In Nigeria, the term “National Cake” has long been a metaphor for the collective wealth of the country, an imaginary cake that, in principle, should be equitably sliced and served to all citizens, regardless of ethnicity, religion, or social class. But in reality, this proverbial cake has morphed into something else entirely: a lavish banquet for a privileged few and mere crumbs, if anything at all, for the rest. This growing disparity raises a pressing question that stares us in the face every day: Is it really a national cake, or has it been privatized into “their” cake?

This rhetorical shift is not just semantic; it is symptomatic of a deep structural malaise within the Nigerian polity. The national cake has become the preserve of the political elite and their cronies, a high table at which only the connected dine, while the masses hustle for the leftovers, often tossed in the form of palliatives, tokenistic empowerment schemes, or stomach-infrastructure politics.

To this writer, it is a shared inheritance denied every Nigerian that is not opportune or privileged to be in government or have somebody in politics. This is as the logic of a national cake presupposes a shared inheritance.

It is even surprising that despite the fact that Nigeria is abundantly blessed with natural and human resources that cut across oil, gas, arable land, solid minerals, a vibrant youthful population, enough to make any nation prosperous if harnessed justly and transparently, only a few Nigerians are eating the national cake.  The reason for the foregoing view cannot be farfetched as in more than six decades after independence, the commonwealth continues to be cornered by a self-serving elite, whose interpretation of governance is little more than “elite capture” disguised as “public service”.

Budgets are passed yearly with trillions of naira earmarked for capital projects, but year after year, the physical manifestations of these allocations remain invisible. Roads remain death traps, hospitals are glorified consulting clinics, and public schools are in shambles. Yet we are told the cake has been shared. To whom, and for what purpose?

It is no longer even shameful that government officials build sprawling estates, own fleets of luxury cars, send their children abroad for schooling, and access first-rate healthcare in foreign hospitals, all funded directly or indirectly by public resources. These are not benefits of service; they are fruits of exploitation. They are not eating the national cake on our behalf; they are eating it instead of us.

Nigeria’s political structure and reward system have institutionalized a form of legalized looting. Politics is seen as the surest path to wealth, not a call to serve. Elections are often nothing more than expensive rituals of deceit, where the highest bidder buys votes with stolen money, only to recoup it multiple times over once in office.

Appointments and contracts are rarely awarded on merit but on nepotism and patronage. The so-called federal character principle, originally designed to promote inclusiveness, has been bastardized into a tool for distributing slices of the cake among the powerful, not for equity but for appeasement. Ministries, departments, and agencies become silos of looting. Monthly FAAC (Federation Account Allocation Committee) disbursements often end up as salary payments and inflated overheads, while infrastructural decay festers across states and local governments.

Meanwhile, those who dare raise their voices against this rot, journalists, whistleblowers, and civil society activists, are hounded, silenced, or branded enemies of progress. In some cases, they are made scapegoats to distract from the real culprits. This deliberate gas lighting only reinforces the perception that the national cake is no longer a collective resource but a rigged buffet.

One of the clever manipulations that continue to fuel this systemic greed is the myth that everyone will eventually “benefit” from the cake if they stay loyal, play politics right, or wait for their turn. This myth is how the elite class majorly comprising of politicians control the masses and perpetuate the status quo. It is how party loyalists are groomed into sycophants, not advocates for the people. It is how civil servants become complacent. And it is how the youth are lured into cybercrime, fraud, and political thuggery, with the false promise of a share of the cake.

But the truth is glaring: it is not your cake. It has never been. And unless something drastic changes, it never will be. The distribution of wealth in Nigeria is one of the most skewed in the world. According to Oxfam, a handful of Nigerians control as much wealth as the bottom 50% of the population. That is more than 100 million people. The implication is that the so-called national cake has already been sliced, served, and eaten, over and over again, by a tiny cabal. And they are not planning on baking another one for you.

Nothing exemplifies the insult to the masses more than the recent distribution of palliatives in the form of rice, noodles, and N10,000 cash transfers in the wake of economic hardship triggered by subsidy removal and devaluation. These palliatives, publicized with elaborate media fanfare, are meant to pacify the people, not empower them. It is the equivalent of throwing bones to a starving dog while you feast in opulence.

For the sake of clarity, palliatives are not policies; they are placeholders for real governance. They do not address the root causes of poverty, unemployment, and inflation. Instead, they reinforce dependency and encourage short-term gratitude for long-term suffering. The idea of palliatives being rolled out while politicians receive wardrobe allowances and security votes in the billions is the clearest sign that what they are eating is not our cake.

Against the backdrop of the foregoing view, it is germane to opine that if Nigeria must survive as a functional nation-state, the idea of the national cake must be radically redefined. It cannot continue to be about who gets what from the treasury; it must be about how wealth is created, distributed, and sustained for the benefit of all.

Therefore, to create wealth, distribute it and make it sustainable for all Nigerians, there must be institutional reform. We need real consequences for corruption, not plea bargains or political rehabilitation. Institutions like the EFCC, ICPC, and Code of Conduct Bureau must be depoliticized and empowered to work without fear or favor.

Again, there must be public finance transparency. To achieve the foregoing, every naira spent must be accounted for. Tools like the Freedom of Information Act must be actively utilized by journalists and citizens to demand answers.

In a similar vein, there must be active citizenship. This is as Nigerians must discard apathy, given that democracy does not end at the ballot box. Rather, they should understand that civic engagement, peaceful protests, public commentary, and watchdog journalism are all tools for reclaiming ownership of the national cake.

Also in a similar vein, there should be pragmatic and intentional moves toward economic diversification.  Therefore, the cake must be enlarged through value addition, industrialization, and entrepreneurship as a country cannot eat what it does not bake.

Also, there must be constitutional restructuring. We need to revisit the foundations of our union. True federalism, resource control, and decentralization are key to ensuring that no part of Nigeria is parasitic on another, and that wealth is not hoarded in Abuja.

In fact, the harsh truth is that for now, it is their cake, held in the death grip of a few who believe the rest of us are either too poor, too tired, or too scared to challenge them. But history shows that even the most entrenched elites fall when the masses awaken to their power.

The question is not whether there is a national cake. The question is: who is eating it, and who is going hungry?

Until we confront this truth, Nigeria will continue to be a land of potential without progress, riches without equity, and dreams deferred indefinitely. It is time we rise and say: Enough of their cake. We want our share.

The Patriots for the Advancement of Peace and Social Development (PAPSD) has described the calls for a state of emergency in Zamfara as “politically motivated, ill-conceived, unwarranted, unpatriotic and unconstitutional”.

The Executive Director of PAPSD, Dr Sani Shinkafi, in a statement on Saturday in Abuja also described the calls as calculated attempt to destabilise Zamfara.

He said that it was also planned to cause confusion and political upheavals in the state to undermine Gov. Dauda Lawal’s giant strides in transforming Zamfara from an agricultural- base to an industrial state.

He condemned those sponsoring youths to stage protests calling for a state of emergency in Zamfara as declared in Rivers, saying there was no comparison between the two states.

He said that the situation that led to the declaration of a state of emergency in Rivers was not applicable to Zamfara, even as Lawal was focused on fulfilling his campaign promises, with the support of most members of the State House of Assembly and citizens.

Shinkafi noted that Sections 188 and 189 of the 1999 constitution, as amended provided the procedure for the removal of a governor or deputy from office.

He added that Section 305 of the constitution also related to the power of the president to proclaim a state of emergency .

Shinkafi, the Patron, Tinubu-Shettima Presidential Campaign Council 2023, said it was obvious that Zamfara was not in a state of war to require a state of emergency.

“Compared to previous years, security in Zamfara State has significantly improved.

“Sadly, most of the videos and pictures of attacks circulating on social media were past attacks mischievously reposted to overheat the polity and undermine the visionary leadership of Gov. Lawal,” he said.

Shinkafi also noted that like other governors, Lawal had no constitutional power to deploy security agents if there was a security breach in any part of the state.

“The appellation of chief security officers of their states is merely ceremonial.

“It is an aspect of the constitution that should be amended to give powers to governors to deploy security agents to curb insecurity in their states,” he said.

Shinkafi urged President Bola Tinubu and the military high command to quickly address the security breach as previously done.

He commended the military personnel for their efforts and urged the Federal Government to motivate them and provide necessary weapons to defeat the enemies.

He also urged Lawal to summon an emergency security summit in the state involving security chiefs, religious leaders, traditional rulers, local government chairmen and civil society organisations to chart the way forward.

“This will further guarantee public safety and order, and forestall the security breach witnessed recently at Kaura Namoda.

“The PAPSD further urged the Zamfara State House of Assembly to quickly resolve the issues that led to the suspension of nine members to enable them to discharge their constitutional duties to their constituencies.

“As democrats, they should apply a political solution to issues, resolve them and move the state forward,” he said.

(NAN)

In commemoration of International Firefighters’ Day, Fire Protection Association of Nigeria (FPAN) has called for the government to go into strategic partnership with fire services, in order to better cope with emergency and disaster risks.

This was the thrust of a Press Conference, held by FPAN, at Ikeja Fire Station, on Friday.

FPAN president, Shehu Dambatta, reported that in 2024, Nigeria recorded over 100 fire-related deaths and a loss estimated at 67.1billion naira in property, 30,000 lives saved, as well as properties estimated to be worth 1.94 trillion naira.

Dambatta, noted that irrespective of the occurrences, fire fighters were able to respond to them with glaring inadequacies in staffing, obsolete equipment and lack of platform for training and continuous professional development.

He, however, urged for the acknowledgement of their unwavering efforts and sacrifice in the midst of disaster.

“Today, we remember and honour the sacrifices they make, both big and small, responding to emergencies with unwavering determination, battling raging fires, rescuing people from perilous situations, or providing essential first aid. They are not just firefighters; they are heroes, protectors, and pillars of our communities.

 “We also remember those who have made the ultimate sacrifice in the line of duty. Their legacy reminds us of the high cost of the safety we often take for granted,” he stated.

Chairman, Board of Fellow, FPAN, Engr. Peter Onyeri, appealed for more Fire fighters training, provision of the equipment, adding that a lot of fire fighters sustain all sorts of injuries and hazards to their health in line of duty. 

“The government should provide adequate training for fire fighters so that their risk exposure will be reduced. They should be provided with personal protective equipment, improve on their welfare, specifically their remuneration and insurance because of the risks that they are exposed to, insurance has to come in to be able to take care of such hazards,” he appealed.

Mr Onyeri, further noted that firefighters  contribute to the economy of the country by securing lives and properties. Hence , the need to honor and support them.

“The last statistics of 2024, the fire fighters were able to secure 1.97 trillion naira in terms of saving for properties towards the national GDP and then, they have saved lives in spite of fire incidents that happened across the country. They are making a huge contribution to the national economy. So, we are asking the government as it is done all over the world, that they should look in the direction of the fire services in Nigeria to give them what they need so that they would improve on their contributions to the national GDP,” he said.

 Mr. Amodu Shakiru, lamented over the lack of cooperation by members of the public in Lagos state and several attacks by hoodlums during duty.

He said: “Basically, in Lagos, our own challenges are far much more than hoodlums attacks, false calls, the public not cooperating with us. This year in Lagos, we have witnessed attacks by hoodlums. Last year, we witnessed 578 false calls, away from the 1798 fire emergency.

 We need the public in carrying out our duty. We should salute firefighters. It is self-care. It’s humanitarian. Salute the men who are running in during a fire outbreak to save lives and properties.”

[TheNation]

Governors elected under the Peoples Democratic Party and the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, may have agreed to make concessions to foster unity within the party ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

A reliable source told Sunday PUNCH that the Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, represented PDP governors in a meeting with Wike in Lagos last week.

According to the source, discussions during the meeting focused on resolving the political crisis in Rivers State involving Wike and the suspended Governor Sim Fubara, as well as addressing concerns related to the South-South zonal leadership, the National Secretary, and other matters to balance the interests of both sides.

Since the 2023 elections, the PDP has been battling internal crises.

The situation worsened with the conflict between Governor Sim Fubara and Wike in Rivers State, along with disagreements over the South-South zonal leadership and the unresolved National Secretary position since December 2024.

Attempts by the party’s leadership bodies—the National Working Committee, Board of Trustees, National Executive Committee, and the PDP Governors Forum — to mediate have only deepened divisions.

These efforts have led to further splits within state and zonal chapters of the party.

As the crisis drags on, many party leaders have grown disillusioned, with some defecting to the ruling All Progressives Congress and blaming the PDP’s unresolved internal issues.

On April 23, Delta State Governor Sheriff Oborevwori, former Governor Ifeanyi Okowa, and other officials from the state joined the APC.

Their departure has dealt a major blow to the PDP’s image and weakened its chances ahead of the 2027 elections.

A source close to the Oyo State governor revealed that after the Lagos meeting, Makinde agreed to brief fellow governors, while Wike would relay the outcome of the talks to his loyal supporters.

He stated, “Makinde and Wike met in Lagos, where Makinde represented the PDP governors and Wike attended on behalf of his loyalists.

“During the meeting, Wike expressed concerns about the Governors Forum’s recommendations, claiming they were made without considering party laws. He stated that some of the positions taken by the governors were illegal. The minister also pointed out that despite the Forum’s numerous positions, it has only succeeded in complicating matters rather than resolving them.

“Wike informed Makinde and other PDP leaders that he was unhappy with the Forum’s decisions regarding the National Secretary, South-South Zonal leadership, and the ongoing issues in Rivers State.

“He promised to stay in the PDP but requested that the forum and party leadership reconsider their positions on these issues in accordance with the party’s considering, to ensure peace, unity, and help reposition the party.”

The source stated that Makinde also expressed frustration over how the behaviour of some of the officials involved had worsened the situation.

He said, “In his response, Makinde also mentioned that the attitude of some officials towards the PDP governors was disrespectful and was not helping the situation. He reassured Wike that no one was trying to embarrass anyone, but rather, everyone was doing their best to reposition the party.

“Makinde promised to brief the governors on or before the forum’s next meeting and assured Wike of his support. They both agreed that concerned members should withdraw the pending litigation and pursue political solutions.

“Additionally, they agreed that the Governors Forum’s decision on issues such as the zonal congress, especially that of the South-South, the Rivers State crisis, the National Secretary position, and other matters should be revisited to accommodate all interests.”

A senior member of the PDP National Working Committee, who chose to remain anonymous, also confirmed that the meeting involving Makinde, Wike, and others was aimed at addressing unresolved matters.

The source said, “Yes, Wike and Makinde met to resolve some issues, and their resolutions will go a long way in unifying and repositioning the PDP.”

Attempts to reach the PDP National Publicity Secretary, Debo Ologunagba, were unsuccessful as he did not respond to our correspondent’s calls.

The PDP Deputy National Youth Leader, Timothy Osadolor, expressed confidence that the meeting, along with others held previously, would reposition the party.

In an exclusive interview with Sunday PUNCH, Osadolor suggested that PDP leaders were engaged in consultations and taking steps to strengthen the party.

He stated, “ Our leaders are not sleeping; a lot of meetings have taken place and more will take place in the future. The PDP will not only bounce back, but it will also reclaim its rightful place. I am sure you can see the movement taking shape as we speak.

“It is already gaining momentum, and people are beginning to speak out and align themselves with the party. I believe that as the days unfold, we will see that this is truly the party to be a part of.

“At this moment, there is no other party to be in. The other party, APC is like a ship with limited capacity. As more people crowd and overload it, it will either sink or capsize. It’s just a matter of time it’s not a question of if, but when. And that will happen.”

Atiku blamed for party crisis

In a related development, a member of the National Working Committee, who asked not to be identified for fear of victimisation, and a former Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Diran Odeyemi, blamed former Vice President Atiku Abubakar’s ambitions for the ongoing crisis in the PDP.

They stated that Atiku, the PDP’s presidential candidate in both the 2019 and 2023 elections, had not contributed to the party’s growth over the years.

Instead, his actions had often complicated matters.

The party leaders urged him to publicly declare that he would not contest the 2027 presidential election.

According to the NWC member, some party leaders who believed Atiku had had his fair share in the PDP will persist in opposing the former vice president.

He stated, “Atiku in the past led five PDP governors and left the party. The party did not die. We came back stronger. From all indications, Atiku’s 2027 ambition is part of what is aggravating the crisis in PDP.

“Even the statement he made when Okowa defected, he shouldn’t have made such statement. Because if you critically look at the statement, it creates an impression that Atiku is also leaving the party soon. His defection doesn’t matter.

“If he continues to push for 2027, those who feel it should go to the South and others who also feel Atiku had had his opportunity will continue to fight him within the party and the crisis will continue.”

Odeyemi, on his part, stated that Atiku had the power to bring peace back to the PDP.

He said, “This situation in the PDP is demoralising party members nationwide, especially the governors. Some have defected, and there are rumors of more planning to do so.

“Part of the solution is this: Atiku Abubakar should publicly declare his support for the PDP. He must set aside the structures and ambitions that have divided the party.

“Yes, his presidential ambition is contributing to the party’s division. Many are fighting internally because they believe he plans to run again. He holds the key to restoring unity.

“That key lies in setting aside his presidential ambition. Of course, it is his democratic right to contest, but sometimes, when things are falling apart, one must consider the greater good of the party. He should prioritise the party’s survival over personal ambition.”

In response, the former vice president dismissed as absurd any claim that his presidential ambition was the cause of the PDP crisis.

Speaking through his media adviser, Paul Ibe, Atiku said those blaming him were the ones who triggered the crisis due to their selfish interests.

He said, “It’s ridiculous to suggest Atiku is the problem. He has never been the problem. If others want to run, they should come forward and face the process. This is a democracy. Let me use an analogy: blaming Atiku is like a son blaming his father for his own failures and hoping for his father’s downfall so he can have a clear path. That’s not right.

“Atiku is not stopping anyone from running. He hasn’t told anyone not to contest. People are simply looking for scapegoats, inventing excuses, and blaming him unfairly. The truth is, some of these individuals created the crisis and are now trying to shift the blame.

“Atiku’s statements after recent defections showed he remains a committed democrat. He has continued engaging stakeholders and seeking solutions behind the scenes. Most of the work he’s doing doesn’t make it into the newspapers. But he’s actively involved in efforts to reposition the party and build coalitions.”

[Punch]

Political defections occur in many countries of the world. Donald Trump, the current president of the United States of America who is now a Republican was once a Democrat. Defection is therefore neither new nor restricted to Nigeria. Whereas it is not too difficult to appreciate the rationale for political defections in other climes, the nature and frequency of Nigeria’s unending carpet-crossing from one party to another has no doubt become worrisome.

Only last week, governor Sheriff Oborevwori of Delta State defected from his party, the People’s Democratic Party PDP with scores of associates to the ruling All Progressives Congress APC. His predecessor in office, Ifeanyi Okowa moved along with him thereby leaving the PDP in Delta State in a quagmire of confusion. 

 Bearing in mind that for some time now, materialistic political defections in Nigeria have become a common trend with their adverse effects on the nation’s democracy, many Nigerians have expressed deep concern over the situation. While some people think that the country should design a strategy for discouraging the trend, others think defection has the advantage of creating flexibility in the political system. There is indeed the argument that it can make political parties to be more conscious of the expedience of a better management of their organs and structures. But as a developing political system, whose democratic norms and ethos are yet to be institutionalized, there is ample wisdom in regulating political defections in Nigeria before they derail her fragile democracy.

  It is perhaps against this backdrop that our constitution places some restrictions on defections by legislators. According to Sections 68(1)(g) and 109(1)(g) “members of the National Assembly or a House of Assembly shall vacate their seat if they join another party or change their political party without the approval of their constituents or the party.” Sadly, these provisions have been adhered to more in the breach. In the case of the executive, the same limitation is absent from the constitution making it appear that presidents and governors are free to defect from their political parties whenever they so wish. As if to further throw some light on this viewpoint, it has been argued that the freedom of association guaranteed under Section 40 of the constitution covers the field.

 I disagree with the argument that a president or governor can under the guise of freedom of association be free to defect from his party to another. My position is that such supposedly free movement can have its minuses for society. To start with, the movement ought not to be allowed if the person moving is taking along with him to his new location, a property which belongs to someone else. Put differently, an elected office-holder under the banner of party Y cannot validly move to party Z with votes that belong to his previous party. To accept that is to allow the imposition on an electorate of a political party that had earlier been rejected during polls. It is worse that the party is now essentially the custodian of stolen goods.

  Those who argue that votes belong to a candidate are certainly not correct especially in the Nigerian context in which there are no independent candidates; it is political parties and not individuals that win elections. I had previously disagreed with the position of some analysts that former governors Ben Ayade of Cross River State and Dave Umahi of Ebonyi State were free to defect to the APC from the PDP. The attempt to sack the two governors failed because the judiciary was unable to find a place in our constitution, where the punishment for defection is to remove the defecting governor from office. I want to believe that the verdict would have been different if the party had simply sought to nullify the defection because the defecting governor has no right to so mischievously use the party’s vote.

 I do not believe that our courts would have found it hard to accept that the votes which enabled the two defendants to become governors belonged as a matter of fact to the PDP. Instead, the courts would have agreed with the clear provisions of Sections 177(c) and 182(1)(a) that “a candidate for governorship or presidency must be sponsored by a political party.” In which case, without a party a candidate is nothing. It stands to reason therefore that a governor cannot appropriate the votes of party Y and donate them to party Z. Indeed, whereas the judiciary should decline to remove a governor from office for defecting from one party to the other, it should also decline to validate the act of dispossessing a party of its votes. 

Political parties should therefore recraft their prayers and stop asking for the removal of a defecting governor as can be done to a defecting legislator. Accordingly, it would be unwise to ask the judiciary to remove defecting governor Sheriff Oborevwori of Delta State from office. He should neither be removed from office nor be allowed to defect. If governors find that they cannot legally defect to other parties while holding-on to the votes of a different party to sustain themselves in office, it would be left with those of them who so much love their new parties to first resign before defecting or to abandon the desire to defect. The judiciary can consider this suggestion while interpreting our defection laws with a view to helping Nigeria to strengthen its democracy. 

On the other hand, to consider the argument that candidates are co-owners of votes with their parties would amount to giving defectors loopholes to further experiment with our political system. This is because even if they were to be seen as co-owners, they cannot validly dispossess the party which is clearly the originating main shareholder. One reason why defectors are always left off the hook is the fact that their parties hardly keep to the issue at stake. It is therefore hoped that the PDP would concentrate on its loss of the governorship of Delta State rather than bothering itself with irrelevant moral issues that are purely a distraction. For example, a case against former governor Okowa is unnecessary. 

At this point, Okowa holds no office under the banner of the PDP. His case is therefore one that is covered by the principle of the freedom of association. His previous position as running mate to the party’s candidate during the 2023 election is now redundant and cannot bind him to the party for forever. It would be the party’s undoing to allow any focus on Okowa and others to distract them from the main goal. All opposition parties should therefore stand firmly to object to any of its governors defecting. Here, the case which stands out is that of governor Umo Eno of Akwa Ibom State who has become the most visible of all opposition governors with a body language that is currently singing the anthem of the ruling party. They need to reach him now before he holds more rallies to use his analogy of Ibom air flight to escape. 

Eno can even imagine that he got the mandate of his people to defect through his analogy of flying in an aircraft that is set to board instead of his own that is reportedly under repairs. The problem with his analogy is that his original aircraft may never be fit to fly, because he and the entire government apparatus, its most priced passengers may have departed with an alternative flight. The greater danger is that the competitor may easily acquire the entire company of the airline in the belief that the company had liquidated. This would be most unfair to the original owners of the company who are known in history to have consistently rejected other companies. This is why the sellers and the buyers need to respect the wishes of the founding fathers of the company.

But analogies aside, the political party of a governor hardly matters as there is no evidence that any governor would govern better simply because he defected to the ruling party. In fact, the best governors today are by no means those elected under the banner of the APC. What Nigerians want is good governance; not governors of a particular party. The last time I visited Delta State, there were visible signs of gigantic and exciting projects which should be sustained rather than defections which blow cosmetic matters out of proportion. Nigerians must thus stand together to reject defections which add zero value to society. Otherwise, the trend of our gale of defections may push Nigeria to a one-party state which is the same as military rule that Nigerians rejected more than two decades ago. Stopping the defections is therefore long overdue.

“More Nigerians will become poor by 2027 – WORLD BANK” – VANGUARD, APRIL 25, 2025.

Acute poverty is already fuelling massive increase in all sorts of crime in Nigeria today.

Predicting that more Nigerians will become poorer in 2027 amounts to passing a vote of no confidence in ALL the governments of Nigeria; not just the Federal Government.

It is also a death sentence on several million citizens – because infant and maternal mortalities rise with poverty. The International Monetary Fund, IMF, had, a few days before the World Bank announcement, informed Nigerians that inflation will increase by the end of the year and by 2027 – making nonsense of the attempt to deceive people with rebasing the economy.

To rub salt on the gaping wound, we have just been told that Nigeria accounts for 15 percent of all poor people globally.

That percentage is set to increase by 2027.

The reasons are as concerning as the consequences.

Nigerian governments, federal and states, are gradually losing control. When Tinubu ordered the Governors of Plateau and Benue States to take control of their states, it was buck-passing of the worst kind. Governors are impotent.

 ALARMING CONSEQUENCES OF INCREASING POVERTY

  “The most dangerous person is someone who has nothing to lose.” A black American friend of mine, who fought in Vietnam in the 1960s, summarised for me why the US lost the war in these words: “We were fighting the Viet Congs, mostly people in rags but armed. They were unemployed and destitute when drafted and promised the equivalent of one dollar a day – if they survived and military rations every day. Without the army they had nothing; no homes to return to; no family waiting for them. By contrast, the American fighter wanted to stay alive and return home. They were ready to die; we wanted to live. We killed ten of them for each of us they hit; but more kept coming.”

General Westmoreland, who was the longest serving Commander of American forces during the war, assumed that comparative body count figures – how many Viet Congs were killed for each American who lost his life – would very quickly persuade the enemy to surrender.

He was wrong.

Being armed and presumably fighting for his country against imperialists gave the Viet Cong soldier two advantages he never had and would not have if he dropped the gun.

One, an armed gang on patrol was guaranteed food and other forms of social welfare (“man no be wood being one of them”) which the other poor, suffering and smiling, could never have. They could seize food, pillage, rape and commit atrocities with impunity – as long as they carried weapons and shot Americans.

The US Commander had to beg for more troops to be supplied whereas the leader of the North Vietnamese forces, Ho Chin Minh, did not have to worry about getting more troops.

Acute poverty and hunger brought hundreds of thousands to the recruitment centres everyday.

In the end, the millions of people who had nothing to lose wore down the US troops who wanted to stay alive – if possible.

Americans did not learn their lessons.

They backed the Shah of Iran and lost; then tried their luck in Afghanistan and suffered another humiliating defeat. Each time the world’s greatest military power was taught that superior arms alone don’t win battles – when other human elements intrude.

THE RISE OF BOKO HARAM AND HERDSMEN

  “All that is required for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.”

If you are wondering what all these have to do with Nigeria, allow me to patiently explain to you why all Nigerians are living in desperation.

Herdsmen and Boko Haram represent the two most dreaded terrorist groups in Nigeria today.

The two share one thing in common. They are partly supported and protected by powerful Northerners.

Mention of Northerners is deliberate because nobody in his right senses would accuse any Southerner of being complicit in the atrocities committed by the hoodlums threatening the existence of the nation.

While the latter had been largely confined to the Northeast, the former is nationwide and a source of danger to every Nigerian everywhere.

Truth is they were not in existence until after Obasanjo left office.  

“COAS vows tough offensive as Boko Haram kills 40 in Borno” – Report, April 30, 2025.

The report about killings in Borno came after another report in VANGUARD of April 27, 2025, titled, “We have spent over N300m on ransom, ECWA laments”, was released.

Sandwiched between the two blood-chilling stories was one which must have escaped the attention of many Nigerians.

The Borno State government announced that it has “rehabilitated 300,000 repentant Boko Haram insurgents”.

How and why the Governor of Borno State became a court of law to try and discharge heinous criminals who have killed over 200,000 fellow citizens is a mystery – which only the Governor can unravel.

Insurgency is a federal crime; which should only be tried by federal courts. Why and how the Federal Government allowed Borno State to pardon 300,000 mass murderers – with scant regard for their victims, numbering over 1.2 million – is a deeper mystery.

What is not mysterious is the fact that 300,000 hardened killers have been let loose on the Northeast of Nigeria by Professor Zulum; and, nobody should be surprised that the state is now on fire again.  

The obvious questions are: Who told Zulum that the hoodlums released are repentant?

How are they employed?

The truth is; a captured or badly injured hoodlum is not repentant and cannot be said to be rehabilitated without a job. Otherwise, he is merely on break; and would pick up the gun again at the earliest opportunity.

American troops learnt this from the enemy soldiers captured.

Nobody can claim to rehabilitate a jobless man who has been trained to use a gun to extort fellow citizens.

Boko Haram was a “gift” of the YarÁdua/Jonathan governments to Nigeria.

The danger to Nigerian lives, particularly in the Northeast, has lasted sixteen years; and there is no end in sight. Herdsmen overtook all the other terrorist groups only after 2016 – when the rape of Agatu was approved by the FG. Professional managers, studying decision making under conditions of uncertainty, know very well that doing nothing is also a decision – which might bring repercussions.

When the FG ignored the genocide at Agatu, it deliberately or inadvertently, sent out a powerful message – genocide by herdsmen is permissible; your Life Patron in Abuja will protect you from reprisals.

It was a grievous blunder; and everybody, Buhari included, is now desperate on account of unexpected developments.

Buhari fled from Daura to Kaduna because the security situation in his state had deteriorated so much his safety cannot be guaranteed.

POVERTY IS THE LINK BETWEEN ALL THE FORMS OF INSECURITIES

  “The poor cannot sleep because they are hungry; and the rich cannot sleep because the poor are hungry and awake” – Nigeria’s Professor Sam Aluko: 1929-2012.

Professor Aluko was the man whose PhD in Economics persuaded me finally to ditch Medicine for Economics.

I thank God for the change of course. Nobody in Nigeria sleeps comfortably any more.

Nobody is immune from insecurity. When the World Bank declared that poverty in Nigeria will increase by 3.6 per cent this year, there were at least three obvious conclusions implied.

First, it means approximately 7,920,000 more Nigerians will be added to the pool of those living desperate lives.

Over 122 nations worldwide have populations less than 7.92 million. Second, the government in an economy which increases the number of people living in poverty by nearly 8 million cannot by any stretch of imagination, claim to be performing well.

Almost all will be unemployed; the number of idle hands will rise and the Devil’s workshop will be fuller.

Third, the security situation will inevitably get worse because, poor people don’t just stay home and starve to death.

They resort to all sorts of means to survive.  

WHY MARCHING ORDERS TO SECURITY CHIEFS DON’T WORK

  President Tinubu had issued several “Marching Orders” to his security chiefs. He might not realise it, Buhari also did the same – to no avail.

 FROM MAIGADI TO MEGIDA IN ONE ADMINISTRATION

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable”  – John F Kennedy, US President, 1917-1963

If you don’t know that Nigeria is already involved in a violent revolution, then get ready to read the truth and tremble. Nigerian intellectuals have always asserted that “what is needed in this country is a revolution”.

Unfortunately, they failed to recognise it when it arrived.

The Nigerian political elite, like those in any country, kept their attention on the erudite promoters of violent change. Those they either paid-off or wiped out or hounded out of the country.

At any rate, the intellectual revolutionaries were busy fighting the last war.

The new revolution began with unknown thousands of faceless men and some women who have now changed Nigeria forever.

This country will never be the same again.

“Right now, bandits and kidnappers are probably holding another set of victims – perhaps, the eighth set after Buhari  promised on March 1, 2021 to make the abduction of school children the last”.

Recollect my warning to Nigerians – “If you believe that, you will believe anything.”

Buhari had made a promise he should not because the security forces were not ready to help him redeem it.

The bandits now openly treat the President of Nigeria with contempt. He asked for it. That article was written in 2021; Buhari ignored it.

The consequences are here. Tinubu should stop issuing Marching Orders; they don’t work.

•Obasa’s son stirs controversy in  Agege, presidential aide in Yaba

…as odds favor ‘Able Abel’

As the tenure of the current local government administration winds down, tension is building across Lagos State political landscape.

The race to occupy chairmanship and councillorship positions in the 20 Local Government Areas (LGAs) and 37 Local Council Development Areas (LCDAs) has thrown political parties, aspirants, and their sponsors into frenzy.

The Lagos State Independent Electoral Commission (LASIEC) recently issued the official Notice of Election, setting July 12, 2025, as the date for the polls, with a possible re-run slated for July 19.

Meanwhile, campaigns had officially commenced on April 18 and would run through July 9. 

The LASIEC announcement has ignited a flurry of campaign activity, particularly in the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), where aspirants’ posters now blanket the metropolis.

The APC primaries to pick its candidate hold on Saturday.

However, beyond the campaign buzz lies growing controversy, especially over alleged candidate impositions and unclear electoral guidelines.

The controversy, it was gathered, stemmed as a result of the need to plant loyal and influential candidates in place ahead of the 2027 general elections to avoid the shocking experience of the 2023 presidential poll where Labour Party’s candidate, Mr. Peter Obi, defeated then-APC standard bearer, Bola Tinubu, in the state.

“In other to maintain the current lead as a ruling party, there is the need to have the right candidates in place to make it easier not only for the presidential and gubernatorial polls but for other elective positions,” a party chieftain told Sunday Vanguard.

 ‘Baba Sope’ Politics

 Some party faithful are worried over the return of what they described as ‘Baba Sope’ politics.

Baba Sope is imposition of candidates in local parlance. 

Accusations of political godfatherism and imposition within the APC reached a head following the endorsement of Abdul-Ganiyu Obasa, son of Lagos State House of Assembly Speaker, Mudashiru Obasa, for chairmanship of Agege LGA.

The endorsement triggered protests, particularly in Ojokoro LCDA, where angry party members and youths disrupted a stakeholders’ meeting over what they described as an attempt to impose an outsider.

Placards with messages like, ‘Obasa should not impose a chairman on us from Agege’, and, ‘You can’t bring a stranger to lead us’, reflected the deep resentment among the party supporters.

“We reject any attempt to sideline loyal party members who have served this council,” said Mr. Olusegun Akinoso-Olawaye, one of the protest leaders. “Let everyone test their strength at the primaries.”

Similarly, Mrs. Bola Ojetayo, another protester, decried what she termed the commercialization of leadership: “A stranger should not come to our home and be allowed to lead us”.

Despite the uproar, Mr. Oluwagbenga Abiola, the sitting Vice Chairman of Agege LG, stepped down and endorsed the younger Obasa, citing party loyalty and political mentorship under the Speaker.

 Stepping down

 Meanwhile, President Tinubu has reportedly nullified the endorsement of Obasa’s son by APC chieftains in Agege, ordering the Speaker to pull out his son, Abdul-Ganiyu, from the race for Chairman of Agege Local Government.

It was gathered that the measure is to pave way for another appointment penciled down by the president as announced by party leaders upon returning from a meeting with him in Abuja.

Tinubu had stressed the need for emergence of popular candidates via fair and open contests within the APC for the polls.

Sources close to the development in the Presidency confirmed that Tinubu instructed that all APC aspirants for the polls be given equal opportunity.

In response, Obasa allegedly urged those who had previously stepped down for his son to resume campaign and collect nomination forms ahead of the APC primaries set for July 12, 2025.

Abdul-Ganiyu had been absent from the APC on-going screening exercise in Ikeja.

Also, checks by Sunday Vanguard revealed that at least 650 nomination forms for the 57 slots had been purchased for chairmanship positions, while about a million had been purchased for councilor positions out of 114 available slots across the 57 councils.

 Transparent Primaries

 In Ikeja LGA, another aspirant, Abisola Omisore, called for a free and fair APC primary while receiving his nomination form from the Ikeja Progressive Youths. His call was echoed by Tayo Aderinola, who withdrew his candidacy in support of Omisore, citing wide consultations and the need for unity.

Amid growing internal dissent, the APC inaugurated an electoral committee led by former National Legal Adviser, Babatunde Ogala, to oversee party primaries and pre-election processes. In view of that, the Lagos APC spokesman, Oluseye Oladejo, called on aggrieved members to seek peaceful resolution mechanisms within the party structure.

YABA LCDA: Presidential aide allegedly dropping Tinubu’s name to impose aged uncle…as odds favour Able Abel

 The scenario in Agege is reportedly playing out at Yaba LCDA, where a presidential aide is said to be backing a chairmanship aspirant for the APC nomination.

The aide, who allegedly previously worked as a housemaid at Tinubu’s Bourdilon residence in Lagos, is allegedly dropping the president’s name in the campaign for his aged uncle for the party’s chairmanship ticket.

Sunday Vanguard reliably gathered that the aide has been meeting with stakeholders and party leaders in secret, asserting that the President has given him the mandate to nominate the APC candidate for Yaba LCDA. 

This development has raised questions about the party’s commitment to democratic principles and the potential for undue influence in the nomination process.

An APC chieftain, while decrying the development, said ‘Baba Sope’ has been part of the party from the onset.

The source revealed that the party’s aspirants are heavily reliant on endorsements from influential figures within the party.

According to him, over 98% of APC aspirants are seeking endorsements from powerful individuals.

But the odds to pick the APC ticket for the chairmanship election in the LCDA appear to favour Hon. Abel Enikanologbon, popularly known as Able Abel.

Three factors, according to sources in the area, make him the candidate to beat for the ticket.

One is his popularity as his candidature is said to be acceptable to the broad spectrum of the people of the LCDA including youths, the elders, men and women.

Two is that his ward has the lowest number of elected or appointed pubic officials in the area, thus making it politically expedient to compensate the ward by supporting him to get the ticket.

Whereas a ward in the LCDA has senator, House of Reps member, a commissioner and board chairman at the federal level, the only appointment his Ward B has is Supervisor at Yaba LCDA.

Three, Able Abel is well qualified for the LCDA chairmanship in terms of education and being a loyal party man.

The aspirant himself was upbeat about his chances when he spoke about his manifesto, promising a transformative agenda anchored on good governance, digital innovation, and inclusive development for Yaba LCDA.

The APC hopeful laid out an ambitious vision for the LCDA, touching on key sectors such as education, healthcare, economic empowerment, infrastructure, and civic engagement.

“Our people deserve a government that works for them — one that listens, plans, and delivers. That is what I stand for,” he declared.

Able Abel outlined plans to overhaul primary school infrastructure, introduce ICT centers in public schools, and provide free meals to at least 50,000 pupils and also pledged annual scholarships and school supplies for 3,000 students.

“If we empower our children today, we secure our future,” he said, stressing the importance of digital skills and equitable access to learning.

On healthcare, the aspirant promised a people-first approach, focusing on access, quality, and affordability. His proposals include recruiting more healthcare workers, upgrading health facilities, ensuring a regular drug supply, and launching a Community-Based Health Insurance (CBHI) scheme.

“No resident of Yaba should have to choose between health and survival,” Enikanologbon assured.

Addressing the economic challenges faced by small business owners, particularly market women and artisans, Able Abel proposed the establishment of Trade Centers and Business Cooperatives, provision of shared workspaces and storage facilities, and the introduction of low-interest microloan schemes.

“Economic empowerment is not a slogan; it is a necessity,” he stated.

On infrastructure, the aspirant promised a complete overhaul of the area’s aging roads, drainage systems, and waste management infrastructure. “We must build a Yaba that works — where roads are motorable, drains are clean, and the environment is safe and livable.”

He also unveiled plans to boost cultural tourism, proposing an annual Yaba Cultural Heritage Day to celebrate the LCDA’s rich traditions, music, and arts.

“Our culture is our identity. Let’s use it to unite us and create economic opportunities,” he said.

Security and governance featured prominently in the manifesto.

Able Abel announced plans to set up a Local Security Advisory Board and encourage community policing through regular town hall meetings and neighborhood watch collaborations.

“Security is a shared responsibility. We will bridge the gap between citizens and law enforcement,” he promised.

On civic engagement, the aspirant proposed the launch of a digital open data portal to promote transparency in governance. “People must know what’s being spent, where, and why. That’s how you build trust and accountability,” he explained, adding that residents would have direct input into policy through regular engagement forums.

To back his proposals, Able Abel detailed a roadmap for implementation, including a Policy Implementation Task Force and partnerships with private sector actors. He assured that his administration would be driven by measurable targets, quarterly reports, and responsible budgeting.

The APC aspirant said his manifesto was not just a campaign document, but a contract with the people of Yaba.

“This is our shared vision. Together, we will make Yaba LCDA a model of progress, innovation, and people-focused leadership,” he concluded.

 LASIEC under Fire

 LASIEC, on its part, is facing mounting criticism for what opposition parties described as inadequate consultation and a lack of transparency.

At the heart of the backlash is the commission’s inclusion of the 37 LCDAs in the elections despite their controversial legal status and its unilateral release of electoral guidelines without input from the Inter-Party Advisory Council (IPAC).

IPAC Lagos Chairperson, Mrs. Temilola Akinade, described the LASIEC approach as “neglectful,” citing unresolved legal questions surrounding LG autonomy and the Supreme Court’s interpretation.

Mr. Ayinde Olawale of the ACC and Mr. Dele Oladeji of the AP warned that their parties may boycott the elections if the LCDAs are recognized without constitutional backing. “We cannot participate in an election that disregards the rule of law,” Oladeji said.

 Assembly Summons LASIEC Boss

 In response to these concerns, the Lagos State House of Assembly has summoned LASIEC Chairperson, Justice Mobolanle Okikiola-Ighile (retd), to clarify the commission’s preparations and electoral framework. Lawmakers stressed the importance of transparency, particularly around election security and guideline implementation.

“The people are asking questions. We need LASIEC to address these issues directly,” said Rotimi Ajomale, Chairman of the House Committee on LASIEC and Public Petitions.

Other members, including Kehinde Joseph and Bonu Solomon, echoed calls for LASIEC to restore public confidence through stakeholder engagement and legal clarity.

Vanguard News

Dr Tunji Alausa, minister of education, made a frightening disclosure on Monday that, predictably, attracted little attention: Nigeria has a shortage of 600,000 medical doctors. Kindly read that again, this time slowly. Our attention is devoted to the 2027 presidential election, so we can be excused for missing the unhealthy piece of news. Nigerians were created for elections and politics. Nothing excites us more. Politics could be a good thing if it leads us to the road of redemption. After all, the real purpose of politics is the greater good of the society. Socrates, according to Plato in Gorgias, said the goal of politics is to make the citizens “as good as possible to live the best lives”. How I wish!

Politics and elections aside, we have an emergency in our hands but it seems we are going about our normal business. By any means, a shortage of 600,000 doctors is massive. We have the capacity to train only 10,000 doctors a year and that means it will take us the next 60 years to fill the gap. Wait. By then — that is, 2085 — our population will have exploded from the current 200 million to 741 million (according to PopulationPyramid.net). That means the doctor deficit will be in millions by the time we hope to have closed the gap, so training 10,000 doctors yearly for the next 60 years will still not solve the problem. Pardon me but there is no elegant way of saying this: we are in a hot mess.

We can use some emergency measures. Things are getting worse, what with the economic situation forcing thousands of doctors — who feel overworked and underpaid — to exit the country in search of fresh pasture. We thus have two significant problems: inadequate training capacity and exodus, known as “brain drain” in the 1980s (when many doctors migrated to Saudi Arabia) and now rebranded as “japa”. We are bleeding. The shortage is inflicting fatigue and frustration on the doctors who choose to remain in Nigeria, and the implications will continue to show in the quality of patient care. A doctor cannot be attending to a hundred patients per day and still be optimally productive.

In reality, there will be lethargy and apathy as the day progresses, and there could be loss of empathy as well. Misdiagnosis is not to be unexpected, and this may have nothing to do with the other obvious challenges, such as working conditions, inadequate facilities, obsolete equipment and unstable power supply. Many doctors also suffer depression not just from the workload but seeing avoidable deaths every day. Some things that modern technology has simplified are still being done manually. Some illnesses that could have been nipped in the bud at primary health care level have developed into chronic diseases, leading to a flood of patients at secondary and tertiary hospitals.

A visit to many public hospitals will break your heart. A country that values productivity will place, and pay, a premium on having a healthy population. Does this really bother us? In Nigeria, once you are rich enough to start checking your cholesterol levels, you no longer use public hospitals. You go to private hospitals that charge like five-star hotels or travel abroad for your medicals. It is the ordinary people — the tomato seller, the shoemaker, the truck pusher — that suffer the consequences of the inhospitable health care system. This is to say nothing about their inability to afford basic drugs, forcing many to resort to using some unproven but cheaper local alternatives.

I always ask myself: how and when are we going to get out of this mess? We can lament all we want, but lamentation cannot be a strategy. Doctor shortage is not limited to Nigeria. It is a global issue. When purpose-driven countries face this kind of crisis, they come up with a strategy to get out of jail. Some develop short-term to medium-term plans by recruiting foreign doctors from less buoyant countries. That is why Saudi Arabia and the UK have been coming for our doctors. But they are not stupid: they simultaneously pursue a long-term plan to train their own doctors. As they become more and more self-sufficient, they can start reducing the influx of foreign doctors into their system.

What are the plans for the short, medium and long terms to address this pathetic situation in Nigeria? Are we actively trying to improve the working conditions for our doctors? Are we actively encouraging students to study medicine? Are we improving training facilities? In 2015, my niece applied to study medicine at the Kaduna State University. She met all the requirements bar one: state of origin. She was told the programme was for Kaduna indigenes. Although her dad is from Ondo state, she was born in Kaduna and had lived there all her life. By the time she applied for admission, she had only been out of Kaduna thrice, all short trips. But her name meant she was not qualified.

Thereafter, my niece made several efforts to study medicine at other universities but had to settle for biochemistry because time was passing by. Her case is typical. The point I am making here is not about discrimination on the basis of state of origin. Rather, I am trying to point out the fact that we have thousands of students who want to study medicine but there are no spaces to accommodate them. We have universities bragging all over town that they had 2,000 applications for medicine but took only 200. This is a country that urgently needs more doctors! We would have to ask why it should be treated as a badge of honour that students who want to study medicine are being blocked.

I am happy that the minister of education is highlighting this issue. The minister of health, Prof Muhammad Pate, has also expressed worries over the exodus of doctors abroad. However, a crisis of this nature requires extraordinary measures. For a start, are we expanding training capability and capacity? Our first line of action until recently was to curtail the number of medical school intakes. The ceiling used to be 5,000 per year. We, thankfully, increased it to 10,000, but it is glaring that it is a drop in the ocean. I am not saying we should over-admit students or lower the standard. Medical training is delicate and we can’t turn our schools to Dugbe market. But we need to scale things up.

However, I am honestly at a loss as to what to do with doctors who “japa” after the country has spent so much money training them. It is a very complicated matter: we cannot restrict freedom of movement but how do get returns from our highly subsidised medical education? Some people have suggested a form of bond that will make the doctors who trained at public schools to work for the government for a number of years. This may make sense for the government in trying to get value for money but it may enrage the doctors, who would rather want to practise in places where they will get the kind of compensation they think they deserve. Well, there must be a solution somewhere.

We need to think, think and think. It is not only about how to address the health sector challenges. We generally have a severe thinking deficiency in policymaking. It always shows up in the way we approach issues. Recently, I commented on the Lagos state house of assembly’s resolution calling for the enforcement of the tenancy law to contain astronomical increases in rent. Housing crisis is usually caused by a supply problem in mega cites. In some other climes, government will come up with incentives — such as tax waivers and accelerated approval processes — to encourage private developers. Government will embark on affordable mass housing projects to reduce the deficit.

In my dearly beloved Nigeria, it is law enforcement that will address housing shortages! Just unleash government agencies on landlords and rent will start falling! This faulty reasoning is endemic in the lawmaking and policymaking spheres. I am forced to wonder at times if we actually think before we manufacture certain laws and reel out some policies. I am sincerely interested in the thinking process that leads to the drafting of some laws and policies. We behave as if we can just decree some things into being. I would implore our leaders to always take the chill pill, take a deep breath, think logically and consult widely before pouring a torrential rain of policies on us. We need to have some insight.

In a recent article, ‘If the Foundations of Logic Be Destroyed’ (April 20, 2025), I raised the issue of logical reasoning in our policymaking. I think many policies fail at the problem definition level. If the problem is not well defined and analysed, we will come up with solutions that are superficial. If the medical schools are overloaded, we tend to define the problem as that of having “too many applicants”, so we limit the number of intakes. We do not see the big picture. If rents are high, we think it is the landlords that are to blame, so we make laws to put them in their place (and it never works). If a road is prone to vehicle accidents, we always put the blame on the “reckless” drivers.

I recently came across excerpts of a book, ‘Sequential Analysis’, written in 1972 by the late Robert Holland, a respected figure at McKinsey & Company known for developing a practical framework for tackling complex decision-making. He recommended five sequential questions: (1) Is there (or is there likely) to be a problem (or opportunity)? (2) Where does it lie? (3) Why does it exist? (4) What could we do about it? (5) What should we do about it? (Note the “could” and “should”.) They are applicable to public policies as well. Questions 1 and 2 help define the problem we are trying to solve. Question 3 allows us to structure our thinking. Questions 4 and 5 help us to find a solution.

My sense is that many Nigerian policymakers and lawmakers start from either No 4 or No 5: what could/should we do about it? They define a problem by the “solutions” they already have in their heads. They take the short-cuts by avoiding rigorous thinking. This lack of sequential thinking often gives birth to policies that worsen rather than solve the problems they are intended to address. Until something changes in the way we attend to many national issues — such as doctor shortages, housing crisis, communal conflicts, herder/farmer clashes, and even environmental sanitation — we will keep making laws and policies that will end up having little or no impact on the society.

AND FOUR OTHER THINGS…

MELE MESS

Mr Bayo Ojulari, the new group CEO of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Ltd, is carrying out what looks like an extensive surgery on the leadership of the national oil company. To do an audit, he has fired the MDs of the three refineries. Mr Mele Kyari, the former GCEO, led an overhaul of the refineries running into billions of dollars, but it seems the reality on the ground is far from the claims that they have been working well and churning out products without fail. Industry experts are not surprised: “turn around” contracts have been the “oil block” of many NNPC bosses and petroleum ministers for decades. That is why we have refused to sell the refineries. Nigeria!

THE CBEX TRAP

Have you ever wondered why some people get burnt in tanker explosions while scooping petrol but that does not stop others from going for their own share? Despite all the hullaballoo over the CBEX catastrophe in which over 600,000 Nigerians lost an estimated N1.2 trillion, credible reports show that the crypto trading platform is still attracting new “investors” and taking money from the old ones. They are asking people to pay a certain fee in order to regain access to their accounts and get refunded a percentage of their “investments” in June. I can understand why old timers are vulnerable — they are still hopeful of recouping their funds — but what about their new victims? Delusion.

HEARTLESS MINISTRY?

Something is going on that should automatically trigger police investigation, but I assume they are yet to pick it up. A popular online prayer group known as Abba’s Heart Ministry suddenly went underground and there are now reports that many members might be held at a location without the knowledge or consent of their families and friends. The story is not yet clear, but the things I have read so far point to the possibility that this might be one of those religious cults that brainwash members into selling their possessions and handing them over to their leaders. We may have a real problem and I hope police are keeping a close tab before we start hearing of mass suicide. Wackos.

NO COMMENT

Governor Umo Eno of Akwa Ibom state — who is also referred to as pastor — has been speaking in tongues all because he wants to defect from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the All Progressives Congress (APC). “What Akwa Ibom people want is good governance, not the name of the party,” he said. “Whether Ibom Air or Air Peace, board the flight that is ready to take you to your destination. Board the flight and forget the name of the airline.” He doubled down days later, saying: “I see party as a vehicle to get to power. When you get there, please begin to govern everyone.” All manner of philosophy and poetry simply because of an impending defection. Just do it! Hahahaha.