his friend and Brother, His Excellency PRESIDENT JOHN DRAMANI MAHAMA, at home in Accra. They spent quality time together before The Guru of Telecoms flew back to Lagos in the evening...

Distinguished Benefactor, Philanthropist, and Proud Son of Abeokuta Grammar School.

With deep regret and profound gratitude for a life well lived, Abeokuta Grammar School Old Boys' Association (AGSOBA) worldwide, announces the passing of Agsoba Olatunde Ayinla Abudu, DA, 4347, OFR, MFR, a devoted alumnus and tireless benefactor of Abeokuta Grammar School and the Abeokuta Grammar School Old Boys Association (AGSOBA).

Baba Abudu was a shining example of selfless service, embodying the true spirit of giving back to the community that shaped him. His legacy at Abeokuta Grammar School is indelible, most notably marked by the construction of a state-of-the-art Agricultural Laboratory, a facility that has empowered countless students with hands-on, modern agricultural education. This pioneering gesture reflected his vision of blending tradition with innovation, ensuring the school remained a beacon of excellence.

In addition to this landmark project, Baba Abudu played a pivotal role in the construction of the school’s perimeter fence, enhancing both the security and the aesthetics of the school environment. These were but a few among numerous other laudable contributions he made—quietly, generously, and consistently.

A national honoree, decorated with the Order of the Federal Republic (OFR) and Member of the Federal Republic (MFR), Baba Abudu stood tall not only in recognition but in impact. His life was a symphony of service, humility, and unwavering dedication to education and nation-building.

To the AGSOBA family, the students and staff of Abeokuta Grammar School, and all who knew him, his passing is a deep loss. Yet, we find comfort in the enduring legacy he leaves behind—a legacy built not just in bricks and mortar, but in the hearts and futures of generations.

May his noble soul rest in perfect peace.

Sun re o, Agsoba (Chief) Olatunde Ayinla Abudu DA, 4347

Abeograms!

Primus et Solus!!

Agsoba (Chief) Sunday Oduntan DA, 7681.

President General

AGSOBA Global

“When lions battle, jackals flee.” Isaac Newton wrote that to his bitter rival, Gottfried Leibniz. It was a barbed remark on their feud over who between them first invented calculus. The more you read of the mutual respect those two had for each other, the more you wonder why they ended their respective careers in very bitter, reckless animosity; the more you also ponder over the cost of that fight and whether it was worth the troubles.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu of Lagos are two big men who are not equals. One is the boss, the other the boss’s boy. They are not equals, so, there cannot be a rivalry between them over feats and achievements. But they fight; and it is right here in the open. I’ve heard people demanding to know what they are fighting over. We do not know. Let no one talk about Lagos speakership. The sack of Mudasiru Obasa, which was as abortive as Dimka’s coup of 1976, was just what it was – a symptom; it was a reaction to something; there was an underline cause. What was it?
Sanwo-Olu and his boss are no Isaac Newton and Gottfried Leibniz and so their fight couldn’t be over who takes the priority on a matter designed to help humanity. If there is a delectable Queen Cleopatria somewhere, I would have drawn a parallel between what is unfolding in Lagos and what unfolded between Rome’s Octavian (Augustus Caesar) and Mark Anthony. But there is no seductress in the mix, I will, therefore, not deliver to age what it is no longer capable of tweaking.

So, what did Sanwo-Olu do? Or what did he not do? Both sides are not talking. All we’ve seen was an ungracious rejection of a friendly gesture; the snub of a handshake by the more powerful potentate. We’ve also seen a convenient skip of the junior power where he ought to speak.

Some people are happy, clinking glasses over the power buffetings in Lagos. They drink to the health of the feud; they wish it greater vigour; they wish its fire is unquenchable. These are people who do not like Lagos and its politics at all and who have been their victims. They see the fight as the elixir that would cleanse the land of all its sins and cure it of its sicknesses. They talk of power and its excesses. They point at Akinwumi Ambode, the man who was brought low so that Sanwo-Olu could ride high. They remember Babatunde Fashola who escaped breathlessly simply because he was like Coca-Cola, more popular and successful than the parent company. They point at a Governor Bola Tinubu of Lagos who serially used three deputy governors in a tenure of eight years. If I were the president, I would also look at this unedifying statistics and repack my big and small intestines.

A leader should be very careful on the way he treats his people, particularly, the companions who look up to him. There was an Orangun of Ila who bulldozed his way to power with charms, and then elevated the humiliation of his principal chiefs to an art. An Ila historian wrote that the king’s “humiliating treatment (of the chiefs) reached intolerable proportions when he frowned at seeing the Iwarefa (the kingmakers) in decent attires. When a chief made a new garment, he was obliged to excise the breast and patch it with a rag.” But every reign, no matter how glorious or inglorious, must come to an end. How did it end for that oba? He didn’t die on the throne. His character gave him a fate which made him farmer outside power. Ó fi’gbá ìtóòrò mu’mi nínú oko (he drank water with ìtóòrò melon calabash on the farm). I suggest you read ‘The Orangun Dynasty’, a very rich 1996 book on the history of the Igbomina stock of the Yoruba, authored by Ila Orangun’s very first university graduate, Prince Isaac Adebayo; check pages 40 and 41.

A leader is a masquerade; he must not tear his own veil. When a leader makes and unmakes subordinates, he rends his own cover. “Ènìyàn l’aso mi” is a Yoruba expression which, in English means “people are my clothes; they are my covering.” As a Yoruba proverb, it emphasizes the importance of people in people’s lives. Whatever clothes the masquerade wears is that ‘thing’ that makes the wearer an Egungun. He must protect it because it is his store of power. But my people say power is like medicine; it intoxicates. A researcher adds that “ultimately, the accumulation of power becomes dangerous even to its owners.” Is that why someone saw “a link between mask and menace”?

So, when we interrogate the use of power by the one we have come to call Lagos, we should always remind him that the costume is the sacred adornment which people see, respect and venerate in the masquerade. For a leader, his principal boys and girls are his costume, they are his cover. He needs them when harmattan comes with its fury. And harmattan will come whenever the masquerade repairs back to the grove when the festival is over, and it will be over.

Even lions, kings of the jungle, rely on strong bonds within their prides for survival and well-being. There is an old Irving King song on this: “The more we get together/The merrier we’ll be.” That song emphasizes human interconnectedness; the support embedded in community.

Jackals are opportunists, and they are many in this Lagos fight. Newton’s feuding-lion imagery is an evocation of the themes of strength, of hierarchy, and of consequence. It defines the strained relationship of one big expert with the other big man. The other part of his proverb ‘bombs’ the miserable jackals, minions who lurk around the battlefield, who thrive in chaos and on scraps from the feuding powers.

American novelist, Herman Melville, says a thousand fibers connect us with our fellow men. We should not live our lives as if we exist only for ourselves. Public ‘spanking’ of a governor for unknown and unsaid sins is petty. A president should have snubbed rebuff as his option of engagement. If I were him, If a ‘boy’ offended me, I would just ‘face front’ and concentrate on delivering the Chinaware I carry unbroken. If your load is a pot of palm oil, avoid stone throwers.

But the president is not pacifist me. He enjoys fighting wars after wars. He is like Sango who desperately desired a fight but found no one to fight. Sango looked round and pounced on the wall and wrestled with it. There was also an Aare Ona Kakanfo who itched for a battle and could get none. He stoked a rebellion at home against himself and by himself violently put it down. Because of this and many more like it, the man was nicknamed Aburúmáku (the wicked one who refuses to die).

Are there no elders again where the feuding feudal lords come from? Borrowing lines from Ulli Beier, I would say that now that men appear to have failed to stop this war, women should be called upon to come and kill the fire. Our mothers are like Osun, “the wisdom of the forest; the wisdom of the river. Where the doctor failed, she cures with fresh water. Where medicine is impotent, she cures with cool water.”

The first lady should therefore step out, open her Bible (KJV) to Mark 4:39 and read to her husband: “And he arose, and rebuked the wind, and said unto the sea, Peace, be still. And the wind ceased, and there was a great calm.”

If she does that, I will be encouraged to give the president two lines from William Shakespeare: “Come, wife, let’s in, and learn to govern better;/ For yet may England curse my wretched reign” (2 Henry VI, IV, ix, 4).

If our president’s reign won’t be cursed for wretchedness, he should prioritise the people’s welfare over serial petty fights with his boys. Nigerians are panting at home and reeling in pains at work; on the road, they groan. They are not entertained at all by presidential beer parlour brawls like Musician Ayinla Omowura’s last fight. You don’t become king and still keep trysts with crickets. No.

Page 2 of 1018